Has experience of today's trip and conditions and first-time headgear could help, but Arnaz has been keen and below form in recent races; difficult to make a case on those grounds despite being rated at a fair mark over this distance.
Effective at 7-8f on today's going, Midnight's Dream was beaten 3l off this mark at Doncaster last time, though a tendency to be too keen hampered the effort; the settling angle remains the key if he is to show his best form here.
Form last 6390006
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Form reading 390006 and a Saturday Rating of just 66 make 11/4 odds look overpriced despite carrying only 9-9.
Finished well beaten in eleventh on his most recent start off today's mark and needs a sharp revival after a poor run; Dancing With Drums has form over this distance but acts on good to soft and AW, and today's faster ground is an added query.
Form last 6-57130
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR—RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a Saturday Rating of 64 and inconsistent form of -57130 limits confidence despite fair 15/2 odds.
Moving in the right direction when beaten 3¼l at Nottingham last time off a slightly higher mark, Bass Player is suited to 7-8f on today's ground and first-time cheekpieces could help; winless in recent outings and our figures suggest he needs more to be competitive.
Form last 634-905
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR—RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Saturday Rating of 50, 16/1 odds, and poor form reading 34-905 combine to make Bass Player a weak contender at 9-8 weight.
Capable of better and effective at 7-8f on a sound surface, Berning Hot has been inconsistent and was well below form beaten 9l at Beverley last time; showing more than that is the task here.
Form last 6738626
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR—RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 25/1, a lowly Saturday Rating of 37, and a form string of 738626 suggest Berning Hot is carrying 9-6 to no effect.
Finishing third off today's mark last time with her best work coming late, Moonhall Lass has two wins in recent form, handles the trip and ground well, and goes with a first-time visor; she is a live threat. The worry is a patchy record between her good runs.
Form last 6311883
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR—RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 9-6 with patchy form (311883) and a modest Saturday Rating of 64 limits Moonhall Lass to mid-market appeal at 9/2.
Placed consistently earlier in his recent form but below those efforts at this course last time, Call Glory is effective at 5-7f and acts on today's going; he needs to show more than recent starts to be a factor.
Form last 6342356
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Moderate Saturday Rating of 59, inconsistent form (342356), and 9-5 weight burden leave Call Glory unconvincing at 7/1.
Went a neck away at a higher mark last time and is in good heart, No Gain is effective from 7 to 12f on a sound surface and the application of first-time headgear adds a touch of interest; up 4lb here, which is the main question.
Form last 6465212
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid recent form (465212) and competitive 5/2 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 68 and a hefty 9-5 weight.
Winless and largely out of the money in recent starts, Montpellier Green has struggled throughout this campaign across a wide range of distances and last seen well beaten; 187 days off the track since and figures rank her last in the field.
Form last 688900-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR—RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 36, weak form of 88900-, and 28/1 odds signal a horse the market has firmly dismissed.
Doing his best work late after a slow start at Lingfield last time, Jackson Street has won in recent form and handles the distance and going; our figures put him below the principals and he needs to find improvement to feature.
Form last 61-2764
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR—RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 37, outsider odds of 25/1, and a deteriorating form string of 1-2764 combine to make Jackson Street a weak contender carrying 9-3.
Going well prior to finding 1m too far at Doncaster last time, beaten 5l when the trip found him out, Mini Mac is suited to 7f and the return to a shorter distance looks a clear asset; a trainer in strong form and first-time blinkers add confidence. Winless in recent starts remains the caveat.
Form last 6608420
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR—RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 54, inconsistent form (608420), and 17/2 odds suggest the market holds little confidence in Mini Mac.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Midnight's Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1J ParrN Callan
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Moonhall Lass
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
2/1 · James Owen✓ Value Signal
Call Glory
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
11/1 · Ian Williams◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
No Gain (SR 68, 5/2) holds the field's highest Saturday Rating and carries a workable 9-5, giving it a 4lb weight-for-rating advantage over top-weight Midnight's Dream (SR 66, 9-9). The form string 465212 shows a consistent progression culminating in back-to-back placed efforts, with the last-run '2' indicating peak readiness. Market confidence at 5/2 — the clear favourite — aligns with the SR leadership, and trainer Adam Kirby's runner is likely to handle Good to Firm at 7f. The combination of top SR, market support, and a recent upward form trajectory makes this the standout selection.
Each-way alternative: Moonhall Lass.
Main danger: Midnight's Dream — Midnight's Dream (SR 66, 11/4) is the market's second string and carries only 4lb more than No Gain for a near-identical SR, and while the form string 390006 is patchy, trainer J Parr's runner at a price this short suggests connections see improvement coming on Good to Firm ground over this trip.