Nxt Big Thing Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f182y
SR 131 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 136 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Angelic Melody | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 William Hill |
| 2 Diamond New Bay | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 2.63 | 9/2 open 3.00 | 9/2 open 3.00 | 9/2 open 3.00 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Guadalevin | 8/13 open 2.25 | 8/13 open 2.38 | 8/13 open 2.10 | 8/15 open 2.10 | 4/6 open 2.20 | 8/13 open 2.10 | 4/6 William Hill |
| 4 Ma Blushin Rosie | 7/2 open 13.00 | 3/1 open 13.00 | 9/4 open 13.00 | 9/4 open 13.00 | 3/1 open 13.00 | 3/1 open 13.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Oh So Slow Sloth | 33/1 open 13.00 | 30/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sara's Silver Girl | 40/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Sayidah Bahra | 28/1 open 5.50 | 28/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 7.50 | 16/1 open 7.50 | 25/1 open 7.50 | 25/1 open 7.50 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Diamond New Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Diamond New Bay (SR:154, 9/4) is the clear ability standout in this field — her SR of 154 is 10 points clear of second-best Ma Blushin Rosie (SR:144) and 19 points clear of Sayidah Bahra (SR:145). Dropping a class tier (ClassMv:↓1) into a Class 4 novice with a K.R. Burke yard running at 19% career strike rate and Sam James aboard (14%) is a potent combination. The 6% market drift is the one concern, but in a novice with only 7 runners and two maidens holding higher SRs than any experienced rival, the drift is likely tactical or ante-post repositioning rather than stable intelligence against her. Her single run finishing 4th as a debut gives her a meaningful form line over the two unraced rivals in the shortlist, and the class drop makes her the most credible winner on the data. Each-way alternative: Ma Blushin Rosie. Main danger: Ma Blushin Rosie — Ma Blushin Rosie (SR:144, 11/1) is unraced but has steamed 12% in the market — the strongest inbound move in the field — suggesting stable confidence from Adrian Keatley's yard (17% strike rate), and an SR of 144 makes her the second-best-rated runner if she delivers on debut.