Ballinrobe 20:09 21 Jul 2026
21 Jul 2026

Today Jennings Meats Flat Race

Jennings Meats Flat Race · 1m7f119y

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  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Josh's Jury Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 19 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ballybollen silks
Ballybollen
Age 5 · 12-0
151
5
12-0
7/4 3/2 31/19
Ballybollen is unraced and makes his debut here, with nothing on the book yet to judge him by. He carries 168 lb and is a complete form-book blank, unexposed and unproven on his first start.
AI verdict

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Colga Boys silks
Colga Boys
Age 5 · 12-0
125
5
12-0
22/1 16/1 20/1
Colga Boys is unraced and untested on his debut, with no working form yet to go on. He carries 168 lb and remains a blank slate, entirely open to what he shows on debut.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Ealu Tapa silks
Ealu Tapa
Age 5 · 12-0
9
148
5
12-0
4/1 7/2 4/1
Ealu Tapa was 9th on his only start to date, 45 days ago, and is yet to win in that solitary run. Still finding his feet at an early stage, he carries 168 lb here.
AI verdict

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Josh's Jury silks
Josh's Jury
Age 5 · 12-0
8-
149
5
12-0
9/2 13/2 7/2
Josh's Jury was 8th on his only start, a long way back now at 304 days ago, and remains without a win. Fresh off a lengthy absence, he carries 168 lb and has plenty to prove.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 12-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Long Story silks
Long Story
Age 6 · 12-0
77
138
6
12-0
12/1 10/1 12/1
Long Story has been 7th in both his starts to date, most recently 36 days ago, without troubling the judge for a win either time. Lightly raced and yet to click, he carries 168 lb.
AI verdict

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Merci Vieil Ami silks
Merci Vieil Ami
Age 5 · 12-0
UP-
114
5
12-0
28/1 16/1 28/1
Merci Vieil Ami has failed to complete in both his starts to date, pulled up last time out 87 days ago having unseated on the run before that. Still winless as a result, he carries 168 lb and remains a work in progress.
AI verdict

SR 114 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Millers Point silks
Millers Point
Age 6 · 12-0
PP/
125
6
12-0
18/1 16/1 18/1
Millers Point has failed to complete on both his starts to date, pulled up each time, and hasn't been seen since 479 days ago. A long time off the track and still winless, he carries 168 lb on his return.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Moundofthehostages silks
Moundofthehostages
Age 5 · 12-0
00
120
5
12-0
100/1 50/1 100/1
Moundofthehostages has been unplaced in both his starts to date, most recently 37 days ago, and remains without a win. Still finding his level on this scant evidence, he carries 168 lb here.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Saviour Blu silks
Saviour Blu
Age 7 · 12-0
0-U
117
7
12-0
100/1 50/1 100/1
Saviour Blu was unseated last time out, 15 days ago, having finished unplaced on the run before that, and remains without a win in his two starts to date. Quick to reappear, he carries 168 lb.
AI verdict

SR 117 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Srah silks
Srah
Age 6 · 12-0
139
6
12-0
11/1 10/1 11/1
Srah is unraced and makes his debut here, with no working form to go on. He carries 168 lb and is very much one to watch with an open mind rather than assess on evidence.
AI verdict

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Tommy's Ticket silks
Tommy's Ticket
Age 5 · 12-0
6
148
5
12-0
4/1
Tommy's Ticket was 6th on his only start, 36 days ago, and is yet to win in that solitary outing. He wears a hood here and carries 168 lb, with more expected as he gains experience.
AI verdict

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Hometomayo silks
Hometomayo
Age 6 · 11-7
P/PP-4
122
6
11-7
50/1 40/1 50/1
Hometomayo was a 4th last time out, 65 days ago, having pulled up in each of her previous three starts. She remains without a win in that sequence and carries 161 lb here.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Pamelaisbrass silks
Pamelaisbrass
Age 5 · 11-7
6-0
124
5
11-7
100/1 50/1 80/1
Pamelaisbrass was unplaced last time out, 17 days ago, having finished 6th on the run before that, and is yet to win in two starts. She carries 161 lb on a quick reappearance.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ballybollen 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 7/4 Bet365
2 Colga Boys 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Ealu Tapa 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
4 Josh's Jury 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 Bet365
5 Long Story 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Merci Vieil Ami 28/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Coral
7 Millers Point 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Moundofthehostages 100/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 Coral
9 Saviour Blu 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365
10 Srah 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 Bet365
11 Tommy's Ticket 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
12 Hometomayo 50/1 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
13 Pamelaisbrass 100/1 open 81.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ballybollen

Live signal

Ballybollen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Henry De Bromhead Mr J L Gleeson
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tommy's Ticket

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Chris Timmons
✓ Value Signal

Hometomayo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Charles Reilly
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Ballybollen
71.0 7/4
2 11. Tommy's Ticket
70.4 4/1
3 4. Josh's Jury
67.3 9/2
4 3. Ealu Tapa
66.7 4/1
5 10. Srah
66.1 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Josh's Jury
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 12-0
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 12-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 148 🐾

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 5 · 12-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 148 🐾

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 12-0
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 149 🐾

Favourable weight of 12-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Age 6 · 12-0
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 139 🐾

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 12-0
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 138 🐾

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 12-0
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 125 🐾

SR 125 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Josh's Jury
Confidence: Medium

Josh's Jury (SR:149, 9/2) is the standout market mover in this field, having been backed in by 30% — the only horse steaming in a race where every other runner has drifted, some dramatically. That market confidence is the single clearest signal in a race where distance and going fit is unknown for all 13 runners. The SR of 149 is competitive, second only to Ballybollen (SR:151) but Ballybollen has drifted 7% and is the 7/4 favourite being opposed by money. Josh's Jury's jockey Mr O McGill has a 15% career strike rate from 75 rides — solid for an amateur/conditional in this bumper-style flat race context. The combination of SR in the top tier, strong inbound money, and trainer confidence signals this is the yard's intended winner. Each-way alternative: Ealu Tapa. Main danger: Ballybollen — Ballybollen holds the highest SR in the field (151) and is trained by Henry De Bromhead whose 14% strike rate from 961 runners is the best trainer stat on the card — if the market drift is noise rather than signal, the raw ability edge could tell.

Shortlist Josh's Jury, Ballybollen, Ealu Tapa
Each-way: Ealu Tapa Danger: Ballybollen

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m7f119y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting