Nottingham 16:45 21 Jul 2026
Class 4 21 Jul 2026

Today Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 1m0f75y

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Voting open
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Darzah Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 19 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Great Mates silks
Great Mates
Age 4 · 9-13
1-2461
77
83
77OR
4
9-13
9/2 FCST 4/1
Great Mates won last time out and also five starts back, sandwiching a middling spell (2nd, 4th, 6th) in between. She returns over today's trip and going 19 days on, a leading threat on the strength of those two wins.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Darzah silks
Darzah
Age 3 · 9-9
5181
81
93
81OR
3
9-9
3/1 10/3 3/1
Darzah won last time out and three starts back either side of an odd eighth, and tops our figures for this five. She's back over today's trip and going 26 days on, the clear leading threat, with only that layoff and the stray effort as concerns.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Distant Shore silks
Distant Shore
Age 3 · 9-7
1-352
79
92
79OR
3
9-7
13/8 Evs 31/19
Distant Shore won four starts back and has since added a third, a fifth and a runner-up effort last time out. It's been 38 days since that latest run, but she returns over today's trip and going, and that overall shape of form makes her our selection.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Porth Eilian silks
Porth Eilian
Age 3 · 9-7
-54131
79
90
79OR
3
9-7
5/1 FCST 9/2
Porth Eilian won last time out and three starts back either side of a third, a progressive shape after starting out with a fourth and fifth. She returns over today's trip and going 17 days on, a leading threat on that pattern of improvement.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Luna Celeste silks
Luna Celeste
Age 3 · 9-3
2-212
75
87
75OR
3
9-3
8/1 10/1 15/2
Luna Celeste won two starts back and has been runner-up in three of her last four starts, a consistent record even though she rates lowest of this five on our figures. She returns over today's trip and going 26 days on, hard to rule out despite that gap.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Great Mates 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 9/2 Bet365
2 Darzah 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 Ladbrokes
3 Distant Shore 13/8 open 2.20 13/8 open 2.10 7/4 open 2.10 7/4 open 2.00 7/4 open 2.10 7/4 Ladbrokes
4 Porth Eilian 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
5 Luna Celeste 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 9/1 Ladbrokes

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Distant Shore

Speculative

Distant Shore owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Roger Varian Ray Dawson
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Darzah

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Luna Celeste

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

8/1 · Tom Clover
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Distant Shore
59.0 13/8
2 2. Darzah
58.8 3/1
3 4. Porth Eilian
54.0 5/1
4 1. Great Mates
53.4 9/2
5 5. Luna Celeste
51.3 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Darzah
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-7
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-13
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-7
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-3
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Darzah
Confidence: Medium

Darzah (SR 93, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries a workable 9-9, sitting 4lb below top-weight Great Mates. The form string 5181 shows a last-time-out win at this class, meaning she steps back up to a mark she's already proven at rather than venturing into unknown territory. William Haggas (21% strike rate, 991 runners) is one of the most powerful yards in training and the market has firmed 7% since opening — confirming stable confidence. Tom Marquand is a high-calibre booking and the combination of top SR, in-form handler, and steaming market makes Darzah the clear selection despite the going fitness query shared by several rivals. Each-way alternative: Distant Shore. Main danger: Distant Shore — Distant Shore (SR 92, 13/8 favourite) carries only 9-7, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's ground, and Roger Varian's 18% strike rate is formidable — the 29% market drift is the principal concern but if that reflects a fitness question after 38 days off rather than a genuine negative, she could easily reverse the market verdict.

Shortlist Darzah, Distant Shore, Porth Eilian
Each-way: Distant Shore Danger: Distant Shore

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f75y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade