Nottingham 11:00 RESULTED
Class 6 25 Jun 2026

Thursday 25 June Martin Stonemans Lucky Last Handicap

Martin Stonemans Lucky Last Handicap · 1m6f

Official Result

Martin Stonemans Lucky Last Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nymphaea (GB) Marco Ghiani · Jennie Candlish
    9/4
  2. 6/5F
  3. Third Muhib (GB)
    15/2
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Regally Blonde silks
Regally Blonde Non-Runner
Age 7 · 9-2
07-756
53
53OR
7
9-2
SP
1
Two Plus Two silks
Two Plus Two
Age 6 · 9-9
17-414
60
67
60OR
6
9-9
13/8 3/2 31/19
Two Plus Two has a pair of wins in its last five starts, including a one-and-a-half-length success at Bath, and ran to a similar level with every chance when fourth last time from the same mark — same mark again today. Wears first-time blinkers and takes the lead from the front, effective over 10-14f on a sound surface; the mark may be stretching the limits, but this is a weak field.
AI verdict

Solid Saturday Rating of 67 and competitive 6/4 odds are offset by top weight 9-9 and inconsistent 17-414 form.

3
Nymphaea silks
Nymphaea
Age 4 · 8-11
296432
48
59
48OR
4
8-11
2/1 3/2 2/1
First-time headgear (p) applied as Nymphaea reverts from all-weather to turf, and her last run — a runner-up effort in a classified race at Windsor — showed she can hold her own at this level over the shorter trip. Effective at 12f on the all-weather and still without a win in recent starts, she needs to translate that consistency into a clear run; capable of making a race of it.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 59 and inconsistent form (296432) limit confidence despite carrying 8-11 at 6/4.

4
Star Of Jupiter silks
Star Of Jupiter
Age 5 · 8-9
46-256
46
53
46OR
5
8-9
7/2 4/1 3/1
Star Of Jupiter has been below her best in recent starts, beaten nine lengths at Yarmouth last time — a performance that needs to be put behind her. She stays well at up to 17f and acts on a wide range of surfaces, so the conditions are not the issue; first-time eye-shields (etb) may help but a turnaround is needed to get involved.
AI verdict

Moderate Saturday Rating of 53, uninspiring form of 46-256, and 8-9 weight limit the each-way appeal at 9/2.

5
Muhib silks
Muhib
Age 5 · 8-9
553344
46
51
46OR
5
8-9
6/1 8/1 5/1
Consistent performer at this level without breaking through, Muhib has registered two thirds and two fourths in recent outings and matched that level again when beaten two and a quarter lengths at Doncaster last time — effective over 10-12f and comfortable on today's going. Yet to win in recent starts and clearly exposed, but reliable enough to be in the mix for a placing.
AI verdict

Muhib's weak Saturday Rating of 51, inconsistent 553344 form, and 8/1 odds signal limited market confidence at 8-9 weight.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Regally Blonde
1 Two Plus Two 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 Bet365
3 Nymphaea 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 Bet365
4 Star Of Jupiter 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
5 Muhib 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nymphaea

Speculative

Nymphaea owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 J Candlish Marco Ghiani
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Two Plus Two

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · Ed De Giles
✓ Value Signal

Muhib

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

6/1 · Olly Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Nymphaea
53.2 2/1
2 1. Two Plus Two
53.1 13/8
3 4. Star Of Jupiter
49.7 7/2
4 5. Muhib
46.6 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Two Plus Two
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 9-9
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

Solid Saturday Rating of 67 and competitive 6/4 odds are offset by top weight 9-9 and inconsistent 17-414 form.

3
Age 4 · 8-11
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 59 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 59 and inconsistent form (296432) limit confidence despite carrying 8-11 at 6/4.

4
Age 5 · 8-9
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

Moderate Saturday Rating of 53, uninspiring form of 46-256, and 8-9 weight limit the each-way appeal at 9/2.

5
Age 5 · 8-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

Muhib's weak Saturday Rating of 51, inconsistent 553344 form, and 8/1 odds signal limited market confidence at 8-9 weight.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Two Plus Two
Confidence: Medium

Two Plus Two leads the field on SR 67 — a clear 8-point advantage over Nymphaea — and carries 9-9, which is only 12lb more than Star Of Jupiter and Muhib, a manageable burden in a thin four-runner field on good ground over 1m6f. The form string 17-414 shows a recent 4th and a win in the sequence, indicating competitive exposure at this level, and joint-favourite market confidence at 6/4 alongside Nymphaea confirms trainer Ed De Giles has the horse in a workable spot. With the two lower-rated runners (SR 53 and 51) at 9/2 and 8/1 showing no market confidence, Two Plus Two's SR edge and co-favourite status make it the most credible selection in a weak heat. Each-way alternative: Nymphaea. Main danger: Nymphaea — Nymphaea (SR 59, 6/4) shares the market at the same odds as Two Plus Two and enjoys a significant weight pull of 12lb — 8-11 versus 9-9 — which on good ground over a stamina trip of 1m6f could bridge the 8-point SR gap, particularly if the 4-year-old is still on an upward curve under J Candlish.

Shortlist Two Plus Two, Nymphaea
Each-way: Nymphaea Danger: Nymphaea

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade