Winless in his last five starts, My Trump Card nevertheless holds the strongest rating in the field and has run over today's trip before; carrying 166 lb is the concern, but he is fresh on just eight days' rest and demands respect.
Form last 68560-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR122RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Killowen House showed his class with a win in his last five starts and ran a solid third two starts back, so the zip is there — today's going holds no fears, and 12 days between runs suggests freshness. The weight of 161 lb is the one factor to navigate.
Form last 61-3734
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
99SR110RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dorans Law ran a bold race to finish second last time out and, ranked second in the field on our ratings, he shapes as a serious threat here; winless in his last five starts, however, he must prove he can convert that consistency into a win.
Form last 6P-6572
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR116RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Lord Ffrench nevertheless has experience of today's going and arrives fresh on just 12 days' rest, with our rating of 110 marking him out as a live contender — the concern is that his recent string of back-of-field finishes offers little encouragement.
Form last 676-867
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR110RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Strange Currency faces a stiff task here; 87 days off the track adds a fitness query, though he has run over today's going before and that counts for something.
Form last 667U5-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR103RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, with a third three starts back and a runner-up four starts back hinting at ability he hasn't lately reproduced; a trainer firing at just 4% adds concern, though going experience and an 11-point ratings edge over his mark offer some encouragement.
Form last 60236-7
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR108RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Run For The Border faces a stiff ask here — a return just four days ago adds to the concern, and her trainer is without a winner in 24 attempts over the past fortnight. Going experience at least offers some consolation.
Form last 657-324
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR96RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts but showed a return to form with a third last time out, and has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 142 lb looks the stiffest hurdle for a mare rated 104 by us yet to fully convert her ability.
Form last 637-553
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR104RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Run For The Border owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4John Patrick RyanDaniel King
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Down Around
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · Gordon Elliott✓ Value Signal
My Trump Card
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · John C McConnell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Killowen House (SR:99, 4/1, 11-7) carries the highest SR in the field bar Dorans Law and Down Around, but crucially has a recent win in his form (Form:1-3734 — win two runs back at this trip-range class) and is trained by a yard with a low but functional strike rate at 4%. The market drift of 7% is a mild negative but at 4/1 this remains a competitive price for the highest-confidence form line in the field — that recent '1' is the only win shown by any runner. GoingFit:~ confirms he handles good ground adequately. Wgt:11-7 is not punitive, and at 6 years old he is younger and more progressive than the older horses clogging the top weights. Each-way alternative is Killowen House itself given the each-way terms, with Ladiam (SR:97, 9/2) as the danger — steaming 7% in the market, lowest weight at 10-2, and a handler-neutral mark (MarkMv:=) suggesting no penalty creep.
Each-way alternative: Ladiam.
Main danger: Ladiam — Ladiam (SR:97, 9/2, 10-2) is steaming 7% in the market, carries the lowest weight in the field, is running off an identical mark to last win (MarkMv:=), and GoingFit:~ confirms he handles today's ground — connections clearly fancy their chances.
ShortlistKillowen House, Ladiam, Run For The Border