Dubai Bling arrives here on the back of a win two starts ago and boasts experience of both today's trip and going, and at 138 lb from stall 17 he brings solid claims with two wins in his last six starts; the main risk is a trainer operating at just 4% over the last 14 days.
Form last 6712010
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR104RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Stratusnine arrives in fine fettle after finishing second last time out, and a winner two starts back, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour. The trainer's recent strike rate is a mild concern, but the 18-day turnaround looks ideal and he merits respect off 138 lb from stall 16.
Form last 6P28312
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
100SR101RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
West Acre is the top-rated runner in a field of 22 and shaped with promise when third two starts back, making him a leading danger off a workable 18-day break with distance experience to call on; the concern is that he steps back from an unplaced effort last time and remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 624-530
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR106RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unplaced last time out tempers expectations, though Dark Thirty boasts a win three starts back and a runner-up finish two starts back, bringing genuine recent form to the table; experience over today's trip and going and a return after 18 days suggest he is ready to go, but 134 lb from stall 13 is no gimme.
Form last 6102120
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR101RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Corolla Point arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, with experience over today's trip and going, and a trainer firing at 39% recently; 134 lb from stall nine is the query.
Form last 61-3321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR101RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third two starts back and a winner three starts back give Lexington Blitz some credibility, but he was well beaten in sixth last time out and must bounce back off a 22-day break; has run over today's distance and going, and 132 lb from stall one is the challenge he faces.
Form last 69-3136
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR102RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unplaced in each of his last two starts, Candy showed better when winning four starts back, but that dip in form is the concern; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 131 lb from stall 2 makes this a stiff ask.
Form last 6416-00
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR98RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Against The Wind has a pair of thirds in recent starts but is winless in his last five, and a 97-day absence, a trainer among the winners at just 5% over the past fortnight, and a hefty 131 lb burden all give pause heading into this.
Form last 630-300
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR98RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Toca Madera won five starts back in his recent form but has since posted a sixth, an unplaced run, a fourth and a fifth, so consistency is the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 130 lb from stall four, and returns after 18 days off.
Form last 6316045
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR98RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Trefor has been unplaced in three of his last five starts, and his ranking of 18th of 22 on our figures makes him hard to fancy despite carrying a manageable weight of 130 lb; he does bring distance and going experience, and that win last time out at least confirms he retains ability.
Form last 6-04001
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR93RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Erosandpsyche does at least bring strong recent form — second two starts back and third on two further occasions — though that eight-start back effort is a concern; he has run over today's trip and going, and 129 lb from stall eight is the weight to beat at a rating of 95.
Form last 6033825
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR101RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Naana's Sparkle catches the eye with a second last time out and a winner two starts back, showing he retains ability, though a fourth three starts back and a sixth in recent starts are a reminder he can disappoint; experience over today's trip and going and 22 days since his last run suggest he arrives ready.
Form last 66-1412
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR95RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Spartan Arrow is yet to score in his last six starts, with a run of seventh, seventh, and eighth positions making grim reading, and his trainer is winless from 22 attempts in the past fortnight; he has run over today's trip and going, but that experience alone offers limited encouragement here.
Form last 6788077
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
70SR103RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Gold Star Hero has run over today's trip and going, and finished second last time out after an unplaced effort two starts back, but ranked 19th of 22 on our figures he faces a stiff ask at the weights, and that patchy recent consistency makes him hard to fancy despite his three wins in his last six starts.
Form last 6111502
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR92RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked a long way down the field on our figures, Toyotomi faces a stiff task from stall 21, and an unplaced effort last time out on a 60-day break does little to inspire confidence, though he has winning form two starts back and experience of today's distance and going.
Form last 6-56310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR95RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Apollo One arrives here freshened by a 25-day break, has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 106 ranks him second of 22 runners, suggesting he merits serious respect; the worry is that he has been winless in recent starts, with two unplaced efforts immediately preceding this.
Form last 6293900
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR106RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and a lengthy 108 days absent, Dapper Valley is hard to fancy despite back-to-back wins in his last two starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, but the fitness query is real from stall 15 off 125 lb.
Form last 6870311
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR86RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well down the field on our figures, Air Force One faces a stiff task against 21 rivals, and a single win in his last six starts does little to inspire confidence, though he has run over today's distance and going before and arrives here on a reasonable 25-day break.
Form last 6510533
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR95RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, Stormy Impact has at least shown some consistency through a pair of midfield finishes, though the unplaced efforts either side temper expectations; she has run over today's trip and going before and the weight of 123 lb from stall 11 makes her a watch-and-see proposition.
Form last 66-0450
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR104RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, The Man nevertheless carries an encouraging 10 lb pull between his official mark and our rating, suggesting he remains capable of better; he has run over today's distance and going before, and 22 days between runs leaves him fresh enough to do himself justice from stall three.
Form last 6-66600
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR99RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Ziggy's Triton has been unplaced in two of his most recent starts and faces a stiff task from stall 14 off 122 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and showed he retains ability with a win three starts back.
Form last 6707100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR91RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 21 of 22 on our figures, Another Baar makes a tough case to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns after just 18 days, suggesting he is fit and ready.
Form last 6000607
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR90RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Corolla Point owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Edward BethellCallum Rodriguez
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Stratusnine
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · Hugo Palmer✓ Value Signal
Gold Star Hero
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Michael Bell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Corolla Point (SR:107, 11/2, 9-8) is the clear class-leader in this field — the highest SR by 7 points over the next-best Stratusnine (SR:100) — and crucially carries a manageable weight of 9-8 rather than the 9-12 burden on both Dubai Bling and Stratusnine. The form string 1-3321 shows consistent placing at a high level with a recent win, and the market has steamed 18% from its opening price, signalling informed money. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this trip and good ground are squarely in the horse's wheelhouse, and Edward Bethell's 16% strike rate with Callum Rodriguez (17%) is a competent pairing in form. The weight-adjusted SR advantage is the decisive factor in a competitive 22-runner heritage handicap.
Each-way alternative: Stratusnine.
Main danger: Stratusnine — Stratusnine (SR:100, 9/1) holds Course:W1P2 at York — a rare and meaningful advantage in a heritage handicap on a specialist track — backed both by DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, with an 8% market move in, and James Doyle in the saddle, making it the clearest course-form threat to the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Course record is W0P1 — one placed effort but no York win; in a 22-runner heritage handicap the track's unique long straight can expose horses who haven't won there before.
Form string 1-3321 shows a declining sequence of three consecutive non-wins since the last victory; the trend is moving away from a win rather than towards one.
Toca Madera (SR:94, 9-4, 11/2) has matched Corolla Point's market move (in16%) and carries 18lb less; the weight concession to several unexposed rivals at these big-field handicap conditions is non-t…
MarkMv of only +3 is modest compared to Stratusnine (+9) and Toca Madera (+10), suggesting the market-mover money is pointing elsewhere in the field despite Corolla Point's headline SR advantage.
ShortlistCorolla Point, Stratusnine, Naana's Sparkle, Lexington Blitz