Happy Birthday Katie Exon Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Great | 4/1 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Dc Cogent | 12/1 open 8.00 | — | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Hurt You Never | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Level Up | 13/2 open 5.50 | — | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Dream Deal | 3/1 open 5.00 | — | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Beerwah | 12/1 open 8.50 | — | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Toptime | 10/1 open 8.50 | — | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 8 Bibendum | 5/1 open 7.50 | — | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Dandy Dinmont | 11/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 10 Opal Storm | 28/1 open 23.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dream Deal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dream Deal carries the highest SR in the field at 77, a clear edge over the next best (Great and Bibendum at 69), and drops two class levels making this a significantly easier assignment. The market has steamed 26% in from opening, signalling strong professional confidence, and the course record (W1P1 at Beverley) is a tangible advantage on this tight, testing track. The weight of 9-6 is very manageable for the top-rated horse, and the class drop of two tiers means the MarkMv:+6 above last win mark is far less of a concern than in a stiffer contest. The GoingFit:- is the one credible concern — the horse has a negative record on good-to-firm — but the class relief and market confidence outweigh that flag in a Class 6 sprint. Each-way alternative: Great. Main danger: Bibendum — Bibendum (SR:69, 6/1) matches Great on SR, drops a class, carries a light 9-5, and has a proven distance record (DistFit:+) — if the visor sharpens focus it could run into the places or better.