York 16:10 RESULTED
Class 2 19 Aug 2026

Wednesday 19 August Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 2m0f56y

Official Result

Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Small Fry (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    2/1F
  2. 20/1
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 17 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Duke Of Oxford silks
Duke Of Oxford
Age 6 · 9-12
-15760
102
69
108
6
9-12
100/1 66/1 80/1
Duke of Oxford brings a win in his recent form and has experience over today's distance and going, with a rating of 108 placing him second of 17 in this field; the concern is that he has finished 5th, 7th, 6th and unplaced since that victory.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Prydwen silks
Prydwen
Age 8 · 9-12
682157
102
78
108
8
9-12
33/1 FCST 28/1
Prydwen shaped well when winning three starts back and has experience of today's distance and going, making him a clear form pick at the top of the weights on 138 lb; the 53-day absence is the one query, but his rating of 108 marks him out as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kirchner silks
Kirchner
Age 4 · 9-7
4-7521
97
99
98
4
9-7
4/1 4/1 10/3
Kirchner arrives on the back of a win last time out and was second two starts back, giving him solid recent momentum, though a fifth three starts back and a seventh four starts back suggest some inconsistency; having run over today's trip before, he shapes as a genuine each-way player at 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Small Fry silks
Small Fry
Age 5 · 9-6
199-62
96
103
97
5
9-6
11/4 FCST 5/2
Second last time out is his chief calling card, though sixth and ninth in the two starts before that highlight his inconsistency; has run over today's trip and going, carries a stiff 132 lb, but 18 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh enough to make his presence felt.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Valedictory silks
Valedictory
Age 4 · 9-5
-26115
95
104
97
4
9-5
9/2 11/2 10/3
Valedictory won back-to-back two and three starts back, so the winning thread is there, but a fifth last time out checks enthusiasm; he has experience of today's going and comes back quickly enough at 18 days, though 131 lb is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Mordor silks
Mordor
Age 6 · 9-4
20-130
94
71
96
6
9-4
66/1 22/1 50/1
Mordor showed his quality with a win three starts back and was third two starts back, but has been unplaced on his most recent outing and returns after a 64-day absence; he has experience of today's distance and going, though 130 lb is a stern enough burden for a runner ranked mid-field on ratings.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Team Player silks
Team Player
Age 4 · 9-4
-11592
94
96
95
4
9-4
11/1 17/2 9/1
Ranked well down the field on our figures, Team Player makes it hard to build a case, though he does bring distance and going experience to the table and returns from a 32-day break showing a recent second to his name.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Manxman silks
Manxman
Age 6 · 9-3
21003-
93
86
97
6
9-3
16/1 16/1 14/1
Landed a win and a second in recent starts but has been unplaced twice since, and a lengthy absence of 351 days is a real concern; has run over today's trip and going, and a trainer firing at 38% offers some encouragement, but the rust may tell.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
In The Breeze silks
In The Breeze
Age 8 · 9-3
47-101
93
76
97
8
9-3
25/1 FCST 20/1
In The Breeze has won twice in his last five starts, including a victory last time out, and has experience of today's distance and going, but 73 days off the track raises a fitness query and 129 lb tests his resolve.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Boatswain silks
Boatswain
Age 4 · 9-2
8-0371
92
74
96
4
9-2
18/1 12/1 16/1
Ranked 13 of 17 on our figures with a speed rating of 86, Boatswain is hard to fancy despite winning last time out, as the form either side of that success — a seventh and third in his two preceding starts, and more moderate efforts before that — suggests inconsistency; the trainer's 38% strike rate and experience over today's trip and going are the sole reasons for mild optimism.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Westminster Moon silks
Westminster Moon
Age 6 · 9-1
-07100
91
63
96
6
9-1
25/1 16/1 20/1
Westminster Moon won three starts back but has been unplaced in both runs since, and ranked 14 of 17 on our figures he faces a stiff ask here; the fact he has run over today's trip and going at least brings some familiarity to the challenge.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Shrimp Shady silks
Shrimp Shady
Age 4 · 9-1
121612
91
94
94
4
9-1
11/1 13/2 9/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Shrimp Shady faces a stiff ask at these weights, yet his recent form reads well with three wins in his last six starts, a runner-up finish last time out, and he has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Kilmeaden silks
Kilmeaden
Age 4 · 9-0
2-7359
90
66
99
4
9-0
28/1 14/1 22/1
Kilmeaden shaped with promise when third three starts back and runner-up five starts back, and he returns on a quick 11-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going — though he remains winless in recent starts and will need to find more to bridge that gap.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Ghaiyya silks
Ghaiyya
Age 4 · 9-0
124862
90
69
97
4
9-0
33/1 20/1 25/1
Ghaiyya shaped well when second last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but sixth and eighth in the two starts before that give reason for caution; carrying 126 lb against a competitive field, she appeals as one likely to run her race without necessarily dominating.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Fireblade silks
Fireblade
Age 5 · 8-13
0-4423
89
76
97
5
8-13
22/1 16/1 20/1
Consistently competitive without quite getting his head in front, Fireblade arrives on the back of a third last time out and a second two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, though winless in his last five starts remains the sticking point under 125 lb.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Ride The Thunder silks
Ride The Thunder
Age 4 · 8-13
42-363
89
92
98
4
8-13
9/1 13/2 8/1
Consistent threat who has finished third or better in three of his last five starts, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; a trainer firing at 27% over the past fortnight adds significant support, though he remains yet to score and that final winning move is still the question mark.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

17
Mountain Road silks
Mountain Road
Age 7 · 8-12
/43513
88
86
94
7
8-12
16/1 11/1 14/1
Ranked 16 of 17 on our figures, Mountain Road is hard to fancy despite being lightly fit at 11 days between runs; he has run over today's trip and going, and was a winner two starts back, but his overall profile makes him a very difficult proposition here.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Duke Of Oxford 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 81.00 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 Bet365
2 Prydwen 33/1 40/1 open 29.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 40/1 Paddy Power
3 Kirchner 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
4 Small Fry 11/4 5/2 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 Bet365
5 Valedictory 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 7.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 9/2 Bet365
6 Mordor 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 36.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 Bet365
7 Team Player 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 11/1 10/1 12/1 Paddy Power
8 Manxman 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
9 In The Breeze 25/1 25/1 open 23.00 20/1 20/1 25/1 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 Bet365
10 Boatswain 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
11 Westminster Moon 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
12 Shrimp Shady 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365
13 Kilmeaden 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 Bet365
14 Ghaiyya 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 25/1 28/1 25/1 33/1 Bet365
15 Fireblade 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
16 Ride The Thunder 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 Paddy Power
17 Mountain Road 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Valedictory

Live signal

Valedictory owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 John & Thady Gosden William Buick
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Small Fry

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Prydwen

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · George Scott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Valedictory
60.0 9/2
2 4. Small Fry
58.3 11/4
3 3. Kirchner
56.4 4/1
4 12. Shrimp Shady
53.5 11/1
5 16. Ride The Thunder
52.9 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Valedictory
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 9-6
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Age 4 · 8-13
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-4
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 4 · 9-1
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 6 · 9-3
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 7 · 8-12
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Valedictory
Confidence: Speculative

Valedictory (SR 104, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin and carries a competitive 9-5, giving it a weight advantage over Small Fry (SR 103, 9-6) despite near-identical ability ratings. The market has moved decisively in its favour — a 24% shortening from opening — which combined with GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground well. The Gosden/Buick combination strikes at 25%/20% respectively, one of the strongest connections pairings on the card, and a recent form line of -26115 shows progressive improvement culminating in back-to-back wins. The MarkMv:+3 rise is minimal and should not negate the form advantage. Each-way alternative: Small Fry. Main danger: Small Fry — Small Fry (SR 103, 5/2) is the joint-highest-rated runner and has market support (in 8%) from a powerful O'Brien yard; at just 1lb inferior SR to Valedictory with solid recent form showing a win two starts back, it represents the most credible alternative if the going suits better than GoingFit:- suggests.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Valedictory's HG code is 'b' (blinkers), suggesting headgear is being applied or changed today — horses trying blinkers for the first time or after a break can react unpredictably under pressure in a…
  • Small Fry (SR 103, 5/2 market leader) is only 1 SR point inferior yet is 2lbs better off at the weights at 9-6 vs 9-5, and its connections (O'Brien/McMonagle) are shortening into favouritism at 5/2 a…
  • The two wins in Valedictory's -26115 form may have come in weaker company; a MarkMv:+3 still represents a rise in the official mark, and at York in a 17-runner handicap the pace dynamics and draw wil…
  • Kirchner (SR 99, also 9/2, Ryan Moore) is closely matched on ratings and has not drifted — at identical odds with the highest-strike-rate jockey in the field, Kirchner represents a direct market riva…
Shortlist Valedictory, Small Fry, Kirchner, Shrimp Shady
Each-way: Small Fry Danger: Small Fry

🗺 The Course Class 2

2m0f56y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
17 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade