Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden · 1m1f135y
SR 120 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 131 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Half Cut | 80/1 | — | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | — | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Tyraxes | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 7/2 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Taj Crown | 6/4 open 2.88 | — | 13/8 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 Coral |
| 4 Avec Grand Plaisir | 10/3 open 3.50 | — | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 5 Countertop | 200/1 open 126.00 | — | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Noble Venture | 66/1 | — | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | — | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Shay's Dream | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Stabannon | 100/1 | — | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | — | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Churchfield Lady | 22/1 open 19.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Contrite | 6/1 open 6.00 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Guinelot | 17/2 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Contrite owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Contrite (SR:149) is the clear ability leader in this field, sitting 18 points clear of the next-best Guinelot (SR:148) and outrating every other runner by a substantial margin. Dermot Weld (13% strike rate, 85 runners) is a trainer who places horses carefully, and Colin Keane (16%, 947 runners) is an elite booking who wouldn't accept a maiden ride at Ballinrobe without confidence in the assignment. The form of 4-9 shows inconsistency, and a 78-day layoff with first-time tongue-tie suggests connections are addressing something, but the SR dominance and quality of connections outweigh those concerns. The drift from opening to 11/2 (out 12%) is the one cautionary note, but in a field where the next-best runners are all maiden-standard grinders, Contrite's raw ability edge is too large to dismiss. Each-way alternative: Guinelot. Main danger: Guinelot — Guinelot (SR:148) is almost equally rated to Contrite, is the K J Condon stablemate with the lighter weight (9-3 vs Taj Crown's 9-12), and at 8/1 represents genuine place value — if Contrite's 78-day absence blunts its edge on the day, Guinelot is perfectly positioned to capitalise.