Ballinrobe 18:40 RESULTED
20 Jul 2026

Yesterday Daily Sports Special At Tote.ie Handicap

Daily Sports Special At Tote.ie Handicap · 1m1f135y

Official Result

Daily Sports Special At Tote.ie Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lady Arwen (GB) W J Lee · Conor O'Dwyer
    10/1
  2. 3/1F
  3. 100/30
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Cartmel

13:42–16:47 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 15 hours, 26 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Loingseoir silks
Loingseoir
Age 10 · 10-0
-97446
69
62
69OR
10
10-0
13/2 7/1 13/2
Loingseoir's recent form reads modestly — no better than fourth in his last five starts and winless throughout — but a rating well clear of his 69 official mark suggests more is possible. He has run over today's trip and going before and heads this field on figures.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Bucaneer's Spirit silks
Bucaneer's Spirit
Age 5 · 9-13
063342
68
69
68OR
5
9-13
7/2 10/3 7/2
Bucaneer's Spirit was a close second last time out, having also finished third on two occasions in this sequence, though he remains winless. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 72 puts him firmly amongst the leading dangers.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Lady Chartwell silks
Lady Chartwell
Age 4 · 9-10
500-00
65
35
65OR
4
9-10
50/1
Lady Chartwell's finishing positions have been modest — no better than fifth in five starts and winless throughout — but a rating well clear of her 65 official mark suggests she is capable of more. She has run over today's trip and going before, and that gap keeps her among the leading dangers.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

4
Elusive Duke silks
Elusive Duke
Age 4 · 9-7
3-7227
62
68
62OR
4
9-7
11/4 5/2 11/4
Elusive Duke has been runner-up twice and third once in his last five starts, without adding a win. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a strong speed figure gives him claims, though a rating of 66 keeps him more midfield than leading contender.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Metamorphic silks
Metamorphic
Age 4 · 9-7
359-96
62
47
62OR
4
9-7
14/1 12/1 14/1
Metamorphic's form has faded since finishing third five starts back, dipping to two ninths before a modest sixth last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 68 is tempered by a cold yard, without a winner from 27 runners in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Dancing Steve silks
Dancing Steve
Age 5 · 9-6
000-00
61
33
61OR
5
9-6
28/1 20/1 25/1
Dancing Steve has failed to finish in the frame in any of his last five starts and remains without a win. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a notably strong speed figure hints at ability not yet showing up in the results.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Lady Arwen silks
Lady Arwen
Age 7 · 9-6
-00160
61
49
61OR
7
9-6
11/1 17/2 11/1
Lady Arwen won three starts back but has failed to build on that since, following up with sixth and an unplaced effort last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, and on a rating of 62 she remains one of the outsiders here.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Miss Crinshawn silks
Miss Crinshawn
Age 4 · 9-6
-34243
61
65
61OR
4
9-6
9/2 11/2 7/2
Miss Crinshawn has been admirably consistent, never finishing worse than fourth in her last five starts, but a win has proved elusive throughout. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 63 reflects a solid if unspectacular formline that keeps her in the mix.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Signor Ferrari silks
Signor Ferrari
Age 5 · 9-6
16743-
61
41
61OR
5
9-6
18/1 11/1 18/1
Signor Ferrari won five starts back and signed off that sequence with a third last time out, form that stands up despite a lengthy 419-day absence since. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 68 makes him a leading danger if fitness allows.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Brewel Hill silks
Brewel Hill
Age 10 · 9-4
8030-5
59
40
59OR
10
9-4
22/1 25/1 20/1
Brewel Hill has been up and down in his last five starts, sandwiching a third between two unplaced efforts, and remains without a win. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 65 keeps him competitive without standing out among the leading names.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

11
Nibras Rainbow silks
Nibras Rainbow
Age 6 · 9-2
601321
57
66
57OR
6
9-2
13/2 11/2 13/2
Nibras Rainbow won last time out and was also successful four starts back, sandwiching a runner-up and a third in between — a string of solid placings in this sequence. He has run over today's trip and going before, but a modest rating of 58 leaves him among the outsiders.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Real Petite silks
Real Petite
Age 4 · 8-11
0-0160
52
34
52OR
4
8-11
25/1 20/1 25/1
Real Petite won three starts back but has since faded, following up with sixth and an unplaced effort last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 51 places her firmly among the outsiders in this field.
AI verdict

SR 34 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Cuckaloo Hill silks
Cuckaloo Hill
Age 4 · 8-7
-04005
47
28
47OR
4
8-7
28/1 22/1 25/1
Cuckaloo Hill has managed no better than fourth in her last five starts, with three unplaced efforts in that sequence, and remains without a win. She has run over today's trip and going before, but a rating of 47 — the field's lowest — leaves her with a mountain to climb.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Loingseoir 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 Bet365
2 Bucaneer's Spirit 7/2 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 7/2 Bet365
3 Lady Chartwell 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
4 Elusive Duke 11/4 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 Bet365
5 Metamorphic 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Dancing Steve 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Lady Arwen 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
8 Miss Crinshawn 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
9 Signor Ferrari 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 Coral
10 Brewel Hill 22/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
11 Nibras Rainbow 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 Bet365
12 Real Petite 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
13 Cuckaloo Hill 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Elusive Duke

Speculative

Elusive Duke owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 M A Molloy Colin Keane
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bucaneer's Spirit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Ian Patrick Donoghue
✓ Value Signal

Lady Chartwell

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · P Sweeney
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Elusive Duke
53.9 11/4
2 2. Bucaneer's Spirit
52.4 7/2
3 11. Nibras Rainbow
51.0 13/2
4 1. Loingseoir
49.7 13/2
5 8. Miss Crinshawn
48.2 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Nibras Rainbow
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-7
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-13
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 9-6
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 10 · 10-0
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 9-2
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 7 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Age 5 · 9-6
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nibras Rainbow
Confidence: Medium

Nibras Rainbow (SR:66, 13/2) carries the lightest competitive weight in the race at 9-2, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over Bucaneer's Spirit (9-13) and Loingseoir (10-0) despite similar SR levels. The form string 601321 reads strongly right-to-left — a win last time out is the most compelling single form signal in this field, and the DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at today's trip, which no other shortlisted rival can match. GoingFit:~ on good ground is acceptable rather than ideal, but the MarkMv:+5 is a modest enough rise that a well-handicapped horse fresh from a win can absorb. The market drift of 15% is a concern and is the main reason this is Medium rather than High confidence, but the combination of recent winning form, distance fit, and weight advantage over the higher-SR rivals builds a clear case. Each-way alternative: Miss Crinshawn. Main danger: Bucaneer's Spirit — Bucaneer's Spirit (SR:69, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries market favouritism at a price that reflects genuine confidence from its connections, and while MarkMv:+8 and GoingFit:- are negatives, the SR advantage and jockey booking of Sam Coen make it the most likely alternative winner.

Shortlist Nibras Rainbow, Bucaneer's Spirit, Elusive Duke, Miss Crinshawn
Each-way: Miss Crinshawn Danger: Bucaneer's Spirit

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m1f135y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting