Grey Gardens arrives with experience over today's trip and going, and our rating places him top of a 19-runner field — a strong claim for favouritism. Third three starts back and fourth last time, he's winless in recent starts, and 38 days off is the query.
Form last 630-374
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR96RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last five starts and ranked 12 of 19 here, Home By The Sea does have experience over today's trip and going, but a burden of 167 lb makes life hard for a gelding who has managed just a fourth and a fifth in recent outings.
Form last 6500-40
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR85RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Showed a second three starts back and won four starts back, but two unplaced runs since leave him needing to bounce back after 74 days off; he has run over today's trip and the 165 lb burden is the obvious concern.
Form last 6/12-00
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR92RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in recent starts, The Vegas Raider nonetheless showed promise with a second three starts back, though an unseated last time and a hefty 163 lb to carry are the checks on his claims; experience over today's trip and going at least counts in his favour.
Form last 60920/U
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR94RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Scrambled back to winning ways two starts back but has looked below that level since, finishing unplaced last time out; he has run over today's distance and going before, though 161 lb is a stiff ask for one ranked seventh of nineteen.
Form last 69-0510
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR91RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed second last time out after a string of moderate efforts, Cool Summer arrives here 35 days on with experience of today's trip and conditions in her favour — winless in her last five, but that runner-up showing and a rating of 93 make her a tempting each-way proposition under 156 lb.
Form last 6806-62
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR93RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 13 of 19 on our figures, Euro Maker also pulled up three starts back and has 75 days off as a fitness concern; has run over today's trip and going, but a ninth last time out makes him hard to fancy here.
Form last 600P2-9
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR83RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sayitfirst has consecutive seconds in her recent record and a win before that, showing she can mix it at this level, and has run over today's trip and going — our rating of 95 puts her right in the mix; the risk is that pulled-up run on return from 246 days off.
Form last 61229P-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR95RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Victoria Kesia does at least return third three starts back to show she can find the frame, and she has run over today's trip and going before; however, carrying 156 lb looks a stiff ask for a mare rated 87.
Form last 6-08308
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR89RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last five starts and 108 days off the track, The Toothpicker arrives short of recent encouragement, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 91 gives him a sliver of upside at 155 lb.
Form last 600555-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR91RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and pulled up three runs back, All In Peder arrives on a retrieval mission; he has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 153 lb as an 11th-ranked runner makes progression a tough ask.
Form last 68P0/0-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR88RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Winless in her last four starts — including three pull-ups — and ranked well adrift on our figures, Spread The Faith faces a stiff ask here; a return to today's trip and going at least offers familiar conditions, but 81 days off and 150 lb make this hard to fancy.
Form last 6/PPP-4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR72RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 17th of 19 on our figures, Lunar Landscape is hard to fancy here; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a 148 lb burden makes life even tougher.
Form last 6/00-60
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR71RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 15th of 19 on our figures, Sidiriya faces a stiff ask under 145 lb, though second and third finishes two and three starts back show she can get competitive — and she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 606-325
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR75RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts — including a fall — and ranked 18 of 19 on our figures, Bangor Lady faces an uphill task, with a trainer who has gone 0/24 in the last 14 days adding little confidence; experience over today's trip and going is the one small crumb of comfort.
Form last 6F-0088
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR63RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in recent starts and pulled up last time out, Western Doyen returns after a 643-day absence — a huge ask at this level — though he has run over today's distance and going before, and a second two starts back offers a sliver of hope.
Form last 67462P/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Pulled up last time out and winless in his last five starts, Calm Flight Ahead returns after 74 days off carrying 148 lb; he's lightly raced and unexposed enough to leave that latest effort behind.
Form last 60000-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Ikalimix lines up just seven days after his last outing, and having run over today's trip and going, he arrives with strong claims — our rating has him second of 19. The fall in his most recent start is the obvious concern for a horse winless in his last four.
Form last 665/0-F
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR95RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last five starts and stepping back out just four days after his latest unplaced effort, Moulane West faces a stiff ask under 157 lb; he has run over today's trip and going before, though a rating of 90 suggests he holds his own in this field.
Form last 690-090
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR90RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cool Summer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Miss Hilary McLoughlinSean Flanagan
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Let Him B
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/2 · C Byrnes✓ Value Signal
All In Peder
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
100/1 · Keelan Dempsey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Cool Summer (SR:86, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a relatively manageable 11-2, benefiting from a favourable weight position against the top-weights at 11-13. The market has steamed 18% since opening — the strongest inbound money in the entire field — which on a competitive 19-runner handicap hurdle at a provincial track is a meaningful signal that connections are bullish. The headgear change (hood, first-time listed as 'h') adds a tactical reason for the market move, suggesting connections believe this addresses an issue. Trainer McLoughlin's 2% overall strike rate is a concern, but the combined weight edge, top SR, and decisive market support outweigh that in a field where rivals carry significant red flags.
Each-way alternative: Grey Gardens.
Main danger: Bangor Lady — Bangor Lady (SR:69, 8/1, Wgt:10-3) has steamed 51% in the market — the biggest inbound move in the field — and carries a 10lb+ weight advantage over the top-weights, which on good ground over this trip could offset the moderate SR if the market knows something about recent home work.
ShortlistCool Summer, Grey Gardens, Sidiriya, Let Him B