Only one start behind him — a sixth at York on debut — Athos has the scope to progress significantly over this 7f trip; showed modest pace on that occasion but connections expect a step forward now tackling a longer distance, making this a dangerous runner to dismiss.
Form last 66
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
124SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Athos carries 9-7 with a single run showing a sixth-place finish, a 124 Saturday Rating, and 25/1 odds suggest market dismissal.
Debut runner on a tough assignment; an Alkumait gelding related to a useful performer at 9f, Bedwyr merits attention in the market on debut but the pedigree angles are mixed and he is hard to assess.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
124SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
High odds of 33/1 and a low Saturday Rating of 124 signal weak market confidence and limited winning prospects.
Third at Ripon last time, Inns And Out has run to a consistent level across two starts; effective at 6f and handles good ground but faces a wide draw here over 7f, and while there is the possibility of further progress, needs to do more to challenge the principals.
Form last 653
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
151SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Inns And Out's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 151, 9/2 odds, and modest form figures of 53 suggest fair but unspectacular winning prospects.
Runner-up at Leicester last time, stepping up markedly from debut, Lord Ragnar handles 7f on good and looks capable of further improvement; the form has been upwardly mobile and while there is more to prove to get the win, this runner commands respect as a leading danger.
Form last 602
★AI Rating★★★★☆
149SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong Saturday Rating of 149 and solid 9-7 weight anchor a promising form figure of 02 at 11/2 odds.
Held up in the field, Ponte Carlo is effective at 5-6f on soft and good ground and the wider draw may suit those running-style tendencies; beaten six lengths at York last time on form that reads consistently, and one who could improve considerably once eligible for handicaps.
Form last 6386
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Weak form figures of 386, a 63 Saturday Rating, and 10/1 market position confirm Ponte Carlo as an outsider with little winning evidence.
Well beaten on debut at Carlisle, Right Up My Ali needs to improve substantially to play a role here; the scope for development is there but a significant improvement in performance is required.
Form last 69
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
124SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 124 is undermined by 40/1 odds, poor form figure of 9, and no market support.
Third on debut at Salisbury, Aphra Behn shaped with promise and now steps up to 7f where further improvement is expected; effective at 6f on soft and looks the one to beat if she takes this further forward.
Form last 63
★AI Rating★★★★☆
157SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong Saturday Rating of 157 combined with near-favourite 10/11 odds and solid form figure of 3 justify four stars.
Fourth at Wetherby last time — improved on debut — Aura Of Melania was keen but made progress and handles 7f; still needs more but there is promise here, and if continuing to improve this filly is the main danger to our selection.
Form last 664
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
144SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Moderate Saturday Rating of 144 and poor form figures of 64 at 11/1 suggest limited winning prospects.
Showed something on debut at Chester when beaten just over three lengths in a seller, Bonjour Belle handles 7f on soft; has a trainer who has had some success in this type of event and the potential for improvement means she could make the frame if she takes a step forward.
Form last 65
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
144SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Bonjour Belle's single run showing a fifth-place finish and 11/1 outsider odds limit confidence despite a solid 144 Saturday Rating.
An Ardad filly related to a smart 6f performer, London Rose makes her debut here and connections would prefer others ahead of her on first appearance; with a dam that struggled at 8f as a juvenile, the raw pedigree cues are mixed and she faces a tough introduction.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
At 28/1 with unknown form, London Rose's mid-tier 127 Saturday Rating limits confidence despite carrying 9-2.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Aphra Behn owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/11R M BeckettEdward Greatrex
76%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Inns And Out
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · T D Easterby✓ Value Signal
London Rose
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Ollie Pears◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Aphra Behn (SR 157, 10/11) leads the field on ratings by a clear margin over Inns And Out (SR 151) and Lord Ragnar (SR 149), and the market has made her a strong odds-on favourite suggesting genuine confidence from connections. She carries 9-2, giving her a 5lb weight pull over the colts in the top half of the ratings, which is a meaningful advantage over 7f on Good to Soft ground. Her form figure of 3 shows she has already run competitively and a trainer of R M Beckett's calibre does not pitch a horse this short without expectation of improvement — a 3rd on debut is a classic springboard in maidens of this class. The SR 157 is the highest in the field by some distance and with the weight concession in her favour, she is the clear call.
Each-way alternative: Lord Ragnar.
Main danger: Inns And Out — Inns And Out (SR 151, 9/2) is trained by T D Easterby who also runs Ponte Carlo, suggesting this is the stable's live contender, and the form of 53 over similar trips shows progressive ability that could see her close the gap on the favourite if Aphra Behn has not fully furnished since her debut.