Arctic Flame arrives on the back of a win last time out, with a second two starts back underscoring her consistency, and experience over today's trip and going stands her in good stead; the chief concern is a hefty 166 lb to carry.
Form last 6205-21
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR—RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Eastmore won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but he's finished second or third in four of his last five starts, suggesting he flirts with winning without always delivering — and 164 lb could test him here.
Form last 622-321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
113SR—RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won two starts back and returns quickly on familiar distance and going, giving Let's Go La Fichad a solid profile under a big 160 lb burden. The trainer's current 0/22 run of form is the obvious concern.
Form last 6639-16
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR—RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
In The Trenches won three starts back and was second four starts back, giving him a solid recent profile over today's trip and going, and our rating just edges him to the top of this field; the in-form concern is a trainer cold streak to note.
Form last 65521P4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
83SR—RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Gino Bella won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but her pulling up three starts back casts a question mark over her reliability, and carrying 157 lb is a stiff ask for a mare ranked mid-field here.
Form last 624P-31
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR—RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dairy Force has run over today's trip and going, and a second two starts back hints at ability, but he was fifth last time out, his trainer is in poor form at 2/41 over the past fortnight, and he remains winless in his last five starts — a tough ask off 155 lb.
Form last 62-0225
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
94SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts, Quint Major does at least return quickly on seven days' rest and has run over today's distance and going before; a fourth three starts back shows some ability, though he carries 154 lb from a midfield ranking.
Form last 6/040-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR—RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Metamorpheus has been consistently knocking on the door — second last time out, and a second three starts back — and with experience over today's trip and going, he shapes as a genuine danger off a mark of 103. The risk is a run just two days ago.
Form last 683-242
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
109SR—RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Beaten in his last two starts and ranked 11th of 12 on our figures, Kilt is hard to fancy despite the win three starts back; he has run over today's trip and going, and 18 days off leaves him fresh enough, but the weight of 148 lb adds no help.
Form last 670-145
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Le Diablo faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and back-to-back placed efforts latterly at least suggest some consistency, but 148 lb makes life harder still.
Form last 6-70523
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR—RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, Midnight Eagle faces a stiff ask here; experience over today's trip and going is in her favour, and a second last time out plus a third three starts back show she can find the frame, though 146 lb makes life harder still.
Form last 600-302
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Max Meridius landed a win in his last five starts but has otherwise shown little consistency — unplaced efforts dominate his recent record — and ranked last on our figures, he faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 609-051
★AI Rating★★★★☆
100SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Arctic Flame owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (61). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
17/2Patrick T FoleySimon Torrens
63%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Eastmore
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · C Byrnes✓ Value Signal
In The Trenches
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Gavin Cromwell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Metamorpheus (SR:109, 10/3) carries the most credible combination of signals in this field: joint-highest SR among the genuine contenders, proven at today's distance (DistFit:+), a market that has shortened 9% since opening (Mkt:in9%), and a relatively light weight of 10-13 gives it a meaningful advantage over topweight Arctic Flame (11-12) and Eastmore (11-10). The MarkMv:+52 is eye-catching — a 52lb hike since last win suggests a horse whose official mark has been revised sharply upward, meaning connections are running it here in confidence it can still compete at this revised level. The GoingFit:- is the primary concern on good ground, but the distance suitability and market confidence override that reservation in a field where most rivals carry question marks (DistFit:?) over the trip.
Each-way alternative: Max Meridius.
Main danger: Max Meridius — Max Meridius (SR:100, 9/2, Wgt:10-3) has the lightest competitive weight in the field, carries a four-star AI probability rating, has shortened 11% in the market (Mkt:in11%), and Danny Mullins — a 14% career strike-rate jockey — is a significant booking for trainer Thomas Mullins, suggesting stable confidence in a horse whose last run was a win (Form:09-051 rightmost = 1).
ShortlistMetamorpheus, Max Meridius, Eastmore, Gino Bella