Nottingham 15:40 RESULTED
Class 5 3 Aug 2026

Monday 3 August Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap Stakes

Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f18y

Official Result

Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mobadir (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker
    6/5F
  2. 8/1
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Boleto silks
Boleto
Age 2 · 9-9
106
74
81
74OR
2
9-9
7/2 10/3 7/2
Boleto won three starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, giving him a solid each-way profile from stall four — the risk is that two disappointing efforts since that victory leave something to prove.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Fern Clyde silks
Fern Clyde
Age 2 · 9-7
643134
72
71
72OR
2
9-7
11/1 15/2 11/1
Fern Clyde arrives on the back of a win three starts back, has experience over today's trip and going, and at 133 lb from stall five her rating of 80 marks her as a leading threat — though a trainer firing at just 3% in the last fortnight is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Leucothea silks
Leucothea
Age 2 · 9-6
2320
71
78
71OR
2
9-6
11/2 5/1 11/2
Leucothea arrives on the back of three consecutive placed efforts — second two starts back and third three starts back — and, with experience of today's distance and going, she appeals as the one to beat despite being yet to win in her last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Star People silks
Star People
Age 2 · 9-6
052
71
74
71OR
2
9-6
5/1 7/2 9/2
Star People has been knocking on the door, running second last time out and bringing strong distance-and-going experience to this; our rating of 75 gives him an edge over his mark. The main risk is that he remains winless in recent starts and must prove he can convert.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Mobadir silks
Mobadir
Age 2 · 9-3
667
68
75
68OR
2
9-3
2/1 31/19 2/1
Winless in his last three starts, Mobadir at least has experience over today's trip and conditions in his favour, but drawing stall seven carrying 129 lb makes life harder — he rates a midfield proposition at best.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Dissenter silks
Dissenter
Age 2 · 9-3
51
68
70
68OR
2
9-3
7/1 4/1 7/1
Dissenter won last time out but that effort is sharply contradicted by our rating, which ranks her last of seven here; the step up in class looks daunting, though she has run over today's trip and going and 10 days' rest suggests she arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Harry's Pop silks
Harry's Pop
Age 2 · 9-2
7404
67
59
67OR
2
9-2
14/1 10/1 14/1
Winless in his last four starts, Harry's Pop faces a stiff task here — ranked sixth of seven on our figures with a speed rating of 61 — though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a sharp 11-day turnaround from stall one carrying 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Boleto 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Bet365
2 Fern Clyde 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Leucothea 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Star People 5/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
5 Mobadir 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 Bet365
6 Dissenter 7/1 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 Coral
7 Harry's Pop 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Boleto

Speculative

Boleto owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Clive Cox Rossa Ryan
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mobadir

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Ed Walker
✓ Value Signal

Harry's Pop

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Dylan Cunha
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Boleto
54.7 7/2
2 5. Mobadir
52.8 2/1
3 6. Dissenter
52.4 7/1
4 4. Star People
50.7 5/1
5 3. Leucothea
49.7 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Boleto
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-3
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-3
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Boleto
Confidence: Medium

Boleto (SR:81, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries 9-9 — not an excessive burden in a Class 5 nursery. The 15% market move inward is a meaningful signal in a seven-runner field, indicating informed support. Clive Cox (14% strike rate, 474 runners) is a reliable handler and Rossa Ryan at 16% career strike rate is a clear upgrade in booking terms. Crucially, Boleto is proven at this 6f trip (DistFit:+) and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), meaning it faces an easier test than its most recent outing — the '6' in the form string is explained by a Class 4 run, and the '1' shows it can win at this level. Each-way alternative: Mobadir. Main danger: Mobadir — Mobadir (SR:75, 2/1 favourite) has been backed in 17% from its opening price, carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-3, and Ed Walker's 15% strike rate is the best in the field — if the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) unlocks improvement, it has the market confidence to back a winning run.

Shortlist Boleto, Mobadir, Leucothea
Each-way: Mobadir Danger: Mobadir

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f18y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade