Napolian won three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, so conditions hold no fears; the worry is his two most recent efforts have yielded only a fourth and an unplaced run, suggesting he needs to recapture that earlier spark.
Form last 64-8104
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR75RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts and returning after a lengthy 293-day absence, Adiada faces a stiff task here — our rating of 62 ranks her ninth of ten. She has run over today's trip before, and the second two starts back offers a slim crumb of comfort.
Form last 6524-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR62RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent in the places, Keep An Eye On It brings solid each-way form — third last time out, second two starts back — and has experience over today's trip and conditions. Drawing stall one carrying 133 lb, he's yet to win in recent starts but tops our figures.
Form last 644-523
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR77RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beckon showed ability with a win three starts back and is third last time out, but 117 days off the track is a significant fitness concern, and ranked eighth of ten on our figures she faces a stiff ask here despite having experience over today's trip.
Form last 6431-63
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR68RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Wise Crack won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a mixed recent record — four unplaced or beaten efforts in his other last four starts — suggests consistency is the concern, and 132 lb is no easy burden.
Form last 6-05681
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR70RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Paroda Diva brings a win and a runner-up finish in her last two starts, showing sharp recent form, and she has experience of today's distance and going. The main concern is a 68-day absence since that placed effort.
Form last 6-74612
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Vega Storm was fourth two starts back before an unplaced effort three starts back clouds confidence, though he has experience over today's trip and going, and returns after 19 days carrying 129 lb from stall seven.
Form last 6335046
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR69RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent if winless in recent starts, Light The Night Up steps up with experience of today's trip and going, and her rating of 70 marks her as a genuine threat from stall 10; the worry is she's yet to convert that consistency into a win.
Form last 63-4455
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR70RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hatamoto won two of his last six starts and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but that sixth last time out tempers enthusiasm, and he faces stiff competition rated above him from stall six carrying 126 lb.
Form last 6372116
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR69RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts, with finishes of ninth, eighth and seventh in recent outings, Our Randolph arrives after a 56-day absence and ranks last on our figures here; he has run over today's trip and going, but there is precious little else to tempt.
Form last 687-9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR57RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Keep An Eye On It owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Tony Coyle & Kaine WoodDavid Nolan
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Paroda Diva
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Patrick Neville✓ Value Signal
Beckon
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Susan Corbett◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Napolian (SR 74, 13/2) has steamed in 37% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — which is a powerful signal in a modest Class 5 handicap where connections rarely fire without cause. His SR of 74 is joint-second best in the field, he carries 9-9 which is manageable, and his GoingFit is confirmed positive on today's good ground. The 13-day turnaround with a yard that has Tudhope booked (16% strike rate, 823 runners) suggests this is a live, intended run. The form string 4-8104 includes a recent '0' which obscures what may be a trip or ground misfire, and his last-time-out 4 at the same class keeps him on a fair mark.
Each-way alternative: Light The Night Up.
Main danger: Hatamoto — Hatamoto (SR 77, 11/2) is the top-rated horse in the field, drops to 9-0 — the lightest weight of any realistic contender — and showed back-to-back wins (11) recently before a class rise, though his negative GoingFit on good ground is the key concern that keeps him off the top spot.
ShortlistNapolian, Hatamoto, Keep An Eye On It, Light The Night Up