Ayr 16:00 RESULTED
Class 5 20 Jul 2026

Yesterday John Hamilton ScotRail Celebration Handicap Stakes

John Hamilton ScotRail Celebration Handicap Stakes · 1m0f0y

Official Result

John Hamilton ScotRail Celebration Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hale End (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods
    9/4J
  2. 11/1
  3. 9/4J
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 15 hours, 36 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hale End silks
Hale End
Age 6 · 9-9
412207
75
80
75OR
6
9-9
2/1 11/4 2/1
Hale End's form reads well, with a win five starts back followed by two runner-up efforts, though his last two starts have been below that level. Fifteen days on, and with today's trip and going already in the book, he rates the biggest threat to our selection on figures.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Krissy silks
Krissy
Age 5 · 9-7
110614
73
71
73OR
5
9-7
15/2 13/2 15/2
Krissy has a strong recent record with three wins from her last six starts, though her most recent try only managed fourth. Sixteen days since that run, and with today's distance already covered, she's towards the foot of our ratings here but the placing figures can't be ignored.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cisco Disco silks
Cisco Disco
Age 8 · 9-7
11-870
73
48
73OR
8
9-7
40/1 25/1 33/1
Cisco Disco strung together back-to-back wins four and five starts back, since finding excuses with two below-form efforts and a most recent unplaced run. Fifteen days on, and with today's trip and going already in the book, he's fourth of nine on our figures and capable of a bounce-back if he rediscovers that level.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

4
Donna Nook silks
Donna Nook
Age 4 · 9-6
294144
72
70
72OR
4
9-6
9/1 15/2 17/2
Donna Nook can point to a win three starts back among a mostly consistent sequence, with a second the oldest form on offer too. Twelve days since her latest run, and with today's trip and going already in the book, she's third of nine on our figures and open to more if she bounces back to that level.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Benacre silks
Benacre
Age 6 · 9-6
355054
72
67
72OR
6
9-6
7/1 11/2 13/2
Benacre tops our figures in this nine-runner field, well clear of his official mark of 72, despite being without a win in his last six starts - a third six starts back the best of a run of minor placings since. Sixteen days since his latest run, and with today's trip and going already in the book, he rates the one to beat despite the blank in the win column.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Runninsonofagun silks
Runninsonofagun
Age 4 · 8-13
-08351
60
68
60OR
4
8-13
4/1 FCST 7/2
Runninsonofagun heads into this race fresh from a win last time out, backing up a third three starts back in a progressive-looking campaign. Just seven days since that success, and with today's trip and going already in the book, he sits sixth of nine on our figures but the upward trend is clear.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Mayor Of Maghera silks
Mayor Of Maghera
Age 4 · 8-11
64-341
63
65
63OR
4
8-11
6/1 4/1 11/2
Mayor Of Maghera arrives on the back of a win last time out, following a fourth two starts back, and a third three starts back. Twenty days since that success, and with today's trip and going already in the book, he's seventh of nine on our figures but the recent upturn is worth noting.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Starliner silks
Starliner
Age 5 · 8-9
193882
61
63
61OR
5
8-9
9/1 15/2 9/1
Starliner was a close-up second last time out, building on a win six starts back that shows he retains ability despite a mixed run of form in between. Seven days since that latest effort, and with today's trip and going already in the book, he's fifth of nine on our figures and open to more if he builds on that placing.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Keep Me Stable silks
Keep Me Stable
Age 6 · 8-9
113-70
61
47
61OR
6
8-9
33/1 33/1 28/1
Keep Me Stable landed back-to-back wins four and five starts back, but her last two starts have been well below that level, including a most recent unplaced effort. Fourteen days on, and with today's trip and going already in the book, she's our bottom-rated runner here despite that earlier form.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hale End 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 Coral
2 Krissy 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 Bet365
3 Cisco Disco 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
4 Donna Nook 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
5 Benacre 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 Bet365
6 Runninsonofagun 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 4/1 Bet365
7 Mayor Of Maghera 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 Bet365
8 Starliner 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Keep Me Stable 33/1 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hale End

Speculative

Hale End owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Michael Dods Sean Kirrane
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Runninsonofagun

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Tristan Davidson
✓ Value Signal

Cisco Disco

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · R Mike Smith
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Hale End
54.9 2/1
2 6. Runninsonofagun
50.6 4/1
3 5. Benacre
49.1 7/1
4 2. Krissy
49.0 15/2
5 7. Mayor Of Maghera
48.9 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hale End
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 9-9
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 8-13
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 8-11
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-6
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-6
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 8-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Steamers Shortened — market backing

No steamers in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hale End
Confidence: Medium

Hale End (SR 80, 2/1) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field, sitting 9 points clear of the nearest rival Krissy (SR 71) and carrying 9-9 which is not prohibitive in a Class 5 handicap. The 15% market shortening is a strong endorsement — the money is coming for a reason, and a two-class drop from his last run aligns with a stable intent to win. Michael Dods at 9% strike rate is modest but the booking of Sean Kirrane plus that inward market move signals confidence. The moderate distance fit (DistFit:~) and unknown going preference are noted cautions, but the SR advantage over this field is simply too large to dismiss. Each-way alternative: Runninsonofagun. Main danger: Runninsonofagun — Runninsonofagun (SR 68, 4/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 8-13, holds proven course form (W1P3), a confirmed strong distance record (DistFit:+), and trainer Tristan Davidson's 18% strike rate is the best in the field — a last-time-out win on the form string makes this horse the most dangerous to Hale End despite stepping up in class.

Shortlist Hale End, Runninsonofagun, Mayor Of Maghera
Each-way: Runninsonofagun Danger: Runninsonofagun

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade