A speed figure of 82 outstrips both its official mark of 74 and our rating of 80, and it was runner-up four starts back. It remains without a win in its last five starts, though, with only a sixth last time out the risk to note.
Form last 6024-06
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in its last five starts but the clear form pick on our figures at 81, boosted by a speed figure of 83 to match. Has already run over today's trip and going before, with the modest recent finishing positions the one blot.
Form last 6-69058
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A third three starts back, and a winner four starts back, underline the ability, backed by a speed figure of 75. Rated third of four on our figures, though, with 31 days since a modest fourth last time out the main concern.
Form last 6-01374
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR—RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A winner last time out, and a runner-up two starts back, point to decent recent form for this gelding. Rated only fourth of four on our figures, though, with a modest speed figure of 60 the concern.
Form last 6708421
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Come On Over owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2David O'MearaDaniel Tudhope
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mondammej
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Antony Brittain✓ Value Signal
Mondammej
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
13/2 · Antony Brittain◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Squealer (SR:79, 11/10) has steamed in by 55% in the market — the most dramatic move in this four-runner field — and carries a MarkMv:-15 which means connections are targeting a mark well below the last winning mark, a classic pattern for a yard (Nigel Tinkler, 10% SR) placing a horse to win. Rowan Scott's 12% career strike rate comfortably outstrips the rest of the jockey booking in this race. The GoingFit:- on good-to-firm is a genuine concern, but the class drop (↓1) and a 15lb mark reduction are powerful enough compensators in a weak Class 5 field. At 11/10, the market has done the heavy lifting, and the weight of evidence from the mark drop plus the market confidence outweighs the going reservation.
Each-way alternative: Coyy.
Main danger: Coyy — Coyy (SR:80, 9/2) holds a 6lb weight advantage over Squealer, has GoingFit:+ confirming it handles good-to-firm ground well, has shortened 10% in the market, and at age 3 carries the progressive profile that can upset older rivals on a flat sprint.