Ballinrobe 17:06 21 Jul 2026
21 Jul 2026

Today West 'Howya' Maiden Hurdle

West 'Howya' Maiden Hurdle · 2m1f89y

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  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates First Ascent Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 20 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Whats New silks
Whats New
Age 4 · 11-8
4-3R22
108
112
108OR
4
11-8
9/4 11/4 32/17
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Alfinthesea silks
Alfinthesea
Age 6 · 11-4
122
6
11-4
25/1 20/1 25/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Breezingwithdstars silks
Breezingwithdstars
Age 6 · 11-4
08P-97
120
6
11-4
150/1 50/1 150/1
SR 120 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
First Ascent silks
First Ascent
Age 5 · 11-4
P-5
147
5
11-4
5/1 5/1 4/1
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Kilmond Knight silks
Kilmond Knight
Age 6 · 11-4
P-U
117
6
11-4
150/1 50/1 150/1
SR 117 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 117 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Minnatrix silks
Minnatrix
Age 6 · 11-4
2-FS8
116
6
11-4
28/1 16/1 28/1
SR 116 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 116 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
No Mon No Fun silks
No Mon No Fun
Age 5 · 11-4
F-P4
122
5
11-4
33/1 22/1 28/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Rumi Rock silks
Rumi Rock
Age 5 · 11-4
P/76-0
120
5
11-4
50/1 33/1 50/1
SR 120 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Sharu silks
Sharu
Age 5 · 11-4
70-62
98
101
98OR
5
11-4
11/4 10/3 11/4
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
World As One silks
World As One
Age 5 · 11-4
2-45
150
5
11-4
11/4 31/19 5/2
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

11
Lady Felicia silks
Lady Felicia
Age 5 · 10-11
4
145
5
10-11
10/1 10/1 9/1
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Middlethird Marvel silks
Middlethird Marvel
Age 5 · 10-11
/060-P
120
5
10-11
150/1 50/1 150/1
SR 120 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Phyllis Rodda silks
Phyllis Rodda
Age 6 · 10-11
PP-
118
6
10-11
33/1 22/1 33/1
SR 118 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 118 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Whats New 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 Bet365
2 Alfinthesea 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
3 Breezingwithdstars 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 Bet365
4 First Ascent 5/1 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
5 Kilmond Knight 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 Bet365
6 Minnatrix 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
7 No Mon No Fun 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Rumi Rock 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
9 Sharu 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365
10 World As One 11/4 open 2.88 11/4 open 2.63 11/4 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.63 11/4 open 2.63 11/4 Bet365
11 Lady Felicia 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
12 Middlethird Marvel 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 Bet365
13 Phyllis Rodda 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

World As One

Live signal

World As One owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 W P Mullins Sean O'Keeffe
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

First Ascent

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Gordon Elliott
✓ Value Signal

Middlethird Marvel

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

150/1 · Norman Lee
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
83 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. World As One
70.4 11/4
2 4. First Ascent
67.7 5/1
3 11. Lady Felicia
65.8 10/1
4 1. Whats New
62.1 9/4
5 9. Sharu
60.4 11/4
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
First Ascent
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 11-8
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 5 · 11-4
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 11-4
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 5 · 11-4
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 147 🐾

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 5 · 10-11
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
First Ascent
Confidence: Medium

First Ascent (SR:147, 5/1) is the class standout in this maiden, rated 3 points clear of World As One (SR:150 on paper, but significantly drifted out 38%) and a full 30+ points above the bulk of the field. Crucially, Gordon Elliott (15% strike rate, 1648 runners) sends him out with Jack Kennedy in the saddle — a 20% career strike-rate jockey who doesn't take maiden hurdle bookings lightly — and the market has shortened 15% since opening, suggesting stable confidence. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, a meaningful edge when most rivals show GoingFit:? or worse. The form reads P-5 which is modest, but in the context of a field largely showing pulled-up and beaten-far finishes, he simply needs to produce a clean round. Each-way alternative: Lady Felicia. Main danger: World As One — World As One (SR:150) carries the highest SR in the field and Willie Mullins' 20% stable strike rate is formidable, but the 38% market drift is a significant red flag that cannot be ignored — connections appear to be managing expectations, which is why he is danger rather than selection.

Shortlist First Ascent, World As One, Sharu, Lady Felicia, Whats New
Each-way: Lady Felicia Danger: World As One

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f89y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting