Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap · 0m5f205y
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Amiata | 6/1 open 4.50 | — | 7/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 7/1 open 4.33 | 7/1 open 4.33 | 7/1 Coral |
| 2 Red Evolution | 5/1 open 7.00 | — | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Gavoo | 5/1 open 7.50 | — | 4/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Moltophino | 5/1 open 9.50 | — | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Spodo Komodo | 15/2 open 6.50 | — | 8/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 Coral |
| 6 Smoke Them Out | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 7 Leveraging | 66/1 open 34.00 | — | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Clonmacash | 22/1 open 21.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Gotta Catch'em All | 5/1 open 6.50 | — | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Flaming Rib | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Lohoobb | 9/1 open 8.50 | — | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Amiata owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 86 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Red Evolution (SR:86, 5/1) combines the strongest single market move in the field — steaming in 23% — with a proven DistFit:+ at today's 5f205y trip and a MarkMv:-5 indicating a current mark 5lb below last win level, giving the handicapper a real edge to exploit. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is a first-time application or continuation headgear tweak that connections clearly believe will unlock improvement, and jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle's 16% career strike rate from 966 rides is the best booking among the leading contenders. Trainer O'Callaghan's 9% strike rate is modest, but the market confidence here is unusually strong and specific for this level. Carrying 10-0 is not ideal but is shared with top-rated Amiata, so there is no relative weight disadvantage against the co-topweight. Each-way alternative: Gavoo. Main danger: Gotta Catch'em All — Gotta Catch'em All (SR:87, 5/1) arrives in career-best form with a 769611 string showing back-to-back wins, carries only 9-4 (a full 10lb less than Red Evolution), has GoingFit:+ for today's good ground, and trainer H Rogers fires at a 20% strike rate — the best in the field — making the weight-and-form combination a genuine threat.