Hard to recommend now on the Flat having been below form in a recent hurdle where he may have found the experience busy. He was in good form prior and there is ability lurking, but there is plenty to prove before he can be taken seriously here in this company.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
153SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Mid-tier Saturday Rating of 153 and unfancied 10/1 market odds, combined with a hefty 12-6 weight, limits Spinola Bay to a fair 3-star assessment.
The circumstances of his last chase win need context — a late faller gifted him the prize by 25 lengths — so the form offers little reliable evidence. He is off a short break but hard to recommend on Flat debut in this company on that basis.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
140SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Catalani's solid Saturday Rating of 140 is undermined by unfavourable 12/1 odds and a burdensome 12-3 weight assignment.
He has a win on his record and was well held most recently at Limerick from off the pace in a handicap; stamina at the longer trip is to be proved and he is off a short break. A bounce-back is needed and if he settles, his form at a mile on good and with cut offers a hook; not impossible.
Form last 60105-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long-absent form figures (0105-0), a low Saturday Rating of 56, and 20/1 odds signal market rejection of this 12-3 weighted outsider.
Consistent recent form with three successive placed efforts including at Listowel most recently over sixteen furlongs, beaten eight and a half lengths. Effective at twelve to sixteen furlongs, he is one of the better horses here and can go well with improvement possible; a genuine contender.
Form last 69133-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid Saturday Rating of 91 and consistent form (9133-3) are undermined by a hefty 12-3 weight burden at 3/1.
An unraced gelding on the Flat, he was well beaten in a handicap hurdle most recently and is hard to recommend without reliable form to assess. All to do on debut in this company.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 25/1, a hefty weight of 12-3, and an unknown form profile limit Way Down South's Saturday Rating of 125 to just 2 stars.
Well held in a hurdle most recently and returning from a long break, there is plenty more needed before he can compete here. He has form at the distance and going from previous Flat efforts but the recent hurdles form is not a sound guide; needs time.
Form last 685375/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
131SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 at 20/1 with a weak form line of 85375/ undermines the Saturday Rating of 131.
Out of form most recently at Limerick and well held; effective at a mile on good though all to prove after recent efforts. The form is thin and a significant improvement is needed; hard to recommend in the current state.
Form last 64370-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR—RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Limbocall's 50/1 odds, poor 4370-0 form, and low Saturday Rating of 33 confirm a 1/5-star assessment.
In form over twelve to sixteen furlongs on all-weather at Dundalk and at this level, beaten six and a quarter lengths last time when held but not disgraced. Off a short break with the stable having taken this race before and effective on good and all-weather; a genuine contender who can go well.
Form last 66-2205
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid 89 Saturday Rating and fair 3/1 odds are undermined by top weight 12-0 and inconsistent form 6-2205.
Well held most recently in a hurdle at Downpatrick where he did too much too soon, effective at twelve to fourteen furlongs on yielding and good when at his best. Not the force of old since his layoff and the form since returning has been modest; needs to rediscover earlier form.
Form last 67-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
142SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Weak single-run form of 7, a Saturday Rating of 142, and 12/1 odds outside the market suggest limited confidence in Typical Thomas.
Off a short break and effective at nine to ten furlongs on easy ground on the Flat, he has done well over hurdles but has often been his own worst enemy by going too fast. On the Flat with more judicious riding he has a genuine chance; his figure here gives him the best claim.
Form last 674/3-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
156SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Wackestone's strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 3/1 market odds justify four stars despite patchy recent form.
He returned to form in his most recent hurdle but was still beaten eight lengths, visually in need of further. Plenty more is needed before he can be recommended on the Flat; hard to make a case in this company without more reliable evidence.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
136SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 20/1, top weight of 12-0, and unknown form combine to justify Western Model's weak 2/5 Saturday Rating.
She landed a race at this distance and was twice placed before that at twelve to fourteen furlongs on cut ground, and ran to form last time at Gowran Park in a handicap. Off a short break; she is effective at the distance and going and could have a say again here — the recent form is solid.
Form last 6221-85
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Nancee Spain's recent form (221-85) shows inconsistency, and at 11-12 carrying significant weight, her 71 Saturday Rating and 17/2 odds reflect mid-tier market confidence.
She was pulled up in a hurdle most recently after a long layoff, which gives cause for concern. There is all to do, with limited reliable form to assess here on first run back.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
129SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long-shot odds of 100/1, unknown form, and a heavy weight of 11-12 undermine Whatyouwant's solid Saturday Rating of 129.
He ran to form when second in a novice hurdle at Punchestown most recently and has been respected back on the Flat where he is effective at eight to twelve furlongs on soft, good and probably all-weather. He has a win on his record over the Flat and is a credible each-way option.
Form last 656196-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
154SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Playtime's strong Saturday Rating of 154 at fair 5/2 odds, despite carrying top weight 12-6, justifies four stars.
Well beaten in his last four runs including at the last in a hurdle most recently, he is off a short break with plenty to prove. He has form at a mile on good going but there is much to overcome; the recent form makes it hard to be positive.
Form last 6740-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR—RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Elman's 47 Saturday Rating, 20/1 odds, and poor 740-0 form under 12-0 weight justify just 2/5 stars.
Returning to the Flat after a below-form hurdle effort where the ground may have been too quick; more is needed here in this company. With a first-time tongue-tie added, he is an unknown quantity and the Flat transition requires more evidence before confidence can be placed.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
136SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Garnetot's solid Saturday Rating of 136 is offset by unfavourable 16/1 odds and a hefty 12-0 weight assignment.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Playtime owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Gordon ElliottTBA
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Wackestone
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Gordon Elliott✓ Value Signal
Whatyouwant
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
100/1 · Michael C Griffin◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Nancee Spain's recent form (221-85) shows inconsistency, and at 11-12 carrying significant weight, her 71 Saturday Rating and 17/2 odds reflect mid-tier market confidence.
Wackestone (SR 156, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field outside of Playtime and carries 12-0, a meaningful 6lb advantage over joint top-weights Spinola Bay (12-6) and Playtime (12-6). Despite a patchy form string (74/3-), the SR of 156 — top-class on this scale — suggests a horse with genuine ability that the form figures don't fully reflect, and the 3/1 market price indicates punter confidence matching the rating. On Good ground over 1m4f at the Curragh, a four-year-old with this ceiling has more upside than the older rivals. The 6lb weight concession Playtime gives Wackestone is a substantial real-terms edge in what is a charity-format race where top-weights face a steep ask.
Each-way alternative: Spinola Bay.
Main danger: Playtime — Playtime (SR 154, 5/2) is the market favourite and carries a strong SR, and while the 12-6 top-weight is a burden, trainer Gordon Elliott saddles both Wackestone and Playtime — if Elliott's string is in form, Playtime's superior market support (5/2 vs 3/1) and recent run (56196-) showing consistent involvement at competitive level makes it the primary threat.