Kempton (AW) 20:30 RESULTED
Class 4 19 Aug 2026

Wednesday 19 August Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div III)

Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div III) · 1m

Official Result

Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div III)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cavolo Nero (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Harry Eustace
    13/8F
  2. 11/2
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cavolo Nero silks
Cavolo Nero
Age 4 · 10-4
3-2341
87
95
98
4
10-4
9/4 31/19 9/4
Useful recent form with a win last time out and placed efforts dotted through recent starts, Cavolo Nero has experience of today's distance and going and a rating of 98 marks him as the one to beat here, though connections will hope the 70-day absence has not blunted his edge.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Malachy's Wish silks
Malachy's Wish
Age 3 · 10-1
110-01
84
87
87
3
10-1
7/1 4/1 13/2
Malachy's Wish won last time out and has three wins in his last five starts, showing he is in the kind of form that makes him a serious contender here, with experience over today's trip an added tick; the two unplaced efforts sandwiched in between are the one note of caution.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Helm Rock silks
Helm Rock
Age 8 · 10-0
132674
83
85
92
8
10-0
7/1 6/1 13/2
Helm Rock shaped with promise when second and third in recent starts, and his experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour off a manageable 140 lb from stall 2; the concern is that he has not troubled the judge in his last three outings.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Talis Evolvere silks
Talis Evolvere
Age 6 · 9-11
082766
80
87
94
6
9-11
11/4 4/1 5/2
Talis Evolvere's rating of 94 marks him out as a serious threat in this field, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while a second four starts back hints at better lurking beneath recent disappointing efforts; the main risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Rogue Defence silks
Rogue Defence
Age 3 · 9-10
151
85
90
84
3
9-10
10/3 9/4 10/3
Rogue Defence won last time out and has run over today's trip, but 44 days on the sidelines and 136 lb are the questions he must answer, and a fifth two starts back is the only blot on two wins in his last three.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Port Road silks
Port Road
Age 5 · 9-8
161804
77
58
82
5
9-8
16/1 20/1 16/1
Port Road has managed just two wins in his last six starts, finishing fourth last time out and unplaced the run before, and his ranking of seventh of nine on our figures makes him hard to fancy; he does at least carry experience over today's trip and going, and returns on a sharp turnaround of 11 days.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Royale Goodnight silks
Royale Goodnight
Age 4 · 9-6
18/2-0
75
62
80
4
9-6
16/1 FCST 14/1
A lengthy absence of 123 days makes Royale Goodnight hard to recommend, and ranked last on our figures she faces a stiff ask; however, she does hold a win in her last four starts and has experience over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
White Crown Star silks
White Crown Star
Age 4 · 9-4
339-00
73
54
83
4
9-4
100/1 25/1 66/1
Winless in his last five starts, White Crown Star does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a rating of 83 suggests some untapped ability; but recent unplaced efforts make it hard to fancy him from stall nine off 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

9
Port Erin silks
Port Erin
Age 6 · 9-1
09-085
70
52
81
6
9-1
40/1 14/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Port Erin is hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip and going before; 51 days off the track adds further uncertainty.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cavolo Nero 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 Bet365
2 Malachy's Wish 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 Bet365
3 Helm Rock 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 7/1 Bet365
4 Talis Evolvere 11/4 open 9.00 5/2 open 6.50 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 Bet365
5 Rogue Defence 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 William Hill
6 Port Road 16/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 Paddy Power
7 Royale Goodnight 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
8 White Crown Star 100/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
9 Port Erin 40/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Cavolo Nero

Speculative

Cavolo Nero owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Harry Eustace Kaiya Fraser
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rogue Defence

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Jack Jones
✓ Value Signal

White Crown Star

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Ian Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Cavolo Nero
57.8 9/4
2 5. Rogue Defence
55.9 10/3
3 4. Talis Evolvere
55.3 11/4
4 3. Helm Rock
52.2 7/1
5 2. Malachy's Wish
51.6 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rogue Defence
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-4
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 9-11
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 10-1
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 10-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-6
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rogue Defence
Confidence: Medium

Rogue Defence tops the composite score at SR 90 trading at 10/3. Composite ranks the field on SR + market + form + connections + distance/going fit — the pick is the best cross-signal case, not just the best SR.

Shortlist Rogue Defence, Malachy's Wish, Cavolo Nero, Helm Rock, Talis Evolvere
Each-way: Malachy's Wish Danger: Cavolo Nero

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade