Cartmel 16:23 RESULTED
Class 5 26 Jun 2026

Friday 26 June Holker Homes Handicap Chase

Holker Homes Handicap Chase · 2m5f34y

Official Result

Holker Homes Handicap Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zumbi (GER) Leah Noreci · James Moffatt
    2/1F
  2. 3/1
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
On The Platform silks
On The Platform Non-Runner
Age 10 · 10-10
P/1P/5
82
82OR
10
10-10
SP
1
Thank You Blue silks
Thank You Blue
Age 9 · 12-0
1P5P-4
100
79
100OR
9
12-0
11/1 12/1 9/1
Jumping has been a problem in recent starts — fourth at Southwell last time after another poor round of jumping — but he holds fair hurdle form on a sound surface and could be well treated on that basis. First-time tongue-tie is applied and a clear round would put him in contention, but his fencing is the overriding concern.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 79, distant 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 1P5P-4 carrying top weight 12-0 signal minimal winning prospects.

2
Blue Reed silks
Blue Reed
Age 7 · 11-11
6745-1
97
93
97OR
7
11-11
13/2 3/1 6/1
Won a handicap chase at Kilbeggan 26 days ago, going clear by 2½ lengths off a mark 10lb lower; effective over 2m-2m6f on heavy and yielding ground, and today's conditions look suitable. Now in first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces, having been frustrating at times; that win may have provided the confidence to build on.
AI verdict

Solid recent win in form offsets a hefty 11-11 weight, but a 93 Saturday Rating and 7/2 odds suggest limited upside.

3
Zumbi silks
Zumbi
Age 9 · 11-10
442-21
96
92
96OR
9
11-10
7/4 5/4 7/4
Won here last time, landing a handicap by 4¼ lengths off a mark 8lb lower after a strong pace played to his strengths; back in form and stays well over an extended range of distances on good ground. First-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces today as connections push for more; an 8lb rise is the main challenge.
AI verdict

Zumbi's solid recent form (442-21) and competitive Saturday Rating of 92 are offset by a testing weight of 11-10.

4
Am Still Here silks
Am Still Here
Age 5 · 11-1
22323-
87
80
87OR
5
11-1
14/1 17/2 14/1
Consistent in placing terms before a long layoff — five consecutive placed finishes prior to a wind operation — but his most recent effort at Hexham, where he went too free and finished well beaten, casts doubt on his current fitness and jumping. Effective over 2m4f-3m; first-time cheekpieces are added and he might need this.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 80, outsider odds of 12/1, and a heavy weight of 11-1 limit Am Still Here's winning prospects despite consistent placed form.

5
Tell Me Again silks
Tell Me Again
Age 8 · 10-13
33-U48
85
55
85OR
8
10-13
50/1 33/1 40/1
Poor jumping when last seen at Hexham and on a declining curve in recent starts; has shown promise over 3m in the past and now wears a first-time tongue-tie. Considerable improvement needed and the form trend is not encouraging.
AI verdict

Rated just 55 with 40/1 odds and a form string showing a unseated rider and a fourth, Tell Me Again offers little appeal at 10-13.

6
Judicial Review silks
Judicial Review
Age 8 · 10-12
1P9P-6
84
80
84OR
8
10-12
13/2 9/1 13/2
Has the form on the board over around 2m5f and best ground; last time at Cartmel appeared to need the run when comfortably held. First-time tongue-tie and blinkers are fitted today and the trip looks right — a chance at best if these aids help him switch on.
AI verdict

Rated just 80 with patchy form of 1P9P-6 and carrying 10-12 at 8/1, Judicial Review offers little appeal.

8
Out On Her Own silks
Out On Her Own
Age 6 · 10-6
223-25
78
80
78OR
6
10-6
9/2 5/1 9/2
Outpaced and found wanting at Hexham last time — running 9 lengths behind the winner despite having been in consistent form before that — and the step up in test may suit with a stiffer test sought. She wears a first-time hood today and has been better when allowed to settle. Yet to score in recent starts; can do better if she relaxes.
AI verdict

Consistent form of 223-25 and competitive 5/1 odds support a mid-tier 80 Saturday Rating under 10-6.

9
Roi Du Roume silks
Roi Du Roume
Age 6 · 10-4
0734-4
76
75
76OR
6
10-4
11/2 13/2 9/2
Chase debut was a disappointment — fourth and beaten 17 lengths at Newton Abbot — and he has struggled to make an impact in recent hurdle starts too. Effective over 2m4f-3m; first-time cheekpieces may assist but he needs to find a good deal more.
AI verdict

Roi Du Roume's weak 0734-4 form and modest Saturday Rating of 75 undermine his 15/2 market appeal at 10-4.

10
Mr Globalist silks
Mr Globalist
Age 7 · 10-2
55-344
74
51
74OR
7
10-2
50/1 22/1 40/1
Chase debut at Hexham 13 days ago resulted in a 23-length defeat, some way below what his hurdle form suggested he could do. A longstanding maiden under both codes and first-time cheekpieces are now applied; hard to recommend at present.
AI verdict

Carrying 10-2 with a Saturday Rating of just 51, 40/1 odds, and uninspiring 55-344 form confirms Mr Globalist as a weak market outsider.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 On The Platform
1 Thank You Blue 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
2 Blue Reed 13/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.00 13/2 Bet365
3 Zumbi 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 Bet365
4 Am Still Here 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Tell Me Again 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
6 Judicial Review 13/2 open 23.00 13/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 Bet365
8 Out On Her Own 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
9 Roi Du Roume 11/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 8.50 11/2 Bet365
10 Mr Globalist 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Zumbi

Speculative

Zumbi owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 James Moffatt Leah Noreci(10)
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Out On Her Own

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Dianne Sayer
✓ Value Signal

Mr Globalist

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Lizzie Quinlan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Zumbi
58.9 7/4
2 8. Out On Her Own
54.3 9/2
3 2. Blue Reed
53.8 13/2
4 9. Roi Du Roume
52.6 11/2
5 6. Judicial Review
52.4 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Zumbi
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 9 · 11-10
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

Zumbi's solid recent form (442-21) and competitive Saturday Rating of 92 are offset by a testing weight of 11-10.

8
Age 6 · 10-6
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

Consistent form of 223-25 and competitive 5/1 odds support a mid-tier 80 Saturday Rating under 10-6.

9
Age 6 · 10-4
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

Roi Du Roume's weak 0734-4 form and modest Saturday Rating of 75 undermine his 15/2 market appeal at 10-4.

2
Age 7 · 11-11
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

Solid recent win in form offsets a hefty 11-11 weight, but a 93 Saturday Rating and 7/2 odds suggest limited upside.

6
Age 8 · 10-12
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

Rated just 80 with patchy form of 1P9P-6 and carrying 10-12 at 8/1, Judicial Review offers little appeal.

1
Age 9 · 12-0
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 79, distant 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 1P5P-4 carrying top weight 12-0 signal minimal winning prospects.

4
Age 5 · 11-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 80, outsider odds of 12/1, and a heavy weight of 11-1 limit Am Still Here's winning prospects despite consistent placed form.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Zumbi
Confidence: Medium

Zumbi (SR 92, 6/4) arrives in the best recent form in the field — a form string of 442-21 shows a clear upward trajectory culminating in a win last time out, and at 11-10 he carries a manageable weight that gives him a 2lb edge over Blue Reed (SR 93, 11-11) despite the marginal SR deficit. Trainer James Moffatt knows this horse well — he also handles Judicial Review — and the good ground at Cartmel over 2m5f is a trip that suits a horse finishing strongly enough to win last time. The market has installed him as a firm favourite, and that confidence is grounded in a genuine form upturn rather than class alone. Blue Reed's 7/2 is fair given his last-time-out win, but his preceding form of 6745 before that victory raises questions about consistency that Zumbi's cleaner recent profile does not. Each-way alternative: Blue Reed. Main danger: Blue Reed — Blue Reed (SR 93, 7/2) holds the marginal SR lead in the field and last-time-out form of 6745-1 shows he can produce a peak performance when conditions align, and at 11-11 the weight is not prohibitive.

Shortlist Zumbi, Blue Reed, Out On Her Own
Each-way: Blue Reed Danger: Blue Reed

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m5f34y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade