Kingmoor Park Properties Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m3f39y
Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Aleatrix | 4/5 | 4/7 | — | — | — | — | 4/5 Bet365 |
| 1 Peace Belle | 4/9 open 1.53 | 1/3 open 1.40 | 2/5 open 1.25 | 2/5 open 1.25 | 2/5 open 1.25 | 4/9 open 1.25 | 4/9 Bet365 |
| 3 Green Area | 2/1 open 2.63 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 9/4 Coral |
| 4 Lazy In Red | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Peace Belle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Peace Belle (SR 154, 1/3) drops two class tiers, which is the single most compelling structural signal in this race — a proven 154-rated filly finding an easier assignment. At 9-10 she carries 8lb more than Green Area but that weight concession is easily absorbed given the class advantage. While her form reads 44, those placed efforts come at a higher level than today, and Jennie Candlish's 14% strike rate is respectable. The main hesitation is that Green Area matches her on SR (154) and carries less weight, but the 18% market drift on Green Area (out from a shorter price) is a meaningful red flag that connections or informed money is not confident. Each-way alternative: Green Area. Main danger: Green Area — Green Area matches Peace Belle at SR 154, carries 8lb less at 9-2, and Charlie Johnston's yard is a high-volume operation with Connor Beasley booked — but the 18% drift from opening price is a genuine concern that tempers enthusiasm.