Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m6f0y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 126 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Reflect On Glory | 9/4 open 4.50 | — | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Sole Ruler | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 The Mean Fiddler | 6/5 open 1.91 | — | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/10 open 1.80 | 6/5 Bet365 |
| 4 War Gaming | 5/2 open 3.00 | — | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
The Mean Fiddler owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Reflect On Glory (SR 157, 9/4) has the second-highest rating in the field and is the most compelling market mover — a 24% inward move from opening price is the strongest steaming signal in this race, indicating informed confidence from the Burke yard (19% strike rate, 657 runners — a serious operation). The 7-day turnaround suggests connections are happy and the horse is in peak condition. The sole recorded run showing a '3' is easily explainable as a promising debut performance, and Burke frequently targets Ripon with juveniles; the course place record (W0P1) is encouraging for a horse still learning. The Mean Fiddler holds the fractional SR edge at 158 but has drifted 9% out from favourite-territory, which is a meaningful negative signal against a horse whose market is collapsing inward. Each-way alternative: The Mean Fiddler. Main danger: The Mean Fiddler — The Mean Fiddler holds the highest SR in the field at 158 and Quinn/Hart is a solid northern combination (14% jockey strike rate), and while the 9% drift is concerning, a debutant second with a tongue-tie applied could simply be an unexposed horse finding its feet — if the drift is trip or going uncertainty rather than an ability concern, it remains a genuine threat.