Fitzdares Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f12y
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Harry Knows | 4/5 open 2.50 | — | 4/5 open 2.50 | 4/5 open 2.50 | 5/6 open 2.50 | 4/5 open 2.38 | 5/6 William Hill |
| 2 Keep Kicking On | 9/2 open 4.33 | — | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 This Moment | 4/1 open 3.25 | — | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Everatease | 8/1 open 7.00 | — | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 5 El Lambo | 25/1 | — | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Harry Knows owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Harry Knows (SR 98, 5/6) is the standout on every meaningful signal. An SR of 98 is comfortably the highest in this five-runner Class 4 field, and the 12-point gap over the next-best rivals is decisive at this level. The market has already told the story — a 26% inward move to 5/6 from a presumably longer opening price signals strong professional confidence, not just punter enthusiasm. Course form is confirmed (W1P1 at Windsor), distance fitness is rated '+', and Oisin Murphy's booking (21% career strike rate from 1,291 rides) is the classiest jockey combination in the race. Carrying 9-10 with a MarkMv:+3 is a minor concern, but the SR superiority more than compensates at this class level. Each-way alternative: Keep Kicking On. Main danger: Keep Kicking On — Keep Kicking On (SR 86, 5/1) won last time out and carries a favourable 9-7 with Course:W1P1, meaning it has already scored at Windsor and the drop back to familiar ground gives it the best residual chance of upsetting the favourite.