Keadeen Hotel Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden · 6f
Rated 153 on Saturday with solid 6/5 market support and 9-7 weight, Abraham Lincoln profiles as a strong contender just short of top billing.
Rated 150 on Saturday with a competitive 9-7 weight and 10/3 market price signals strong contention without favouritism.
Sent off at 50/1 with a modest Saturday Rating of 126 and poor form figures of 38, Desert Alchemist offers little winning confidence.
Haffner's solid Saturday Rating of 141 at 11/1 odds suggests market underestimation despite carrying 9-7.
Outsider odds of 22/1 and a single form figure of 3 limit confidence despite a solid 130 Saturday Rating.
A 40/1 outsider with a single fifth-place form figure and a Saturday Rating of 124 offers little confidence in this maiden.
Long odds of 18/1 and unknown form leave Man's Best Friend with little market confidence despite carrying 9-7.
Sent off at 50/1 with unknown form, Prince Of Peppard's Saturday Rating of 124 suggests more ability than the market expected.
Outsider odds of 50/1 and unknown form leave Revelator with little evidence to justify confidence despite a 124 Saturday Rating.
Trean's Saturday Rating of 153, solid 3 form, and respected 9/4 market position justify strong but not elite four-star status.
Long-shot odds of 33/1 and unknown form yield a weak Saturday Rating of 124, justifying just 2 stars.
A Saturday Rating of 126 shows ability, but 200/1 odds and poor form figures of 096 cap confidence at three stars.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Abraham Lincoln | 5/4 open 2.20 | — | 6/5 open 2.10 | 6/5 open 2.10 | 5/4 | 6/5 open 2.25 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Anchor Road | 7/2 open 4.33 | — | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Desert Alchemist | 50/1 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Haffner | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Hi Corbett Court | 20/1 open 23.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Jewel In A Crowd | 40/1 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Man's Best Friend | 16/1 open 19.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Prince Of Peppard | 50/1 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Revelator | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Trean | 9/4 | — | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 11 Walk On Harry | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Tina Tereshkova | 200/1 | — | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 | 150/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Trean owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRated 153 on Saturday with solid 6/5 market support and 9-7 weight, Abraham Lincoln profiles as a strong contender just short of top billing.
Trean's Saturday Rating of 153, solid 3 form, and respected 9/4 market position justify strong but not elite four-star status.
Rated 150 on Saturday with a competitive 9-7 weight and 10/3 market price signals strong contention without favouritism.
Haffner's solid Saturday Rating of 141 at 11/1 odds suggests market underestimation despite carrying 9-7.
Long odds of 18/1 and unknown form leave Man's Best Friend with little market confidence despite carrying 9-7.
Outsider odds of 22/1 and a single form figure of 3 limit confidence despite a solid 130 Saturday Rating.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Abraham Lincoln (SR 153, 6/5) shares the top SR in the field with Trean but commands significantly stronger market confidence — 6/5 versus 9/4 — suggesting connections and the market regard this Aidan O'Brien debutant as the likely standard-setter. O'Brien's operation consistently introduces well-prepared first-time-out juveniles at the Curragh, and a SR of 153 on debut at 6f good ground places this horse firmly in the competitive range for a maiden of this class. The 4★ AI probability rating aligns with the market signal, and while Trean has the benefit of a run (a third-place finish), Abraham Lincoln's superior trainer profile and market leadership tip the balance. Anchor Road (SR 150, 10/3) is the each-way play; Trean is the most likely danger. Each-way alternative: Anchor Road. Main danger: Trean — Trean (SR 153, 9/4) matches Abraham Lincoln on the SR and holds a racecourse experience edge with a third-place debut run already banked, suggesting Pat Twomey has this horse improving and race-ready.