Hadwins Mares' Handicap Hurdle · 2m6f31y
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with poor form figures of 0/60-5 and unfancied at 12/1, Fair Damsel's Saturday Rating of 78 signals little winning chance.
Consistent form (F8P-32) and fair 5/1 odds are offset by a 3/5 Saturday Rating of 83 and a hefty 11-12 weight.
Carrying top weight of 11-11 with outdated form showing a string of defeats and drifting odds of 14/1 signals minimal winning prospects.
Blackwater Lilly's 73 Saturday Rating, 18/1 odds, and uninspiring 432-44 form mark her as a rank outsider carrying 11-11.
Carrying top weight of 11-10 with a poor form reading of 3822-8 and a modest Saturday Rating of 87 at 9/1 makes Gerrys Wish an unconvincing each-way proposition.
A Saturday Rating of 79, distant 9/1 odds, and poor form figures of 461/6- justify only 2/5 stars despite carrying 11-8.
Solid recent form (1153-2) and competitive 10/3 odds justify three stars, but 10-11 weight and an 88 Saturday Rating limit upside.
A Saturday Rating of 80 and inconsistent form reading 9753-2 undermine confidence despite a workable 13/2 price and 10-10 weight.
Alvesta's mid-range Saturday Rating of 91, top weight of 10-8, and inconsistent form of 446-71 limit confidence despite fair 3/1 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 74, distant 12/1 odds, and uninspiring form figures of 44P-27 combine to make Masonbrook Meadow a weak contender.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fair Damsel | 20/1 open 7.00 | — | 18/1 open 7.50 | 18/1 open 7.50 | 16/1 open 7.50 | 18/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Victoria Milano | 5/1 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Belles Benefit | 16/1 open 26.00 | — | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Blackwater Lilly | 28/1 open 13.00 | — | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Gerrys Wish | 12/1 open 6.00 | — | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Turkey And Ham | 12/1 open 6.50 | — | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Parish Star | 10/3 open 4.50 | — | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 8 Forest Spirit | 15/2 open 6.00 | — | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Alvesta | 5/2 open 13.00 | — | 5/2 open 11.00 | 5/2 open 11.00 | 5/2 open 11.00 | 5/2 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Masonbrook Meadow | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alvesta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalAlvesta's mid-range Saturday Rating of 91, top weight of 10-8, and inconsistent form of 446-71 limit confidence despite fair 3/1 odds.
Solid recent form (1153-2) and competitive 10/3 odds justify three stars, but 10-11 weight and an 88 Saturday Rating limit upside.
Consistent form (F8P-32) and fair 5/1 odds are offset by a 3/5 Saturday Rating of 83 and a hefty 11-12 weight.
A Saturday Rating of 80 and inconsistent form reading 9753-2 undermine confidence despite a workable 13/2 price and 10-10 weight.
Carrying top weight of 11-10 with a poor form reading of 3822-8 and a modest Saturday Rating of 87 at 9/1 makes Gerrys Wish an unconvincing each-way proposition.
A Saturday Rating of 79, distant 9/1 odds, and poor form figures of 461/6- justify only 2/5 stars despite carrying 11-8.
A Saturday Rating of 74, distant 12/1 odds, and uninspiring form figures of 44P-27 combine to make Masonbrook Meadow a weak contender.
Carrying top weight of 11-11 with outdated form showing a string of defeats and drifting odds of 14/1 signals minimal winning prospects.
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with poor form figures of 0/60-5 and unfancied at 12/1, Fair Damsel's Saturday Rating of 78 signals little winning chance.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Alvesta (SR 91, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and arrives on the back of a win (form ending in '1'), which is the strongest recent form credential here. Carrying 10-8 gives her a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Fair Damsel (12-0) and Victoria Milano (11-12), meaning her SR edge is amplified by a favourable weight-to-ability ratio. The market at 3/1 — the clear favourite — reflects genuine confidence, and at 5 years old she is a young, likely-improving mare. Good ground over 2m6f suits a young stayer in good form, and trainer George Bewley's placing of a horse fresh off a win into a competitive mares' handicap suggests intent. Each-way alternative: Parish Star. Main danger: Parish Star — Parish Star (SR 88, 10/3) is second in the SR rankings, carries a featherweight 10-11, and her form '1153-2' shows consistent competitiveness including a recent second — she is the most likely to give Alvesta a race at a comparable price.