Eighth last time out, but a third three starts back, this filly returns 10 days later rating clear of this six-runner field. She has raced over today's trip and going before and, though winless in her last three, is clearly the one to beat.
Form last 6308
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fourth last time out, and a third two starts back, this colt has raced over today's trip and going before, returning within three weeks. Winless in his last three, he rates second only to the selection on our figures and looks the biggest threat.
Form last 6834
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unplaced last time out, but a winner two starts back, this gelding has run over today's trip before and returns after a 45-day break. Rated 74 on our figures, he's some way below the leading pair but capable of running well fresh if repeating that form.
Form last 66510
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner last time out, and runner-up two starts back, this filly has raced over today's trip and going before and returns within a month of that win. Rated highly on our figures, she looks the biggest danger to the selection.
Form last 6421
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A winner last time out, but fifth both two and three starts back, this colt has run over today's trip before and returns within three weeks. Rated last of six in our book, he needs more than recent evidence suggests to trouble this field.
Form last 6551
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Runner-up last time out, and fourth two starts back, this colt has run over today's trip before and returns within a month. Yet to win in his last two starts, he rates modestly on our figures but his placed form keeps him in the mix.
Form last 642
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Keep Kicking On owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Clive CoxRossa Ryan
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Regal Tiger
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · Hugo Palmer✓ Value Signal
El Lambo
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
12/1 · Charles Hills◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Regal Tiger (SR:78, 9/4) is the shortest price in the field and carries the lightest weight at 9-1, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over rivals. Its form of 42 from just two runs shows a progressive profile — a second last time out at the same class represents solid recent evidence, and Hugo Palmer (13% strike rate, 679 runners) booking Oisin Murphy (22% strike rate, 1,175 runners) is the standout jockey-trainer combination in this race by a clear margin. Critically, there is no market drift — the price has held steady — which confirms market confidence without any negative signal, separating it from Keep Kicking On (drifted 20%), Arabica Queen (drifted 7%), and Theheatison (drifted 24%). Arabica Queen holds the highest SR at 83 and has the best form line (421 including a last-time-out win), but the 7% drift and the 4lb weight concession to Regal Tiger on a Good to Firm surface reduce her edge.
Each-way alternative: Arabica Queen.
Main danger: Arabica Queen — Arabica Queen (SR:83) is the highest-rated horse in the field, won last time out, and has confirmed Good to Firm suitability (GoingFit:+) — if the drift of 7% reflects nothing more than market rotation onto the favourite, she could easily reverse the form.
ShortlistRegal Tiger, Arabica Queen, Keep Kicking On