Tim Kelly Group Handicap Hurdle · 2m6f113y
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
SR 84 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nothing Hectic | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Cornaroya Rocco | 17/2 open 7.00 | — | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Tannery Park | 13/2 open 7.00 | — | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 4 The Little Yank | 11/1 open 13.00 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 5 Pilgrims Walk | 5/1 open 7.00 | — | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Political Stance | 12/1 open 9.50 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 It's Time Again | 11/1 open 13.00 | — | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Ranger Billy | 11/1 open 9.50 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Poetic Focus | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Chanceitlucky | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Moonshine Girl | 9/2 open 7.00 | — | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 12 Urbs Intacta Manet | 40/1 open 51.00 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Mini Getaway | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Tawny Lea | 28/1 open 67.00 | — | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 Betfred |
| 15 Queen Kulina | 10/1 | — | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 16 La Tene | 11/1 open 9.50 | — | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Lost Features | 22/1 open 34.00 | — | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Everystep Oftheway | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 19 Joshua Chamberlain | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Pilgrims Walk owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Moonshine Girl (SR:81, 11/2) is the highest-rated horse with a realistic weight (10-10) and is the only runner showing genuine market confidence — shortening 9% from opening. Her form string P8-722 shows back-to-back placed efforts most recently, indicating she is in decent form heading into this. At SR:81 she sits comfortably above the field median, and the DistFit:~ confirms she is at least moderate at this trip. The Paul John Gilligan/Jack Gilligan combination is competent and the tongue-tie application adds a layer of connections intent. GoingFit:- is a genuine concern, but in a weak €6,000 field where the next-best rated runner (Tannery Park, SR:84) has drifted 5% and lacks any going or distance confirmation, Moonshine Girl's market move carries more weight. Each-way alternative: Pilgrims Walk. Main danger: Tannery Park — Tannery Park (SR:84, 13/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and, despite a modest 5% drift, carries a realistic weight of 11-13 with Sean Flanagan — an 8% career striker — aboard, and any improvement on an unresolved distance profile could see him go very close.