Carlisle 15:48 RESULTED
Class 6 19 Aug 2026

Wednesday 19 August North Lakes Energy - Harry Doyle Memorial Maiden Handicap Stakes (Div II)

North Lakes Energy - Harry Doyle Memorial Maiden Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 6f195y

Official Result

North Lakes Energy - Harry Doyle Memorial Maiden Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Supreme Dancer (IRE) Ethan Tindall · Richard & Peter Fahey
    100/30
  2. 5/2
  3. 33/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

York

13:50–17:20 · 7 races

Carlisle

14:05–17:30 · 7 races

Worcester

17:02–20:08 · 7 races

Sligo

17:07–20:18 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

17:25–21:00 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Stoneywell silks
Stoneywell
Age 4 · 9-12
-97780
60
38
63
4
9-12
20/1 16/1 18/1
Stoneywell has run over today's trip and going before and, rated 63, shapes as a leading danger despite being winless in his last five starts; the main concern is a string of unplaced finishes that will need reversing here.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

2
Big Apple Jack silks
Big Apple Jack
Age 4 · 9-9
284254
57
64
64
4
9-9
2/1 11/4 7/4
Big Apple Jack shaped with plenty of promise when a second three starts back, and he drops into this off an official mark of just 57 with our rating suggesting more ability than that; the risk is he returns only three days after his last outing.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Uniter silks
Uniter
Age 3 · 9-7
-867P8
60
53
62
3
9-7
9/1 7/1 9/1
Winless in his last five starts, Uniter has at least run over today's trip and returns on a quick 19-day turnaround from stall three carrying 133 lb, though a pulled-up effort among recent form makes it hard to build a case at this level.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Danrana silks
Danrana
Age 3 · 9-6
48-05
59
51
61
3
9-6
10/1 5/1 10/1
Winless in her last four starts, Danrana at least has experience of today's distance and going to call on, and 18 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh; the 132 lb burden from stall one is the obvious concern for a filly rated 59 officially.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Hey Havana silks
Hey Havana
Age 3 · 9-5
-25252
58
68
71
3
9-5
9/4 FCST 2/1
Consistently placed in recent starts, Hey Havana has been second three times in his last five outings and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid grounding heading in; winless of late but his profile makes him the one to beat off 131 lb from stall 7.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Tago Mago silks
Tago Mago
Age 3 · 9-5
3-876
58
33
54
3
9-5
33/1 12/1 33/1
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

7
Supreme Dancer silks
Supreme Dancer
Age 3 · 9-4
57-282
57
65
64
3
9-4
7/2 7/2 10/3
Supreme Dancer has finished second twice in his last five starts and steps back up over a trip and going he has already experienced, making him a strong each-way threat off 130 lb from stall 2; the risk is that he remains winless in recent starts and must find improvement to get his head in front.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Our Nicola silks
Our Nicola
Age 4 · 8-12
380-05
45
23
48
4
8-12
33/1 12/1 33/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Our Nicola faces a stiff ask on return from a 218-day absence, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a third five starts back offers a rare crumb of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

9
Agric Ranger silks
Agric Ranger
Age 3 · 8-9
547570
48
29
56
3
8-9
50/1 22/1 50/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Agric Ranger faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and comes back quickly enough at 12 days since his last outing.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Stoneywell 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 20/1 Bet365
2 Big Apple Jack 2/1 open 5.50 7/4 open 4.33 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.75 2/1 Bet365
3 Uniter 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 William Hill
4 Danrana 10/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 Paddy Power
5 Hey Havana 9/4 2/1 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 Bet365
6 Tago Mago 33/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 Paddy Power
7 Supreme Dancer 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 Bet365
8 Our Nicola 33/1 open 13.00 50/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 Paddy Power
9 Agric Ranger 50/1 open 23.00 80/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 80/1 open 29.00 80/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Big Apple Jack

Speculative

Big Apple Jack owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Michael & David Easterby Billy Garritty
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Hey Havana

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Geoffrey Harker
✓ Value Signal

Tago Mago

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Sam England
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Big Apple Jack
49.7 2/1
2 5. Hey Havana
48.4 9/4
3 7. Supreme Dancer
46.3 7/2
4 3. Uniter
44.1 9/1
5 4. Danrana
39.3 10/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Big Apple Jack
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-9
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-5
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-12
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Big Apple Jack
Confidence: Speculative

Big Apple Jack (SR 64, 9/4) leads the field on ability and is the clear beneficiary of a massive 23% market move in — the strongest market signal by far in this nine-runner Class 6 field. Carrying 9-9, he holds a weight advantage over top-weight Stoneywell (9-12, SR 38) and has a consistent form line of 2-8-4-2-5-4 showing he competes at this level. The GoingFit:- is a concern on good ground, but his trainer Easterby (9% strike rate, large sample) and jockey Garritty (9%) are a workmanlike pairing, and the money flooding in at 9/4 suggests connections are confident despite the going concern. At this class level, his SR of 64 is comfortably the highest in the field and the market is backing that edge emphatically. Each-way alternative: Hey Havana. Main danger: Hey Havana — Hey Havana (SR 68, 5/2) is actually the SR leader at 68 — marginally above Big Apple Jack — carries a light 9-5, has moderate going and distance fit (GoingFit:~, DistFit:~), and a consistent placed form line of -25252; though drifting 8%, Connor Beasley is a 14% strike-rate jockey and the horse's consistency makes it the most likely alternative winner.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- flags Big Apple Jack as unsuited to today's good ground — a confirmed going concern that connections themselves haven't resolved despite racing him just 3 days ago.
  • Hey Havana (SR:68, 5/2) actually holds a higher speed rating than Big Apple Jack (SR:64) and carries 4lb less at 9-5, making her a superior rival on both figures and weight — the primary analyst's 'h…
  • Supreme Dancer (SR:65, 4/1) also betters or matches Big Apple Jack on ability and is a 3yo receiving weight, with Fahey's yard running at 10% — a stronger trainer/jockey combo than Easterby/Garritty…
  • Big Apple Jack's form of 2-8-4-2-5-4 shows no win in this sequence and a recent 5th and 4th — he consistently threatens without converting, a pattern that undermines the market confidence narrative.
Shortlist Big Apple Jack, Hey Havana, Supreme Dancer
Each-way: Hey Havana Danger: Hey Havana

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f195y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade