Fitzpatrick's Mercedes-Benz Apprentice Derby Handicap · 1m4f
A Saturday Rating of 47, outsider odds of 28/1, and a form string of 6/600- offer no winning case for Sea Eagle.
Quatre Bras carries top weight of 10-0 with a weak Saturday Rating of 62, poor recent form of 204088, and drifting 16/1 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 49, weak 356 form, and 28/1 odds signal this 9-8 weighted outsider holds minimal winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 62, 16/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 14-517 offer no winning case.
A Saturday Rating of 56, outsider odds of 18/1, and recent form showing no wins make Granville Street an unconvincing contender.
Rated just 70 with patchy form (9419-3) and carrying 9-5 at 10/1, Eastern Peace lacks the market confidence or consistency to merit more.
Rated just 42 with 50/1 odds and a form reading of 36/60-, Devine Genius shows no compelling Saturday market case.
Derry Lad's dismal form of -99055, long-shot 25/1 odds, and low Saturday Rating of 41 make him an unlikely contender.
A Saturday Rating of 38, poor form of 29700-, and 28/1 odds signal no realistic winning chance.
Faro Island's inconsistent form (310-41) and mid-range Saturday Rating of 76 limit confidence despite fair 9/2 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 52, 16/1 odds, and inconsistent form reading 7-1147 make Celtic Druid a low-confidence outsider.
Tatum's inconsistent form (121-75), low Saturday Rating of 59, and dismissive 12/1 odds signal limited winning prospects here.
A Saturday Rating of 61, weak form reading 00-003, and 9/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite a manageable 8-11 weight.
A Saturday Rating of 42, 28/1 odds, and uninspiring form figures of 46442 make Covert Legend a weak market outsider.
Recent form shows three consecutive placed efforts, but a Saturday Rating of 86 and 15/2 odds suggest limited winning confidence at 8-10.
Outsider at 20/1 with a weak Saturday Rating of 47, poor recent form of 747-83, and no market support makes Cooley's Mist a very unlikely winner.
Recent form (09-011) shows promise but a Saturday Rating of 88 and 7/2 odds suggest market respect without elite status.
Recent form of 55-620 and a Saturday Rating of 77 make 15/2 odds hard to justify at 8-8 weight.
Outsider odds of 12/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 67, and uninspiring form figures of 547 make Gaelic Drills an unconvincing each-way proposition.
A Saturday Rating of 55 and poor recent form of -93558 at 12/1 make Tassarolo an unconvincing outsider.
Outsider odds of 12/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 57, and uninspiring form figures of /74-72 combine to undermine confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 51, 33/1 odds, and a form line of 809 mark Avoca Woods as a rank outsider with no winning prospects.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Pillar Of Hope | — | — | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 Coral |
| 1 Sea Eagle | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Quatre Bras | 16/1 | — | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 4 Cracking Cloud | 28/1 | — | 25/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Kool One | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Granville Street | 16/1 open 19.00 | — | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Eastern Peace | 10/1 | — | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 8 Devine Genius | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Derry Lad | 25/1 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Party Dress | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Faro Island | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 9/2 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Celtic Druid | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Tatum | 12/1 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 Coral |
| 14 Royal Alliance | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Covert Legend | 28/1 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 16 Keepsgettingbetter | 15/2 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 17 Cooley's Mist | 22/1 open 21.00 | — | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Darius Dark | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 19 Nod Of Approval | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 | 8/1 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 20 Gaelic Drills | 12/1 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 21 Tassarolo | 12/1 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 22 Folly Beach | 12/1 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 23 Avoca Woods | 33/1 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Darius Dark owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRecent form (09-011) shows promise but a Saturday Rating of 88 and 7/2 odds suggest market respect without elite status.
Faro Island's inconsistent form (310-41) and mid-range Saturday Rating of 76 limit confidence despite fair 9/2 odds.
Recent form shows three consecutive placed efforts, but a Saturday Rating of 86 and 15/2 odds suggest limited winning confidence at 8-10.
Recent form of 55-620 and a Saturday Rating of 77 make 15/2 odds hard to justify at 8-8 weight.
Rated just 70 with patchy form (9419-3) and carrying 9-5 at 10/1, Eastern Peace lacks the market confidence or consistency to merit more.
A Saturday Rating of 61, weak form reading 00-003, and 9/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite a manageable 8-11 weight.
Tatum's inconsistent form (121-75), low Saturday Rating of 59, and dismissive 12/1 odds signal limited winning prospects here.
Outsider odds of 12/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 67, and uninspiring form figures of 547 make Gaelic Drills an unconvincing each-way proposition.
A Saturday Rating of 55 and poor recent form of -93558 at 12/1 make Tassarolo an unconvincing outsider.
Outsider odds of 12/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 57, and uninspiring form figures of /74-72 combine to undermine confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 62, 16/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 14-517 offer no winning case.
A Saturday Rating of 52, 16/1 odds, and inconsistent form reading 7-1147 make Celtic Druid a low-confidence outsider.
Quatre Bras carries top weight of 10-0 with a weak Saturday Rating of 62, poor recent form of 204088, and drifting 16/1 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 56, outsider odds of 18/1, and recent form showing no wins make Granville Street an unconvincing contender.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Darius Dark (SR 88, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a featherweight 8-8 — a decisive advantage over heavier rivals in a competitive 22-runner handicap. His form string of 09-011 shows a sharp upward trajectory, with back-to-back wins in his most recent outings confirming he is at peak form. At 7/2 he is the market leader, and that confidence is justified not merely by price but by the combination of top SR, light weight, progressive profile from trainer J P Murtagh, and recent winning form on comparable good ground over middle distances. The 3-year-old allowance further flatters his weight-adjusted edge versus older rivals carrying more. Each-way alternative: Faro Island. Main danger: Keepsgettingbetter — Keepsgettingbetter (SR 86, 15/2) carries only 8-10, sits just 2lbs below Darius Dark in weight, and his form of 0-0113 mirrors a similarly progressive trajectory — three consecutive finishes of 1-1-3 suggest a horse hitting top form at the right time, and Donnacha Aidan O'Brien's yard commands respect in apprentice contests.