Freedom Bay has a win two starts back to her name, but a third last time out masks indifferent recent form, and a rating of 47 ranked 11th of 12 makes her hard to fancy at the weights with 135 lb to carry.
Form last 657-013
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kaaress landed a win five starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, with our rating marking her out as the one to beat in this field of 12. The 116-day break is the one query, but she carries her 135 lb from stall 6.
Form last 6418654
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR—RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Letsbeatsepsis caught the eye with a third last time out and a third four starts back, and he ran just 18 days ago having already run over today's distance and going — our rating of 55 suggests he's ahead of his official mark. The risk is that he's winless in his last five starts.
Form last 66-3043
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR—RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Moonlit Cloud does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and her third last time out shows she can threaten; at 135 lb from stall nine, an official rating of 48 leaves her with plenty to find.
Form last 67-4593
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR—RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
Winless in her last six starts — only a third three starts back offers any real encouragement — My O My faces a stiff task from stall five carrying 135 lb, and her rating of 44 does little to inspire confidence at this level.
Form last 6465305
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR—RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tiger Beetle ran third last time out and, third again five starts back, has shown he can hit the frame; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating ranks him second of 12 — though his winless recent run and 135 lb burden are the risks to overcome.
Form last 6735783
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Winless in her last six starts, Dora Vita does bring experience over today's trip and going, and a third last time out shows she can hit the frame; carrying 127 lb from stall 11 and ranked seventh of twelve, she remains a modest proposition.
Form last 6406053
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
26SR—RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Elora Prince has run over today's trip and returns after 41 days, but he's winless in his last six starts and ranked eighth of twelve here, with two fourths the best he's managed recently — modest claims at best.
Form last 6048974
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR—RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Madame Passant faces a stiff task, though she was third two starts back and has run over today's trip and going before — small consolations at best.
Form last 670035
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
42SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Maryland Star makes this a tough assignment — she has run over today's trip before, and 28 days between runs suggests freshness, but that is slim consolation given recent efforts.
Form last 65-3805
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR—RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Panthere Noir arrives on the back of strong recent form — third, second, then a win in his last three starts — but two days since his last run is a very sharp turnaround, and carrying 133 lb from stall 3 will test his stamina at this trip.
Form last 6639321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
59SR—RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Time For Action arrives on a sharp 10-day turnaround with experience of today's distance and going, and her win five starts back shows she can find the line — but she must bounce back from an eighth last time out.
Form last 6157-08
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Letsbeatsepsis owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Gary & Josh MooreRhys Clutterbuck
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Freedom Bay
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Zoe Hawkins✓ Value Signal
Kaaress
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Michael Attwater◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Panthere Noir (SR 59, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives in career-best form with a win last time out (form string 639321, rightmost digit = 1), having shortened 24% in the market since opening — clear money confidence. The GoingFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness on today's good-to-firm conditions, which is a crucial differentiator in a field where most rivals show GoingFit:? or GoingFit:-. Racing off the same mark as last win (MarkMv:=) means connections haven't been hit with a penalty, and the 9-7 weight is manageable. The only hesitation is the 2-day turnaround, though the market move suggests connections are happy to run.
Each-way alternative: Letsbeatsepsis.
Main danger: Letsbeatsepsis — Letsbeatsepsis (SR 57, 11/4) has steamed in 28% in the market — the biggest move of any runner with a realistic price — and the class drop (ClassMv:↓1) into this field gives it a tangible edge on adjusted ability, making it the most credible threat to the selection.
ShortlistPanthere Noir, Letsbeatsepsis, Freedom Bay