Ballybollen is unraced and makes his debut here, with nothing on the book yet to judge him by. He carries 168 lb and is a complete form-book blank, unexposed and unproven on his first start.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
151SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Colga Boys is unraced and untested on his debut, with no working form yet to go on. He carries 168 lb and remains a blank slate, entirely open to what he shows on debut.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 125 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ealu Tapa was 9th on his only start to date, 45 days ago, and is yet to win in that solitary run. Still finding his feet at an early stage, he carries 168 lb here.
Form last 69
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
148SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Josh's Jury was 8th on his only start, a long way back now at 304 days ago, and remains without a win. Fresh off a lengthy absence, he carries 168 lb and has plenty to prove.
Form last 68-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
149SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 12-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Long Story has been 7th in both his starts to date, most recently 36 days ago, without troubling the judge for a win either time. Lightly raced and yet to click, he carries 168 lb.
Form last 677
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
138SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Merci Vieil Ami has failed to complete in both his starts to date, pulled up last time out 87 days ago having unseated on the run before that. Still winless as a result, he carries 168 lb and remains a work in progress.
Form last 6UP-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
114SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Millers Point has failed to complete on both his starts to date, pulled up each time, and hasn't been seen since 479 days ago. A long time off the track and still winless, he carries 168 lb on his return.
Form last 6PP/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 125 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Moundofthehostages has been unplaced in both his starts to date, most recently 37 days ago, and remains without a win. Still finding his level on this scant evidence, he carries 168 lb here.
Form last 600
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
120SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Saviour Blu was unseated last time out, 15 days ago, having finished unplaced on the run before that, and remains without a win in his two starts to date. Quick to reappear, he carries 168 lb.
Form last 60-U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
117SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Srah is unraced and makes his debut here, with no working form to go on. He carries 168 lb and is very much one to watch with an open mind rather than assess on evidence.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
139SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tommy's Ticket was 6th on his only start, 36 days ago, and is yet to win in that solitary outing. He wears a hood here and carries 168 lb, with more expected as he gains experience.
Form last 66
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
148SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Hometomayo was a 4th last time out, 65 days ago, having pulled up in each of her previous three starts. She remains without a win in that sequence and carries 161 lb here.
Form last 6P/PP-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
122SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pamelaisbrass was unplaced last time out, 17 days ago, having finished 6th on the run before that, and is yet to win in two starts. She carries 161 lb on a quick reappearance.
Form last 66-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
124SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 124 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ballybollen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Henry De BromheadMr J L Gleeson
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Tommy's Ticket
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Chris Timmons✓ Value Signal
Hometomayo
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Charles Reilly◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Josh's Jury (SR:149, 9/2) is the standout market mover in this field, having been backed in by 30% — the only horse steaming in a race where every other runner has drifted, some dramatically. That market confidence is the single clearest signal in a race where distance and going fit is unknown for all 13 runners. The SR of 149 is competitive, second only to Ballybollen (SR:151) but Ballybollen has drifted 7% and is the 7/4 favourite being opposed by money. Josh's Jury's jockey Mr O McGill has a 15% career strike rate from 75 rides — solid for an amateur/conditional in this bumper-style flat race context. The combination of SR in the top tier, strong inbound money, and trainer confidence signals this is the yard's intended winner.
Each-way alternative: Ealu Tapa.
Main danger: Ballybollen — Ballybollen holds the highest SR in the field (151) and is trained by Henry De Bromhead whose 14% strike rate from 961 runners is the best trainer stat on the card — if the market drift is noise rather than signal, the raw ability edge could tell.