Great Mates won last time out and also five starts back, sandwiching a middling spell (2nd, 4th, 6th) in between. She returns over today's trip and going 19 days on, a leading threat on the strength of those two wins.
Form last 61-2461
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Darzah won last time out and three starts back either side of an odd eighth, and tops our figures for this five. She's back over today's trip and going 26 days on, the clear leading threat, with only that layoff and the stray effort as concerns.
Form last 65181
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Distant Shore won four starts back and has since added a third, a fifth and a runner-up effort last time out. It's been 38 days since that latest run, but she returns over today's trip and going, and that overall shape of form makes her our selection.
Form last 61-352
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Porth Eilian won last time out and three starts back either side of a third, a progressive shape after starting out with a fourth and fifth. She returns over today's trip and going 17 days on, a leading threat on that pattern of improvement.
Form last 6-54131
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Luna Celeste won two starts back and has been runner-up in three of her last four starts, a consistent record even though she rates lowest of this five on our figures. She returns over today's trip and going 26 days on, hard to rule out despite that gap.
Form last 62-212
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Distant Shore owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/8Roger VarianRay Dawson
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Darzah
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · William Haggas✓ Value Signal
Luna Celeste
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
8/1 · Tom Clover◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Darzah (SR 93, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries a workable 9-9, sitting 4lb below top-weight Great Mates. The form string 5181 shows a last-time-out win at this class, meaning she steps back up to a mark she's already proven at rather than venturing into unknown territory. William Haggas (21% strike rate, 991 runners) is one of the most powerful yards in training and the market has firmed 7% since opening — confirming stable confidence. Tom Marquand is a high-calibre booking and the combination of top SR, in-form handler, and steaming market makes Darzah the clear selection despite the going fitness query shared by several rivals.
Each-way alternative: Distant Shore.
Main danger: Distant Shore — Distant Shore (SR 92, 13/8 favourite) carries only 9-7, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's ground, and Roger Varian's 18% strike rate is formidable — the 29% market drift is the principal concern but if that reflects a fitness question after 38 days off rather than a genuine negative, she could easily reverse the market verdict.