First-time tongue-tie applied to a mare who has been out of the places in her last five runs, she is effective at eight to ten furlongs and acts on soft and good to firm. She remains 4lb above her last winning mark which limits confidence, but in a big field over a familiar trip a revival is possible.
Form last 6560-69
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Tachos carries top weight of 10-0 at 16/1 with a poor Saturday Rating of 57 and dismal form of 560-69.
Beaten six lengths at Down Royal a week ago, his form has been patchy and he sits 13lb below his last winning mark. First-time blinkers add a question, though he acts on the going and has distance form; his inconsistency makes it hard to rely on him in a field this large.
Form last 6080406
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 57, poor form (080406), and 18/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in Blues Emperor's winning chances.
Five unplaced finishes in her last five starts including last week at Down Royal, she acts at seven to eight furlongs on soft and good but carries 138lb from a wide draw at stall 22 and wears a first-time tongue-tie. Hard to make a case for her in her current form.
Form last 680-905
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Low Saturday Rating of 62, outsider odds of 16/1, and poor form figures 80-905 confirm Summer Snow holds minimal winning prospects.
Third on her most recent run after what appeared a needed reappearance effort, she has been runner-up four times in turf maidens previously and a first-time visor could help her find the extra fraction. Acts from seven to eleven furlongs on good going; her mark looks workable and she is our top pick.
Form last 62224-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-12 with a modest Saturday Rating of 73 and unconsidered at 17/2 in the market limits confidence.
Well held last time at this course over eight furlongs, she has a win on her record and her mark has eased slightly, though more is required to get competitive. Effective at seven to eight furlongs on a sound surface; the wide draw at stall 19 is an additional hurdle.
Form last 61096-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 49, distant 28/1 odds, and a form string showing one win followed by defeats make Banner Beauty an unconvincing contender.
First-time cheekpieces for a hold-up type who was fourth at Cork 38 days ago and usually finishes with late running from the rear. Effective at seven to eight furlongs on heavy and all-weather and his mark is easing; draws at stall 1 on the inside of a large field which could help if he gets a clear run.
Form last 6223094
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Brewing's poor Saturday Rating of 58, long odds of 18/1, and inconsistent form including a 9th place finish justify just 1/5 stars.
Unplaced in each of his last five runs, returning after a 236-day absence with a first-time tongue-tie. He was placed at eight furlongs on a sound surface in the UK but his Irish efforts have been well off the pace; the mark is dropping but needs a significant bounce-back to be involved.
Form last 620000-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Thyer's 59 Saturday Rating, poor 20000- form, and 16/1 odds signal a horse the market has firmly dismissed.
He has a win on his record and his mark is easing, but was well held at Limerick last time from off the pace in a handicap at eight furlongs. Mark easing but he needs to find a good deal more to make an impact here; recent form has not been encouraging.
Form last 61-9808
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 59 with weak 1-9808 form and dismissed at 14/1 by the market, Calm The Jets lacks credibility here.
He landed a race three runs ago and acts on cut ground and at six to eight furlongs, but was beaten eight and a quarter lengths at Roscommon most recently and needs to bounce back. Draws very wide at stall 21; a return to his winning form is needed and the draw makes things harder.
Form last 6701-59
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 54, weak 701-59 form, and 22/1 odds signal Chester Nimitz holds minimal winning prospects here.
Third at Limerick last time from off the pace, finishing best of those held up, his form is consistent at seven to eight furlongs with cut. The trainer is out of form but his latest effort was honest and he can be competitive if he builds on that effort; his late-running style suits this sort of race.
Form last 6050403
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 66 and inconsistent form figures of 050403 at 10/1 suggest limited winning prospects.
A winner at this trip with good prior form, she found the mile beyond her last time here but is back at the same trip with a top jockey booking. The latest effort was a setback but prior form at seven furlongs on a sound surface was solid; she can show more here.
Form last 601-30
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carries top weight of 9-8 with inconsistent form of 01-30 and a Saturday Rating of 85 limits confidence at 11/2.
Below par in each of his last four runs including well held at Gowran Park up to twelve furlongs most recently. The drop to a mile is not obviously what he wants — he has been better at ten furlongs on good — and despite the trainer being in form the profile makes it hard to recommend him.
Form last 652-00
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 47, combined with 33/1 odds and winless form showing 52-00, makes Spanish Rising a weak contender at 9-8.
Well beaten last time off 71, a pound lower here with a significant jockey booking and a preference for eight to ten furlongs on soft or good to yielding. He has landed a race before and draws at stall 2 on the inside which could help; a bounce-back is needed but he has the profile to do so.
Form last 6802120
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Majestic King's inconsistent form (802120) and a Saturday Rating of 76 at 9-6 weight limit confidence at 15/2.
Beaten seven and a half lengths here last time with her best work at the finish from off the pace, she is effective at seven to eight furlongs on soft, good and all-weather. The first-time tongue-tie is an unknown; she has landed a race before and could go better with the right set-up.
Form last 6241977
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 55 with weak 241977 form and dismissed at 20/1, Neo Smart carries 9-6 with no market confidence.
Out of form when unplaced most recently at Leopardstown, this hold-up gelding has been placed in prior form and is effective at eight to eleven furlongs on heavy, good and all-weather. First-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces added; with a cold trainer, he has ability but recent form is hard to assess positively.
Form last 6446-30
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR—RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 55, uninspiring 446-30 form, and 16/1 odds signal no market confidence in this 9-3 weighted outsider.
Unplaced five times in recent form and drawing wide at stall 18, he races from off the pace and wears a first-time hood. He operates at seven to eight furlongs on a sound surface but has consistently failed to convert placed potential; a significant step forward is required.
Form last 63-9770
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR—RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 44, 40/1 odds, and form showing 3-9770 mark Usuario Amigo as an outsider with little winning chance.
Fifth at this course last time over a mile, beaten six lengths, she returned to form at the trip and acts at a mile to ten furlongs on good and all-weather. Her mark looks fair and she could find her way into the places if the pace sets up right; not uncompetitive for this field.
Form last 69-0905
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 63 with patchy form of 9-0905 and starting at 8/1, Liberate lacks the market confidence or consistency to threaten.
Runner-up at Dundalk last time, she is effective at seven furlongs on soft, good and all-weather and there is more to come now handicapping over a mile. She is a hold-up type and the step from seven furlongs to a mile looks to suit; she has shown enough to be respected here.
Form last 654-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-1 with a modest Saturday Rating of 75 and unconvincing form of 54-2 limits confidence at 7/1.
Runner-up at Limerick last time beaten two lengths off this mark, she acts at seven to eight furlongs on soft and good and can go well again. She is yet to score in recent starts but has been placed regularly; proving stamina over the slightly longer trip is the main unknown.
Form last 609-752
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Low Saturday Rating of 64, weak form of 09-752, and unfavoured market position at 17/2 undermine Tofino's chances.
Ninth and recently below form on turf when beaten nine lengths at this course, he has been better on all-weather and acts at seven to eight furlongs on that surface. Draws at stall 3 on the inside which is an advantage; he could be worth a second look on a surface that suited him better.
Form last 609-849
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 46, 33/1 odds, and dismal form figures of 09-849 make Albion Power a rank outsider.
She has a win and placed effort at this course and ran to form here last time beaten four and a quarter lengths; effective at seven furlongs on yielding and all-weather. She tends to set the pace and stamina may be tested at the longer trip, but her course record is a genuine asset.
Form last 6531-96
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 74 with weak 531-96 form and dismissed by the market at 12/1, Liberation Date lacks the profile to overcome 9-0.
Sixth at Down Royal last time over a longer trip he failed to see out, and below form in recent outings, he wears a first-time visor and brings distance and going form. He needs to bounce back after a poor last run; the headgear change is the hook, but the evidence still leaves a question mark.
Form last 6373-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Chapel Lane's 28/1 odds, poor form of 373-6, and low Saturday Rating of 54 signal minimal winning chances.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Prevalence owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2G M LyonsColin Keane
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Tofino
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · Gavin Cromwell✓ Value Signal
Banner Beauty
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Edward Buckley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Prevalence (SR 85, 11/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by a significant margin — 9 points clear of the next-best — and carries a competitive 9-8, which is neither a punishing top-weight burden nor a giveaway. The form string 01-30 shows a win and a placed effort at the 3yo level, and at age 3 in a field of older handicappers the age-allowance dynamic gives G M Lyons's runner a genuine lbs edge. The market at 11/2 reflects solid confidence without overcrowding, and on good ground over 1m at the Curragh the conditions are straightforward and suit a progressive 3yo. The SR advantage here is so pronounced — this is not a marginal call — that backing any rival requires a compelling weight or market override that simply does not exist in this data.
Each-way alternative: Nautic Star.
Main danger: Nautic Star — Nautic Star (SR 75, 7/1) carries a featherweight 9-1, has the second-most compact and recent form string in the shortlist (54-2 — a placed effort last time), and the Mrs John Harrington yard is a perennial Curragh handler, making this the most likely price to shorten on the day.