Wolverhampton (AW) 20:00 21 Jul 2026
Class 6 21 Jul 2026

Today Book To Stay - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Book To Stay - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 0m7f36y

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  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Based Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 18 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Magic Lady Mae silks
Magic Lady Mae
Age 3 · 9-9
-36770
60
32
60OR
3
9-9
40/1 22/1 40/1
Consistently competitive without a win in her last five outings, third five starts back the standout effort. Fresh for a 37-day break and with today's trip and going already run over, she rates among the leading dangers here.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

2
Neat And Tidy silks
Neat And Tidy
Age 3 · 9-8
559-0
59
33
59OR
3
9-8
33/1 28/1 33/1
A 165-day absence and a modest recent scoreline — unplaced last time, no better than fifth in the three before that — leave plenty to prove. Today's trip and going are at least already run over, but she remains without a win in her last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

3
Based silks
Based
Age 3 · 9-7
8-2717
58
68
58OR
3
9-7
11/10 3/2 11/10
A progressive sort, with a win two starts back and a second four starts back either side of blank efforts — the shape of the form points the right way. Fit again after a 26-day break, with today's trip and going both already run over.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Dusk Damsel silks
Dusk Damsel
Age 3 · 9-6
447205
57
38
57OR
3
9-6
22/1 FCST 18/1
A blend of promise and inconsistency — a second three starts back the highlight, though finishes have ranged as low as seventh, and she's yet to win in her last six starts. Fit for a 49-day break, with today's trip and going already run over.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

5
Fullstop silks
Fullstop
Age 3 · 9-6
0-9356
57
53
57OR
3
9-6
10/1 9/1 17/2
A third three starts back is the standout form line, sandwiched between moderate efforts either side, and he remains without a win in his last five. A lengthy 68-day absence is the concern, though today's distance has been run over before.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Oh So Perfect silks
Oh So Perfect
Age 3 · 9-5
7-3311
56
54
56OR
3
9-5
6/1 3/1 6/1
Two wins from the last five, including victory last time out, show she has ability, but a 131-day layoff and a cold yard (0 from 25 in the last fortnight) are question marks. Today's trip and going are already run over.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ten Cuidado silks
Ten Cuidado
Age 3 · 9-5
0470-0
56
31
56OR
3
9-5
125/1 50/1 100/1
Three unplaced efforts in the last five, with a fourth four starts back the only sign of ability, leave little to work with on these figures. A quick 13-day turnaround at least keeps him fresh, and today's trip and going are already run over.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.

8
Musical Soldier silks
Musical Soldier
Age 3 · 9-4
152022
55
67
55OR
3
9-4
11/4 11/4 5/2
Consistently in the frame — three seconds among six runs, with a win six starts back the best of them. A rapid 7-day turnaround and today's trip and going both already run over give him claims again, without adding to that lone win since.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Crown The Future silks
Crown The Future
Age 3 · 9-1
5-4370
52
36
52OR
3
9-1
20/1 12/1 18/1
Competitive figures - a third and a fourth among his last five - make him one to note, even with an unplaced run last time out. Quick to resurface after just 15 days, with today's trip and going already run over, he's rated among the leading dangers.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

10
Electrocution silks
Electrocution
Age 3 · 8-13
338946
50
40
50OR
3
8-13
16/1 12/1 14/1
A pair of thirds further back hint at some ability, but sandwiched between finishes as low as ninth, and he's yet to win in his last six starts. Back within 21 days, with today's trip and going already run over, there's plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Magic Lady Mae 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 50/1 William Hill
2 Neat And Tidy 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 William Hill
3 Based 11/10 open 2.75 6/5 open 2.75 6/5 open 2.75 11/10 open 2.50 11/10 open 2.75 6/5 Coral
4 Dusk Damsel 22/1 open 19.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 22/1 Bet365
5 Fullstop 10/1 9/1 9/1 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 10/1 Bet365
6 Oh So Perfect 6/1 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.00 15/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.00 15/2 William Hill
7 Ten Cuidado 125/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 125/1 Bet365
8 Musical Soldier 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 Bet365
9 Crown The Future 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
10 Electrocution 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Based

Speculative

Based owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 William Knight Cieren Fallon
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Musical Soldier

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Ollie Sangster
✓ Value Signal

Magic Lady Mae

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Lawrence Mullaney
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Based
53.9 11/10
2 8. Musical Soldier
52.3 11/4
3 6. Oh So Perfect
49.3 6/1
4 5. Fullstop
40.6 10/1
5 10. Electrocution
36.0 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Based
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-7
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-4
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 8-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Age 3 · 9-1
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Based
Confidence: Medium

Based (SR:68, 11/10) holds the strongest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin over Musical Soldier (SR:67), and crucially carries only 9-7 — a 3lb weight advantage over Musical Soldier despite near-identical ability ratings. The market has backed this horse in 21% since opening, while Cieren Fallon (20% career strike rate, 741 runners) is comfortably the highest-quality jockey booking in the race. Proven course form (W1P1 at Wolverhampton) and a GoingFit:+ on today's good AW surface confirm the conditions suit, and the recent form of 8-2717 shows consistent progression at this class level. The MarkMv:+5 is a mild concern, but at Class 6 on an AW track the 5lb rise is unlikely to be decisive. Each-way alternative: Musical Soldier. Main danger: Musical Soldier — Musical Soldier (SR:67, 11/4) has superior course form (W1P2) and a GoingFit:~ suggesting the conditions aren't a problem, while the addition of a hood and a recent run just 7 days ago means peak fitness is not in question — if the MarkMv:+5 hampers Based, Musical Soldier is perfectly placed to capitalise.

Shortlist Based, Musical Soldier, Fullstop
Each-way: Musical Soldier Danger: Musical Soldier

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m7f36y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade