Nottingham 17:15 21 Jul 2026
Class 5 21 Jul 2026

Today Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap Stakes

Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap Stakes · 0m6f18y

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  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Jenever Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 21 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Emperor Caradoc silks
Emperor Caradoc
Age 7 · 10-0
013562
75
74
75OR
7
10-0
3/1 5/2 3/1
Runner-up last time out, and a winner five starts back, in its last six starts, having run over today's trip and going before and only 17 days since that latest run. Rated third of eight, though a couple of moderate mid-pack efforts in between are the risk.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Sixtygeesbaby silks
Sixtygeesbaby
Age 4 · 10-0
805085
75
72
75OR
4
10-0
2/1 32/17 2/1
Yet to win in its last six starts but the clear form pick on our figures, rated 83 and ranked number one of eight. Fresh enough 10 days on and with today's trip and going already covered, the modest recent form is the only knock.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Hoodie Hoo silks
Hoodie Hoo
Age 4 · 9-13
6-2445
74
70
74OR
4
9-13
9/2 3/1 9/2
Fourth two and three starts back, and a second four starts back, without a win in its last five starts. Rated second of eight on our figures, having already run over today's trip and going, but last time's fifth was modest.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Jenever silks
Jenever
Age 7 · 9-11
056578
72
69
72OR
7
9-11
9/2 5/1 9/2
A speed figure of 80 outstrips both its official mark of 72 and our own rating of 76, hinting at more in hand, but it is without a win in its last six starts and steps up now after 37 days off.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Loquella silks
Loquella
Age 3 · 9-5
1-2657
71
48
71OR
3
9-5
28/1 28/1 25/1
A runner-up four starts back, and a winner five starts back, but the formline has since dipped, with a seventh last time out. Rated seventh of eight, though she has already run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

6
Logi Bear silks
Logi Bear
Age 3 · 9-4
0-6629
70
67
70OR
3
9-4
15/2 6/1 15/2
A runner-up two starts back is the standout form, but either side of that sit two sixths and a ninth last time out, without a win in its last five starts. Rated fifth of eight, and has already run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Southern Warrior silks
Southern Warrior
Age 3 · 9-1
541350
67
48
67OR
3
9-1
50/1 33/1 40/1
Bottom of our rankings at 65 and last of eight, though a third three starts back, and a winner four starts back, show latent ability. Unplaced last time out, and 39 days without a run, add to the concerns.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Dark Kestrel silks
Dark Kestrel
Age 6 · 8-9
446738
55
35
55OR
6
8-9
28/1 20/1 25/1
Rated 14 lb above its official mark of 55, hinting at unexploited ability. A third two starts back is the standout, but an eighth last time out, without a win in its last six starts, shows the inconsistency risk.
AI verdict

SR 35 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Emperor Caradoc 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 Bet365
2 Sixtygeesbaby 2/1 2/1 2/1 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 2/1 Bet365
3 Hoodie Hoo 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Jenever 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Loquella 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 Bet365
6 Logi Bear 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
7 Southern Warrior 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
8 Dark Kestrel 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sixtygeesbaby

Speculative

Sixtygeesbaby owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 David O'Meara Daniel Tudhope
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Emperor Caradoc

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Paul Midgley
✓ Value Signal

Southern Warrior

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Olly Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Sixtygeesbaby
55.1 2/1
2 1. Emperor Caradoc
54.3 3/1
3 4. Jenever
50.6 9/2
4 3. Hoodie Hoo
50.2 9/2
5 6. Logi Bear
46.1 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jenever
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 10-0
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 10-0
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-11
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jenever
Confidence: Medium

Jenever (SR:69, 9/2) is running off a mark 6lb lower than its last win — the most significant MarkMv advantage in the field — and the 18% market support (steaming in from opening) signals informed money backing that drop. Course form backs this up with W1P1 at Nottingham, a genuinely useful edge on a specialist track. The weight of 9-11 is favourable relative to the co-topweights Emperor Caradoc and Sixtygeesbaby both on 10-0, giving Jenever a 3lb pull on raw weight. Although GoingFit:- is a concern on this Good to Firm ground, the market support and the -6 mark drop suggest connections are confident the conditions won't stop the horse. Each-way alternative: Emperor Caradoc. Main danger: Emperor Caradoc — Emperor Caradoc has the best course record in the field (W2P3 at Nottingham) and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles this Good to Firm ground, meaning conditions are firmly in his favour despite the 13% drift and rising mark.

Shortlist Jenever, Emperor Caradoc, Sixtygeesbaby
Each-way: Emperor Caradoc Danger: Emperor Caradoc

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f18y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade