Loingseoir's recent form reads modestly — no better than fourth in his last five starts and winless throughout — but a rating well clear of his 69 official mark suggests more is possible. He has run over today's trip and going before and heads this field on figures.
Form last 6-97446
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bucaneer's Spirit was a close second last time out, having also finished third on two occasions in this sequence, though he remains winless. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 72 puts him firmly amongst the leading dangers.
Form last 6063342
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lady Chartwell's finishing positions have been modest — no better than fifth in five starts and winless throughout — but a rating well clear of her 65 official mark suggests she is capable of more. She has run over today's trip and going before, and that gap keeps her among the leading dangers.
Form last 6500-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Elusive Duke has been runner-up twice and third once in his last five starts, without adding a win. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a strong speed figure gives him claims, though a rating of 66 keeps him more midfield than leading contender.
Form last 63-7227
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR—RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Metamorphic's form has faded since finishing third five starts back, dipping to two ninths before a modest sixth last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 68 is tempered by a cold yard, without a winner from 27 runners in the last fortnight.
Form last 6359-96
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR—RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Dancing Steve has failed to finish in the frame in any of his last five starts and remains without a win. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a notably strong speed figure hints at ability not yet showing up in the results.
Form last 6000-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR—RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Lady Arwen won three starts back but has failed to build on that since, following up with sixth and an unplaced effort last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, and on a rating of 62 she remains one of the outsiders here.
Form last 6-00160
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR—RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Miss Crinshawn has been admirably consistent, never finishing worse than fourth in her last five starts, but a win has proved elusive throughout. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 63 reflects a solid if unspectacular formline that keeps her in the mix.
Form last 6-34243
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR—RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Signor Ferrari won five starts back and signed off that sequence with a third last time out, form that stands up despite a lengthy 419-day absence since. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 68 makes him a leading danger if fitness allows.
Form last 616743-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR—RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Brewel Hill has been up and down in his last five starts, sandwiching a third between two unplaced efforts, and remains without a win. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 65 keeps him competitive without standing out among the leading names.
Form last 68030-5
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR—RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Nibras Rainbow won last time out and was also successful four starts back, sandwiching a runner-up and a third in between — a string of solid placings in this sequence. He has run over today's trip and going before, but a modest rating of 58 leaves him among the outsiders.
Form last 6601321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
66SR—RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Real Petite won three starts back but has since faded, following up with sixth and an unplaced effort last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 51 places her firmly among the outsiders in this field.
Form last 60-0160
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
34SR—RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cuckaloo Hill has managed no better than fourth in her last five starts, with three unplaced efforts in that sequence, and remains without a win. She has run over today's trip and going before, but a rating of 47 — the field's lowest — leaves her with a mountain to climb.
Form last 6-04005
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR—RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Elusive Duke owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4M A MolloyColin Keane
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Bucaneer's Spirit
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Ian Patrick Donoghue✓ Value Signal
Lady Chartwell
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · P Sweeney◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Nibras Rainbow (SR:66, 13/2) carries the lightest competitive weight in the race at 9-2, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over Bucaneer's Spirit (9-13) and Loingseoir (10-0) despite similar SR levels. The form string 601321 reads strongly right-to-left — a win last time out is the most compelling single form signal in this field, and the DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at today's trip, which no other shortlisted rival can match. GoingFit:~ on good ground is acceptable rather than ideal, but the MarkMv:+5 is a modest enough rise that a well-handicapped horse fresh from a win can absorb. The market drift of 15% is a concern and is the main reason this is Medium rather than High confidence, but the combination of recent winning form, distance fit, and weight advantage over the higher-SR rivals builds a clear case.
Each-way alternative: Miss Crinshawn.
Main danger: Bucaneer's Spirit — Bucaneer's Spirit (SR:69, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries market favouritism at a price that reflects genuine confidence from its connections, and while MarkMv:+8 and GoingFit:- are negatives, the SR advantage and jockey booking of Sam Coen make it the most likely alternative winner.
ShortlistNibras Rainbow, Bucaneer's Spirit, Elusive Duke, Miss Crinshawn