Molson Coors Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m5f34y
Strong Saturday Rating of 110, competitive 11/4 odds, and consistent form figures of 523-13 make Settle Down Jill a solid each-way proposition.
Strong form of -P1111 and a competitive 117 Saturday Rating are offset by a hefty 11-9 weight against fresher rivals.
Consistent form figures of 8P2-22 and a mid-range Saturday Rating of 100 suggest capability, but 11-7 weight and 7/1 market position limit confidence.
Aslukgoes holds a solid 105 Saturday Rating at fair 3/1 odds, but inconsistent form of P476-4 limits confidence.
Recent form figures of P474-9 and 11/1 odds signal a horse the market lacks confidence in at 11-2 weight.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Back In The Bay | 12/1 | — | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Settle Down Jill | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Passengerontheship | 11/8 open 2.00 | — | 6/4 open 2.10 | 6/4 open 2.10 | 11/8 open 2.10 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 6/4 Coral |
| 4 Justicialism | 8/1 open 5.50 | — | 17/2 open 4.50 | 17/2 open 4.50 | 17/2 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 17/2 Coral |
| 5 Aslukgoes | 11/4 open 6.50 | — | 5/2 open 7.00 | 5/2 open 7.00 | 2/1 open 7.00 | 5/2 open 7.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Jack Sprat | 11/1 open 19.00 | — | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Passengerontheship owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (65) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong form of -P1111 and a competitive 117 Saturday Rating are offset by a hefty 11-9 weight against fresher rivals.
Aslukgoes holds a solid 105 Saturday Rating at fair 3/1 odds, but inconsistent form of P476-4 limits confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 110, competitive 11/4 odds, and consistent form figures of 523-13 make Settle Down Jill a solid each-way proposition.
Consistent form figures of 8P2-22 and a mid-range Saturday Rating of 100 suggest capability, but 11-7 weight and 7/1 market position limit confidence.
Recent form figures of P474-9 and 11/1 odds signal a horse the market lacks confidence in at 11-2 weight.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Passengerontheship (SR 117, 6/4) is the class leader in this field and arrives on the back of a remarkable -P1111 form string — four consecutive wins after a pulled-up run, exactly the profile of a horse that found its level and is now exploiting it ruthlessly. At 11-9, it carries 6lb less than top-weight Settle Down Jill (SR 110) despite holding a 7-point SR advantage, making the weight-adjusted case compelling. The 6/4 market price reflects genuine confidence, not just favourite-tag inertia — four wins in a row is the strongest possible recent form signal. Good ground at Cartmel over 2m5f is a straightforward test for a novice chaser in this form, and nothing in this field posts a credible SR or form challenge. Each-way alternative: Settle Down Jill. Main danger: Settle Down Jill — Settle Down Jill (SR 110, 11/4) ran a solid third and then won on her latest two starts per the 523-13 form string, is trained by the in-form Tristan Davidson, and carries top-weight which is the only real handicap concern — but at 11/4 the market clearly respects her recent improvement.