Musselburgh 16:00 21 Jul 2026
Class 5 21 Jul 2026

Today Celebrating The Musselburgh Festival 2026 Handicap Stakes

Celebrating The Musselburgh Festival 2026 Handicap Stakes · 0m7f15y

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14:30–17:30 · 7 races

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18:00–21:00 · 7 races

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Voting open
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Carolus Magnus Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 19 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Black Storm silks
Black Storm
Age 5 · 9-13
-44253
67
54
67OR
5
9-13
SP
SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

?
Carolus Magnus silks
Carolus Magnus
Age 8 · 9-12
20-261
66
54
66OR
8
9-12
SP
SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

?
Keep Me Stable silks
Keep Me Stable
Age 6 · 9-7
113-70
61
46
61OR
6
9-7
SP
SR 46 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

?
Lady Gormire silks
Lady Gormire
Age 3 · 9-8
28-232
TBA
69
58
69OR
3
9-8
SP
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

?
Masaban silks
Masaban
Age 3 · 9-8
-61352
TBA
69
59
69OR
3
9-8
SP
SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

?
Napolian silks
Napolian
Age 3 · 9-9
34-810
TBA
70
58
70OR
3
9-9
SP
SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

?
Supreme Clarets silks
Supreme Clarets
Age 3 · 9-4
-74922
65
57
65OR
3
9-4
SP
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

?
The Gay Blade silks
The Gay Blade
Age 7 · 10-2
611150
TBA
70
58
70OR
7
10-2
SP
SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

?
We've Got This silks
We've Got This
Age 4 · 9-8
2-6573
62
47
62OR
4
9-8
SP
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

?
No Return silks
No Return
Age 4 · 9-12
784455
66
49
66OR
4
9-12
SP
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

?
Yaaser silks
Yaaser
Age 8 · 9-5
997595
59
46
59OR
8
9-5
SP
SR 46 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Black Storm

Speculative

Black Storm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (30) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

N/A Katie Scott Jason Hart
62% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Carolus Magnus

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · Michael & David Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Napolian

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

N/A · David O'Meara
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 0. Black Storm
45.7 N/A
2 0. Carolus Magnus
45.4 N/A
3 0. Lady Gormire
45.3 N/A
4 0. The Gay Blade
43.0 N/A
5 0. Supreme Clarets
43.0 N/A
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Carolus Magnus
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Carolus Magnus
Confidence: Speculative

Carolus Magnus (SR 54, Wgt 9-12) brings the strongest recent form in the field with a last-time-out win (form reads 20-261, rightmost digit = 1), backed by a trainer combination in Michael & David Easterby who have a solid 9% strike rate across 808 runners. The course record of W2P5 at Musselburgh is the most compelling course-specialist profile in this field, indicating genuine affinity for the track. Although stepping up a class (ClassMv:↑1) and running off a mark 2lb higher than the last win, the Musselburgh familiarity and winning momentum offset those concerns in a modest Class 5 heat where no rival posts a dominant multi-signal case. Joanna Mason (11%, 593 rides) is an experienced booking who knows the track. Each-way alternative: Masaban. Main danger: Napolian — Napolian (SR 58) has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), which is a straightforward positive combination even if the recent form string includes a couple of weak finishes.

Shortlist Carolus Magnus, Masaban, Napolian, Black Storm
Each-way: Masaban Danger: Napolian

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f15y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade