Cartmel 16:47 RESULTED
Class 5 20 Jul 2026

Yesterday Old Park Wood Handicap Steeple Chase

Old Park Wood Handicap Steeple Chase · 2m5f34y

Official Result

Old Park Wood Handicap Steeple Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Aill Dubh (IRE) Joshua Thompson · Micky Hammond
    4/1
  2. 40/1
  3. 9/2
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13:42–16:47 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 15 hours, 35 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Imperial Rule silks
Imperial Rule
Age 9 · 12-0
365-15
100
88
100OR
9
12-0
15/2 13/2 15/2
Fifth last time out but a winner two starts back, Imperial Rule races off an official mark of 100. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 91 keeps him among the leading dangers in this ten-runner field, that recent fifth the obvious blot.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Jack Sprat silks
Jack Sprat
Age 8 · 11-13
474-92
99
94
99OR
8
11-13
3/1 9/2 11/4
Second last time out, beaten only into that placing, Jack Sprat heads this ten-runner race on our figures despite being winless in his last five. He has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 100 — just ahead of his official mark of 99 — makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
El Muchacho silks
El Muchacho
Age 9 · 11-10
323-23
96
90
96OR
9
11-10
9/1 10/1 17/2
Placed in each of his last five starts — three thirds and two seconds — El Muchacho is the model of consistency, for all he remains winless in that run. He has run over today's trip and going before, back after 53 days off, and a rating of 98 makes him one of the leading dangers in this ten-runner field.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Wearelongterm silks
Wearelongterm
Age 9 · 11-0
2635-P
86
72
86OR
9
11-0
11/1
Pulled up last time out and yet to win in his last five, Wearelongterm mixes the odd place effort with plenty of duds on this recent form. Proven over today's trip and going, quick to reappear on just two days, and a rating of 84 puts him firmly in the pack in this ten-runner field.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Kingofthegame silks
Kingofthegame
Age 8 · 10-10
-F3113
82
73
82OR
8
10-10
SP 2/1 9/4
Third last time out, Kingofthegame won two starts back, and again three starts back, form that keeps him respected despite a rating of 76 leaving him down the field in this ten-runner race. He has run over today's trip and going before, and is quick to reappear on just two days' rest.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Judicial Review silks
Judicial Review
Age 8 · 10-7
P-67P2
79
81
79OR
8
10-7
4/1 11/2 7/2
Runner-up last time out, Judicial Review bounced back from a moderate spell that featured two efforts where he was pulled up, and remains winless in his last five starts. He has run over today's trip and going before, quick to return on just two days, and a rating of 83 — above his official mark of 79 — hints at more to come.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Path Of Stars silks
Path Of Stars
Age 5 · 10-6
43-512
78
87
78OR
5
10-6
5/1 6/1 4/1
Runner-up last time out, and a winner two starts back, Path Of Stars has solid recent form, but a rating of just 73 leaves her among the outsiders in this ten-runner field. She has run over today's trip and going before, with more required to trouble the principals here.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Blazing Court silks
Blazing Court
Age 8 · 10-6
5U-UP7
78
48
78OR
8
10-6
28/1 25/1 28/1
A troubled recent record — back-to-back unseated efforts and a pulled-up run — masks a rating of 88, well above his official mark of 78, and that gap makes Blazing Court of real interest in this ten-runner field. He has run over today's trip and going before, quick to return on just two days, though such waywardness is the obvious worry.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

9
Aill Dubh silks
Aill Dubh
Age 9 · 10-3
P31-44
75
81
75OR
9
10-3
4/1 6/1 4/1
A modest recent record for the most part, though a win three starts back shows Aill Dubh has ability when conditions suit. He has run over today's trip and going before, but a rating of only 74 leaves him among the outsiders in this ten-runner field.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Fast Deal silks
Fast Deal
Age 9 · 10-2
6FP-86
64
40
64OR
9
10-2
100/1 80/1 100/1
A well beaten recent record — two sixths either side of a fall and a pulled-up effort — leaves Fast Deal winless in his last five and the lowest-rated runner in this ten-runner field on our figures, at just 72. He has run over today's trip and going before, but there is little in this form to inspire confidence.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Imperial Rule 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 William Hill
2 Jack Sprat 3/1 open 6.00 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 Bet365
3 El Muchacho 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
4 Wearelongterm 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Betfred
5 Kingofthegame 9/4 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 Bet365
6 Judicial Review 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365
7 Path Of Stars 5/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
8 Blazing Court 28/1 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Aill Dubh 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 Bet365
10 Fast Deal 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Path Of Stars

Speculative

Path Of Stars owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Jeff Mullins Benjamin Macey(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jack Sprat

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · James Moffatt
✓ Value Signal

Blazing Court

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · John Dixon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Path Of Stars
56.5 5/1
2 2. Jack Sprat
56.0 3/1
3 3. El Muchacho
55.4 9/1
4 6. Judicial Review
55.1 4/1
5 9. Aill Dubh
52.6 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Path Of Stars
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 8 · 11-13
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 10-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 9 · 10-3
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 10-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 12-0
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 9 · 11-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 9 · 11-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Path Of Stars
Confidence: Medium

Path Of Stars (SR:87, 5/1) combines the most compelling cluster of signals in this modest Class 5 field. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at today's trip and on good ground — a critical edge in a race where half the field carry query marks on both counts. Course:W1P3 at Cartmel, a specialist track, is a significant positive. The market has backed this horse in 23% since opening, suggesting informed support. Weight of 10-6 is competitive, and the recent form of 43-512 shows a consistent pattern with a last-time-out second indicating peak fitness. Jeff Mullins is not a high-volume yard but the booking of a conditional who has racked up 197 rides shows this horse is being campaigned professionally. Each-way alternative: El Muchacho. Main danger: Jack Sprat — Jack Sprat has steamed in 35% in the market — the strongest move in the field — and drops a class with Brian Hughes in the saddle, but GoingFit:- and DistFit:? on good ground at 2m5f are genuine concerns that could be masking a lay angle rather than a market insight.

Shortlist Path Of Stars, Jack Sprat, El Muchacho, Aill Dubh
Each-way: El Muchacho Danger: Jack Sprat

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m5f34y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade