Shaped with some promise when fifth at Pontefract on debut, though she was badly positioned as the race was dominated from the front and was never in a position to challenge; she has speed on the sire's side and stamina in reserve from the dam, and a more positive ride here should bring improvement.
Form last 65
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
144SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Midfield form figure of 5, 9/1 market drifter, and 9-2 weight suggest a capable but unproven filly warranting cautious 3-star consideration.
Made no impression on debut at Wetherby, beaten 6l without getting into the contest; there was backing behind her first time, however, suggesting connections believe there is more to come, and the pedigree carries pace.
Form last 67
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
141SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 12/1 and a single form figure of 7 limit confidence despite a solid Saturday Rating of 141.
Showed a professional attitude to finish a good third on debut at Thirsk, beaten 2.25l; that form has been boosted by a runner who franked it at Royal Ascot, confirming the debut was a solid benchmark — an in-form trainer adds appeal, though the wide draw in stall 8 is a neutral note.
Form last 63
★AI Rating★★★★☆
154SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong 154 Saturday Rating and competitive 3/1 market position justify confidence, despite form showing just one run finishing third.
Caught in a difficult position at York on debut and had no chance to show what she can do, going down by 6.5l in a stronger novice — a more switched-on display should follow here, and the pedigree blends pace with stamina; top-rated and expected to be better than that introduction suggested.
Form last 66
★AI Rating★★★★☆
153SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 153 and competitive 5/2 odds give Sovereign Grace strong claims despite a single form figure of 6.
Showed promise when runner-up on debut but has not built on it in two subsequent starts, being well beaten at Thirsk most recently when short of room to manoeuvre; effective at 5f on good to soft ground and entitled to do better, though consistency remains unproven.
Form last 6287
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 64, weak form figures of 287, and a 10/1 market price signal limited winning prospects here.
Consistent and progressive, placing in four of her last four starts; finished a length third at Carlisle most recently when fading in the closing stages over an extra furlong, and this shorter trip on a stiff track should play to her strengths — the main worry is whether she can convert her placed efforts into a first success.
Form last 64323
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Consistent form figures of 4323 and a competitive 7/4 market price suggest solid placed potential, but an 81 Saturday Rating limits confidence.
A Zoustar filly purchased at the breeze-ups for £10,000, out of a mare who was a smart performer at 5f and thrived with cut in the ground; the dam's profile hints at a sprinting profile but the figures suggest she is up against it on debut.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 127 and 40/1 odds signal weak market confidence and outsider status in this field.
Failed to get into the contest at Ayr on her only start, well beaten without threatening; the trainer is well regarded at this course and the breeding points to 7f-8f in time — plenty still to show before she can be taken seriously.
Form last 66
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 50/1 and a single sixth-place form figure highlight Savoy Blue's poor market standing despite a 127 Saturday Rating.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Pretty Little Baby owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Charlie CloverRowan Scott
82%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sovereign Grace
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
- · K R Burke✓ Value Signal
Savoy Blue
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · J S Goldie◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Pretty Little Baby (SR 154, 3/1) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and is trained by Charlie Clover, with a last-time-out third that suggests she is knocking on the door of a first win. Her 3lb SR advantage over Sovereign Grace (SR 153) is modest but meaningful when both carry identical 9-2, and the 3/1 price represents fair value against the 5/2 market leader. On Good to Firm at 5f 7y, her SR profile is comfortably the strongest, and there is no weight penalty to offset that edge — equal weights mean the ratings edge converts directly into an expected performance advantage.
Each-way alternative: Sovereign Grace.
Main danger: Sovereign Grace — Sovereign Grace (SR 153, 5/2) is the market leader with strong market confidence, holds a near-identical SR to Pretty Little Baby, and trainer K R Burke consistently fires two-year-olds fit and ready on debut or near-debut at Northern tracks.
ShortlistPretty Little Baby, Sovereign Grace, Flower Youmzain