Nottingham 17:50 21 Jul 2026
Class 5 21 Jul 2026

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  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
AI rates Squealer Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 21 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Velvet Goldmine silks
Velvet Goldmine Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-5
8-32
69
69OR
3
9-5
SP FCST 5/2
1
Mondammej silks
Mondammej
Age 9 · 10-0
024-06
74
73
74OR
9
10-0
13/2 11/2 6/1
A speed figure of 82 outstrips both its official mark of 74 and our rating of 80, and it was runner-up four starts back. It remains without a win in its last five starts, though, with only a sixth last time out the risk to note.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Squealer silks
Squealer
Age 6 · 9-13
-69058
73
79
73OR
6
9-13
11/10 3/1 11/10
Yet to win in its last five starts but the clear form pick on our figures at 81, boosted by a speed figure of 83 to match. Has already run over today's trip and going before, with the modest recent finishing positions the one blot.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Coyy silks
Coyy
Age 3 · 9-7
-01374
71
80
71OR
3
9-7
9/2 5/1 4/1
A third three starts back, and a winner four starts back, underline the ability, backed by a speed figure of 75. Rated third of four on our figures, though, with 31 days since a modest fourth last time out the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Come On Over silks
Come On Over
Age 3 · 9-4
708421
68
81
68OR
3
9-4
5/2 FCST 2/1
A winner last time out, and a runner-up two starts back, point to decent recent form for this gelding. Rated only fourth of four on our figures, though, with a modest speed figure of 60 the concern.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Velvet Goldmine 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 Bet365
1 Mondammej 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 Bet365
2 Squealer 11/10 open 4.50 6/5 open 5.50 6/5 open 5.00 11/10 open 4.00 6/5 open 5.00 6/5 Coral
3 Coyy 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Come On Over 5/2 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 2/1 5/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Come On Over

Speculative

Come On Over owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 David O'Meara Daniel Tudhope
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mondammej

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Antony Brittain
✓ Value Signal

Mondammej

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

13/2 · Antony Brittain
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Come On Over
54.1 5/2
2 1. Mondammej
52.7 13/2
3 3. Coyy
52.6 9/2
4 2. Squealer
52.2 11/10
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Squealer
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 9-13
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 10-0
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Squealer
Confidence: Medium

Squealer (SR:79, 11/10) has steamed in by 55% in the market — the most dramatic move in this four-runner field — and carries a MarkMv:-15 which means connections are targeting a mark well below the last winning mark, a classic pattern for a yard (Nigel Tinkler, 10% SR) placing a horse to win. Rowan Scott's 12% career strike rate comfortably outstrips the rest of the jockey booking in this race. The GoingFit:- on good-to-firm is a genuine concern, but the class drop (↓1) and a 15lb mark reduction are powerful enough compensators in a weak Class 5 field. At 11/10, the market has done the heavy lifting, and the weight of evidence from the mark drop plus the market confidence outweighs the going reservation. Each-way alternative: Coyy. Main danger: Coyy — Coyy (SR:80, 9/2) holds a 6lb weight advantage over Squealer, has GoingFit:+ confirming it handles good-to-firm ground well, has shortened 10% in the market, and at age 3 carries the progressive profile that can upset older rivals on a flat sprint.

Shortlist Squealer, Coyy, Come On Over
Each-way: Coyy Danger: Coyy

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m5f8y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade