Ballinrobe 17:10 RESULTED
20 Jul 2026

Yesterday Tote Guarantee Never Beaten By SP Claiming Race

Tote Guarantee Never Beaten By SP Claiming Race · 1m1f135y

Official Result

Tote Guarantee Never Beaten By SP Claiming Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner She's Ideal (IRE) Leigh Roche · Paul W Flynn
    13/2
  2. 6/5F
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 15 hours, 36 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Concert Party silks
Concert Party
Age 4 · 9-10
5110-9
75
64
75OR
4
9-10
15/2 9/2 15/2
Concert Party was a winner three starts back, and again four starts back, before finishing ninth last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a useful rating keeps her right amongst the leading dangers despite that below-par finish.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Jr Mahon silks
Jr Mahon
Age 4 · 9-10
0440-0
63
30
63OR
4
9-10
25/1 16/1 25/1
Jr Mahon has been no better than fourth in five starts and remains winless in that sequence, but returns after a 38-day break having run over today's trip and going before. A rating well clear of his official mark of 63 makes him a leading danger.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Kashel Spring silks
Kashel Spring
Age 4 · 9-10
1414-5
77
71
77OR
4
9-10
6/1 7/1 11/2
A winner three starts back, and again five starts back, Kashel Spring was only fifth last time out but has run over today's trip and going before. Racing off a 77 official mark, the pair of recent wins make her a leading danger.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Minaun View silks
Minaun View
Age 4 · 9-6
652811
63
76
63OR
4
9-6
13/8 9/4 18/13
A winner last time out, and again two starts back, Minaun View followed that with an eighth three starts back in a mixed six-race sample. She has run over today's going before, and a rating of 67 keeps her right in this despite the inconsistency.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Macinamillion silks
Macinamillion
Age 6 · 9-2
310/0-
56
40
56OR
6
9-2
22/1 14/1 22/1
Macinamillion was a winner three starts back and third four starts back, but his last two starts before a 284-day absence both ended unplaced. He has run over today's going before, and a modest rating of 55 leaves questions fresh off such a lengthy break.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
May Night silks
May Night
Age 8 · 9-2
50703-
57
40
57OR
8
9-2
22/1 16/1 22/1
Third last time out but that was 364 days ago, May Night is winless in this sequence which also featured two unplaced efforts. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating well clear of his 57 official mark hints at more back from a lengthy break.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Talking Tough silks
Talking Tough
Age 9 · 8-12
0-6087
34
11
34OR
9
8-12
125/1 100/1 125/1
Talking Tough has not finished better than sixth in his last five starts and remains winless throughout. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a strong speed figure offers a shred of encouragement, but on the placings alone he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 11 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.

8
She's Ideal silks
She's Ideal
Age 4 · 8-10
243877
55
54
55OR
4
8-10
17/2 15/2 8/1
She's Ideal was runner-up six starts back, but her form has since dipped to two sevenths and an eighth in her last three starts. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 62 leaves her with more to prove.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Battling Siki silks
Battling Siki
Age 4 · 8-8
74593
69
76
69OR
4
8-8
10/3 5/2 10/3
Battling Siki was third last time out and has been competitive without getting the breaks in this sequence, though yet to score. He has run over today's going before, and a rating well clear of his 69 official mark makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Romantic War silks
Romantic War
Age 4 · 8-8
30-090
32
11
32OR
4
8-8
125/1 100/1 125/1
Romantic War's only placed effort in this sequence was third five starts back, and he remains winless with three unplaced runs since. Fit again after an 86-day break, he has run over today's trip and going before, but a rating of 43 leaves him with plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 11 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.

11
Shelbourne Flyer silks
Shelbourne Flyer
Age 5 · 8-8
200-60
51
51
51OR
5
8-8
17/2 7/1 17/2
Shelbourne Flyer's best effort was a runner-up spot five starts back, but he remains winless with little else to shout about in this sequence. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 55 puts him among the outsiders here.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Concert Party 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 Bet365
2 Jr Mahon 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Coral
3 Kashel Spring 6/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 6/1 Bet365
4 Minaun View 13/8 open 3.50 11/8 open 3.25 11/8 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.25 13/8 Bet365
5 Macinamillion 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 Bet365
6 May Night 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Talking Tough 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 Coral
8 She's Ideal 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
9 Battling Siki 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 Bet365
10 Romantic War 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 Coral
11 Shelbourne Flyer 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Minaun View

Speculative

Minaun View owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Adrian McGuinness Patrick McGettigan(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Battling Siki

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Mark Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Romantic War

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

125/1 · J G Murray
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Minaun View
55.0 13/8
2 9. Battling Siki
53.6 10/3
3 3. Kashel Spring
51.4 6/1
4 1. Concert Party
45.5 15/2
5 11. Shelbourne Flyer
44.1 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Minaun View
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-6
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 8-8
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-10
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 8-10
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 8-8
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Minaun View
Confidence: Medium

Minaun View (SR:76, 13/8) shares the joint-highest SR in the field with Battling Siki but carries only 9-6 against Battling Siki's 8-8 — on raw ability they are level, but the market has moved in 23% on Minaun View versus a 16% drift on Battling Siki, which is a meaningful divergence in a small-field claimer. The form string '652811' shows back-to-back wins most recently, confirming peak form and progressive trajectory at age 4. GoingFit:~ is not a concern given trainer Adrian McGuinness's 8% strike rate on a modest sample and the horse's clear momentum. The combination of best-in-field SR, confirmed winning form, and strong market support makes this the standout selection despite the GoingFit not being a confirmed plus. Each-way alternative: Battling Siki. Main danger: Kashel Spring — Kashel Spring (SR:71, 6/1) is the Hogan yard's live runner — steaming in 19% in the market with the more experienced jockey booking (J M Sheridan 12%) over the stable's other runner, and at 4yo on a going/distance profile with unknowns that could break either way.

Shortlist Minaun View, Battling Siki, Kashel Spring
Each-way: Battling Siki Danger: Kashel Spring

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m1f135y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting