Touched off by a nose at Hamilton three weeks ago off a 2lb lower mark, Eternal Force has a strong case stepping up to 10f on his all-weather debut; handles good to firm and good to soft, and this extra distance could be the key at the top of the weights.
Form last 6111-72
★AI Rating★★★★☆
108SR—RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong Saturday Rating of 108 and consistent form reading 111-72 justify 4/5 stars despite 9-9 weight at 6/4.
Trailed home at York on latest start and his trainer's string is badly out of form; carries first-time headgear and is effective at 10-12f on a sound surface, but the mark looks on the high side and a return to form is needed to be competitive.
Form last 6042519
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-8 with inconsistent form (042519) and dismissed at 16/1 by the market, Will Scarlet's Saturday Rating of 80 offers little appeal.
Off the track for 148 days and returning from a break, Haku was beaten over eight lengths at Kempton last time after a run of solid efforts; effective at 11-12f on AW and handles these conditions, but needs to show he's bounced back before being trusted.
Form last 64513-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 77, weak form (4513-7), and 22/1 odds signal Haku is a long-shot outsider carrying 9-6.
Pulled on the chestnut's two wins in recent starts but came from off the pace and was never in contention last time at Sandown; first-time visor fitted, best at 8-12f and handles AW, so it's not impossible he turns it around but a response is required.
Form last 6-51120
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
94SR—RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Whitcombe Rockstar's 12/1 odds and inconsistent form of -51120 indicate limited market confidence despite a Saturday Rating of 94.
A dual winner in recent starts, Rogue Millions is not straightforward to rate — a big colt who handles AW and stays 11f — but has disappointed in his last three starts including a seven-length defeat at Carlisle; needs to recapture something close to his best form.
Form last 61176-8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR—RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Odds of 17/2 suggest weak market confidence, and patchy form (1176-8) carrying top weight 9-5 limits appeal despite a 91 Saturday Rating.
Off the track for 331 days, Jolly Jack Tar was well beaten at Goodwood most recently and needs to prove his form has stood up after such a long absence; does stay 10f on AW and had shown enough prior to that to suggest he's capable at this level with a clear run.
Form last 613/10-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid Saturday Rating of 92 and decent 13/2 odds, but 9-3 weight and inconsistent form (13/10-) limit confidence.
Ninth on the same mark at this same course last time, The Glen Rovers was beaten five and a half lengths and failed to build on a previous win; effective at 10-12f on AW and returning to this surface is a plus, though a sharp improvement in form is required.
Form last 69-8519
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR—RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 9-2 with weak 9-8519 form and overlooked at 11/1 in the market, The Glen Rovers' 82 Saturday Rating offers little confidence.
Sixth last time at the same mark, Rainbow Nebula has two wins in recent starts and handles the course; a top trainer with this type helps the case, but there is still more required before this runner can challenge at the sharp end here at 10f.
Form last 61-0156
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 11/1 and patchy form (1-0156) undermine confidence despite a respectable 85 Saturday Rating.
Unplaced on handicap debut at York when failing to stay the trip, beaten eight and a half lengths, Cloth Of Gold's stamina over this 10f looks a question; there is a case to make back on AW, where connections believe this could go better, but a significant step forward is still needed.
Form last 63/01-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Sent off 12/1 with inconsistent form of 3/01-0 and a modest Saturday Rating of 85 limits confidence.
Fourth at Newbury last time, Wanderlust stays the trip and acts on various surfaces; our figures suggest there is more in this runner — the last start showed creditable form against British handicap company — though needs to step forward to challenge for the win here.
Form last 6531-44
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Low Saturday Rating of 67, poor recent form figures of 531-44, and weak 22/1 market odds signal limited winning prospects.
Suited at 10-12f on any going, Per Contra was too keen at York last time, beaten four lengths off a mark 1lb higher than today's; now fitted with first-time headgear, and well capable of making an impact if that helps settle the issues, yet to score in recent starts.
Form last 6-97034
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 90 and fair 9/2 odds are undermined by inconsistent form (-97034) and a mid-range 8-9 weight.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Eternal Force owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (60) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/8W J HaggasTom Marquand
76%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Per Contra
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · T D Easterby✓ Value Signal
Wanderlust
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · I Jardine◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Carrying top weight of 9-8 with inconsistent form (042519) and dismissed at 16/1 by the market, Will Scarlet's Saturday Rating of 80 offers little appeal.
Eternal Force (SR 108, 6/4) is the class standout in this field by a considerable margin — the next best SR is 94 (Whitcombe Rockstar) — and the form string 111-72 shows a horse that won three on the bounce before finishing 7th and 2nd, suggesting a return to winning form is plausible. W J Haggas is among the sharpest trainers in the country and at 1m2f42y on Good to Soft, this trip and going profile suits a progressive 4-year-old. The 9-9 weight is manageable given the SR advantage is so large, and the 4-star AI probability alongside 6/4 market confidence confirms this is where the serious money sits. The form drop to 7th is the only concern, but the subsequent 2nd suggests that was a blip rather than a regression.
Each-way alternative: Jolly Jack Tar.
Main danger: Per Contra — Per Contra (SR 90, 9/2) is the second market pick trained by T D Easterby and carries only 8-9 — a full stone less than Eternal Force — which on Good to Soft ground over 1m2f gives a genuine weight-for-SR edge that could bridge the class gap if the form string ending in 4 represents an improver on the move.
ShortlistEternal Force, Jolly Jack Tar, Per Contra