Newcastle Airport Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m 6f 0y
Form figures of 43 and a Saturday Rating of 82 at 3/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.
Rated 91 with form figures of 34 and carrying 9-7, Cuban Heels holds value at 8/13 but lacks the dominant form to justify more than 3 stars.
Fasthope's solid Saturday Rating of 130 is undermined by 33/1 odds and weak 35 form, limiting confidence despite a competitive 9-7 weight.
40/1 odds and a single-run form figure of 0 signal minimal market confidence despite carrying 9-7.
Rated 128 but sent off 80/1 with a single fifth-place run, Odegaard shows potential undermined by weak form and market dismissal.
Strong Saturday Rating of 150 and solid 9-7 weight assignment justify 4 stars despite 13/2 odds and inconsistent 96 form.
A Saturday Rating of 145 at 10/1 odds suggests ability but the 9-7 weight and outsider market position limit confidence.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Caeruleus | 3/1 open 3.00 | — | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Cuban Heels | 8/15 open 1.67 | — | 1/2 open 1.62 | 1/2 open 1.62 | 8/15 open 1.62 | 4/9 open 1.62 | 8/15 Bet365 |
| 3 Fasthope | 50/1 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Johns Power | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Odegaard | 80/1 open 101.00 | — | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sir Sirius | 15/2 open 9.00 | — | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Up The Stakes | 16/1 open 12.00 | — | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sir Sirius owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRated 91 with form figures of 34 and carrying 9-7, Cuban Heels holds value at 8/13 but lacks the dominant form to justify more than 3 stars.
Form figures of 43 and a Saturday Rating of 82 at 3/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 150 and solid 9-7 weight assignment justify 4 stars despite 13/2 odds and inconsistent 96 form.
A Saturday Rating of 145 at 10/1 odds suggests ability but the 9-7 weight and outsider market position limit confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cuban Heels (SR 91, 8/13) leads the market with strong confidence and is trained by the powerful Gosden yard, whose juveniles routinely improve sharply between runs. The form figures of 34 show progressive improvement — a third followed by a fourth inverted reads as two competitive efforts — and the market has compressed this to a heavy odds-on price, suggesting stable confidence in a step forward. While SR 91 appears modest on the scale, in a field where the highest SR runners carry extreme prices (33/1, 40/1, 80/1) and no market confidence, the Gosden handler edge and market conviction align clearly. Sir Sirius (SR 150, 13/2) is the only credible SR threat, but the 9-6 defeat last time out on a comparable surface raises a genuine concern about readiness, making Cuban Heels the most supported, trainer-backed play. Each-way alternative: Sir Sirius. Main danger: Sir Sirius — Sir Sirius (SR 150, 13/2) holds a clear SR advantage over every runner in the field, and if trainer K A Ryan has him sharper than the 9-6 effort suggests, that superior ability rating makes him the most likely alternative winner.