Carlisle 16:20 RESULTED
Class 4 19 Aug 2026

Wednesday 19 August David Allen IT Solutions Handicap Stakes

David Allen IT Solutions Handicap Stakes · 6f195y

Official Result

David Allen IT Solutions Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Count Palatine (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods
    17/2
  2. Second Son (GB)
    100/30J
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hunky Dory silks
Hunky Dory
Age 4 · 9-9
551863
80
66
82
4
9-9
33/1 8/1 28/1
Hunky Dory arrives in good heart after finishing third last time out, and a winner four starts back, bringing solid recent form into this contest; he has run over today's distance and going, and 135 lb from stall six is the main weight to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Misunderstood silks
Misunderstood
Age 4 · 9-8
576774
79
81
87
4
9-8
9/2 11/2 4/1
Misunderstood has run over today's trip and going and, rated 87 by us against an official mark of 79, looks to have strong claims as the second-ranked runner in the field; the concern is he has been winless in his last six starts, with a best recent finish of fourth.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
King Of Fury silks
King Of Fury
Age 6 · 9-8
654711
79
78
80
6
9-8
12/1 11/2 12/1
King Of Fury has winning form in his last two starts, so fitness and momentum are genuine positives, but ranked ninth of twelve on our figures with a speed rating of 76 well below his rivals, he faces a stiff ask off 134 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Count Palatine silks
Count Palatine
Age 5 · 9-7
-00306
78
72
82
5
9-7
9/1 10/1 17/2
Count Palatine returns quickly on 11 days' rest and has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last five starts, with his most telling recent effort a third three starts back, and a sixth last time out suggests he remains hard to win with.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Commander Of Life silks
Commander Of Life
Age 5 · 9-7
355421
78
81
81
5
9-7
SP 5/1 7/1
Commander Of Life won last time out and has run over today's distance and going, giving him solid claims, but carrying 133 lb from stall 10 and ranked eighth of twelve on ratings suggests he faces a stiff ask against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Lord Bertie silks
Lord Bertie
Age 6 · 9-7
-60069
78
81
92
6
9-7
8/1 17/2 13/2
Winless in his last five starts, Lord Bertie nonetheless rates significantly above his official mark on our figures, and having run over today's distance and going he arrives fit enough on a 26-day break — the talent may finally be about to show.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Son silks
Son
Age 5 · 9-6
973406
77
84
87
5
9-6
3/1 9/2 11/4
Son has run over today's trip and going before, and his rating of 86 puts him firmly among the leading dangers off stall four; yet he is winless in his last six starts and that run to fourth three starts back has not been built upon since.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Native Instinct silks
Native Instinct
Age 4 · 9-5
56-261
76
83
82
4
9-5
4/1 5/1 4/1
Native Instinct won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, with a trainer firing at 39% in the last fortnight, yet 50 days off the track and a busy recent record that includes two sixth-place finishes give reason for caution.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Lord Capulet silks
Lord Capulet
Age 4 · 9-5
011236
76
70
76
4
9-5
14/1 10/1 11/1
Lord Capulet arrives 41 days between runs with his trainer in wretched form at 1/22 over the past fortnight, and his last outing was a sixth, leaving him hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and distance and going; ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, the case for him is thin.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Havana Prince silks
Havana Prince
Age 5 · 9-4
6-3100
75
59
77
5
9-4
22/1 18/1 20/1
Havana Prince has winning form in recent starts but arrives on the back of two unplaced efforts and a lengthy 88-day absence, leaving fitness very much in question, and he is ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, making him hard to fancy at this level despite having run over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Golden Strike silks
Golden Strike
Age 5 · 9-3
220175
74
84
81
5
9-3
7/2 5/1 10/3
Won three starts back but has since finished seventh and fifth in his last two, so the form has cooled; he has run over today's distance and going before, and 26 days between runs leaves him reasonably fresh, though 129 lb is a stern ask for a horse rated 74 officially.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Vince Lombardi silks
Vince Lombardi
Age 7 · 9-1
225-10
72
57
75
7
9-1
50/1 18/1 35/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and returning from a 189-day absence, Vince Lombardi has plenty to prove, though he has run over today's distance and going before and his win two starts back offers a crumb of hope.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hunky Dory 33/1 open 9.00 28/1 open 10.00 33/1 open 10.00 33/1 open 10.00 40/1 open 10.00 33/1 open 10.00 40/1 William Hill
2 Misunderstood 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
3 King Of Fury 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365
4 Count Palatine 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Commander Of Life 8/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 8/1 Bet365
6 Lord Bertie 8/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.50 8/1 Bet365
7 Son 3/1 open 9.50 3/1 open 8.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 6.00 3/1 Bet365
8 Native Instinct 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Betfred
9 Lord Capulet 14/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Betfred
10 Havana Prince 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 Bet365
11 Golden Strike 7/2 open 10.00 10/3 open 9.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 Bet365
12 Vince Lombardi 50/1 open 19.00 35/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Native Instinct

Speculative

Native Instinct owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Edward Bethell Sam James
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Son

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Hunky Dory

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Linda Perratt
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Native Instinct
55.2 4/1
2 7. Son
54.8 3/1
3 2. Misunderstood
53.9 9/2
4 11. Golden Strike
53.5 7/2
5 3. King Of Fury
50.2 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Golden Strike
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Son
Age 5 · 9-6
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 5 · 9-3
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 9-5
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-8
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-8
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Golden Strike
Confidence: Speculative

Golden Strike (SR:84, 9/2) carries the lightest weight among the joint-SR leaders at 9-3, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over Son (9-6), Native Instinct (9-5), and the cluster at 9-7/9-8. The market has shortened 22% since opening — the strongest inward move in the field — signalling informed money. Running off a mark just 2lb above last win (MarkMv:+2), the penalty is manageable. The visor (HG:v) suggests connections are sharpening the horse for a big run, and a form line of 220175 shows recent consistency at this class level. Each-way alternative: Son. Main danger: Son — Son (SR:84, 9/2) matches Golden Strike on SR, has steamed in 20% in the market — the second-strongest move — and carries only 9-6, with Easterby/Allan a reliable combination on northern tracks.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jockey Ethan Tindall (apprentice, 9% strike rate from only 116 rides) is a notable negative in a competitive 12-runner handicap — the trainer's big-day jockey choice looks weak against David Allan an…
  • The visor (HG:v) is a first-time headgear change, which implies connections have identified an attitude or focus problem — this is a risk factor, not a guarantee of improvement.
  • Form reads 220175: the '7' and '5' finishes are the two most recent form figures before last time's '5' finish, suggesting the last win may have been a flash in the pan against easier rivals rather t…
  • Son (SR:84, 9/2) matches Golden Strike's rating but carries 3lb more with a 20% market move in, representing similar market confidence at the same price with a more experienced jockey combination.
Shortlist Golden Strike, Son, Native Instinct, Commander Of Life
Each-way: Son Danger: Son

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f195y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade