Concert Party was a winner three starts back, and again four starts back, before finishing ninth last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a useful rating keeps her right amongst the leading dangers despite that below-par finish.
Form last 65110-9
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jr Mahon has been no better than fourth in five starts and remains winless in that sequence, but returns after a 38-day break having run over today's trip and going before. A rating well clear of his official mark of 63 makes him a leading danger.
Form last 60440-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
A winner three starts back, and again five starts back, Kashel Spring was only fifth last time out but has run over today's trip and going before. Racing off a 77 official mark, the pair of recent wins make her a leading danger.
Form last 61414-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner last time out, and again two starts back, Minaun View followed that with an eighth three starts back in a mixed six-race sample. She has run over today's going before, and a rating of 67 keeps her right in this despite the inconsistency.
Form last 6652811
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Macinamillion was a winner three starts back and third four starts back, but his last two starts before a 284-day absence both ended unplaced. He has run over today's going before, and a modest rating of 55 leaves questions fresh off such a lengthy break.
Form last 6310/0-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Third last time out but that was 364 days ago, May Night is winless in this sequence which also featured two unplaced efforts. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating well clear of his 57 official mark hints at more back from a lengthy break.
Form last 650703-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR—RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Talking Tough has not finished better than sixth in his last five starts and remains winless throughout. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a strong speed figure offers a shred of encouragement, but on the placings alone he is hard to fancy.
Form last 60-6087
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
11SR—RPR34OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 11 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.
She's Ideal was runner-up six starts back, but her form has since dipped to two sevenths and an eighth in her last three starts. She has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 62 leaves her with more to prove.
Form last 6243877
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR—RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Battling Siki was third last time out and has been competitive without getting the breaks in this sequence, though yet to score. He has run over today's going before, and a rating well clear of his 69 official mark makes him the one to beat.
Form last 674593
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Romantic War's only placed effort in this sequence was third five starts back, and he remains winless with three unplaced runs since. Fit again after an 86-day break, he has run over today's trip and going before, but a rating of 43 leaves him with plenty to find.
Form last 630-090
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
11SR—RPR32OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 11 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.
Shelbourne Flyer's best effort was a runner-up spot five starts back, but he remains winless with little else to shout about in this sequence. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 55 puts him among the outsiders here.
Form last 6200-60
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR—RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Minaun View owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/8Adrian McGuinnessPatrick McGettigan(5)
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Battling Siki
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Mark Fahey✓ Value Signal
Romantic War
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
125/1 · J G Murray◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Minaun View (SR:76, 13/8) shares the joint-highest SR in the field with Battling Siki but carries only 9-6 against Battling Siki's 8-8 — on raw ability they are level, but the market has moved in 23% on Minaun View versus a 16% drift on Battling Siki, which is a meaningful divergence in a small-field claimer. The form string '652811' shows back-to-back wins most recently, confirming peak form and progressive trajectory at age 4. GoingFit:~ is not a concern given trainer Adrian McGuinness's 8% strike rate on a modest sample and the horse's clear momentum. The combination of best-in-field SR, confirmed winning form, and strong market support makes this the standout selection despite the GoingFit not being a confirmed plus.
Each-way alternative: Battling Siki.
Main danger: Kashel Spring — Kashel Spring (SR:71, 6/1) is the Hogan yard's live runner — steaming in 19% in the market with the more experienced jockey booking (J M Sheridan 12%) over the stable's other runner, and at 4yo on a going/distance profile with unknowns that could break either way.
ShortlistMinaun View, Battling Siki, Kashel Spring