Well held in each of her last three starts (7th, 8th, 7th) and without a win in that time. She has run over today's going before, but a yard managing just 0/27 in the last fortnight and a rating that ranks her only 11th of 13 leave her hard to fancy.
Form last 6787
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Unplaced in his last two starts and a ninth three starts back, he remains without a win in that spell. He has run over today's going before, and ranked 7th of 13 on our figures, he looks more of a make-up-the-numbers type than a genuine threat.
Form last 6900
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Below-par when seventh last time out, but that followed a win two starts back and a pair of fourths before it — a genuinely progressive profile. He has run over today's distance and going before, and that combination makes him our confident pick.
Form last 60441-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
A rating that ranks her 4th of 13 gives her claims among the leading dangers, and she has run over today's going before. But her recent form is modest — 8th, 7th and 7th, with two unplaced efforts before that — leaving her without a win after a 71-day break.
Form last 600778
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Modest recent form reads 9th, 5th, 8th and 6th, leaving her without a win in that spell, though a fifth two starts back shows she can be competitive. She is out again quickly, just 12 days since her last run, but a rating that ranks her only 9th of 13 caps her claims.
Form last 66859
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
He won last time out, bouncing back from a spell of modest efforts (8th, 8th and three unplaced runs before that), and he's quick to follow up just three days later. He has run over today's distance and going before, and a rating that ranks him 5th of 13 makes him respected in this company.
Form last 6000881
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rated 3rd of 13, she's among the leading dangers, with a runner-up effort two starts back showing she has the class to figure. She has run over today's distance before, but remains without a win in that spell, and her trainer is just 0/28 in the last fortnight.
Form last 60072-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR—RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Unplaced last time out and beaten into 6th and 7th before that, she remains without a win in her last three starts. She has run over today's distance and going before, and a rating that ranks her 8th of 13 puts her firmly in the pack rather than among the leading players.
Form last 6760
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR—RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Fifth last time out, with two fourth finishes among his last six starts, he remains without a win in that run, though he is quick back into action just three days later. He has run over today's distance and going before, and a rating that ranks him 6th of 13 keeps him firmly involved.
Form last 6048405
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR—RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A ninth and three further unplaced efforts make up her recent form, leaving her without a win in that spell. She has run over today's distance before, but a rating that ranks her only 12th of 13 leaves her hard to fancy from this field.
Form last 60-009
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR—RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Top of our ratings, she was third last time out, and fourth two starts back, useful recent form despite being without a win in that time. She has run over today's distance and going before, and looks the biggest threat in this field on pure figures.
Form last 6600-43
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
57SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Well beaten in each of her last six starts — 9th, unplaced, 7th, 6th, 9th and unplaced — and still without a win in that run. She has run over today's going before, but ranked bottom of the field on our figures, she's hard to fancy.
Form last 6096709
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
A modest recent record of 5th, 4th, unplaced, 6th, 9th and 9th leaves her without a win in her last six starts. She has run over today's distance and going before, but a rating that ranks her only 10th of 13 makes her hard to fancy.
Form last 6996045
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR—RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Private Larry owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Alan McIntyreGavin Ryan
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Connova
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/8 · Ms Sheila Lavery✓ Value Signal
Music And Song
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Thomas Dowling◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Connova (SR:57, 13/8) is the top-rated runner in this field and carries a favourable 8-7, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over rivals such as Divine Believer (9-11) and Private Larry (9-11). The market has been backing it strongly — Mkt:in19% — and the three-star AI probability reflects genuine confidence not matched elsewhere. Course:W0P1 shows familiarity with Ballinrobe, and the form line 600-43 shows a progressive arc with a place last time out suggesting it is heading in the right direction. The trainer's low strike rate (1%) is a concern but the Chris Hayes booking (12%, 299 rides) suggests connections are treating this as their best shot.
Each-way alternative: Nephin Mountain.
Main danger: Nephin Mountain — Nephin Mountain (SR:55, 11/2) has steamed in 33% in the market — the most significant move in the entire field — carries a low 8-13 and has Michael Mulvany at a solid 12% strike rate, suggesting connections know something on this quick turnaround.