Hamilton Park Construction Race Day Handicap · 0m 6f 6y
Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 58, inconsistent form of 312886, and 8/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 63 and inconsistent form figures of 725673 offer little confidence despite fair 10/3 odds.
Sherlock's mid-range Saturday Rating of 64 and inconsistent form (194246) justify a cautious 3/5 despite fair 4/1 odds.
Carries top weight of 9-11 with inconsistent form (040612) and a modest Saturday Rating of 69, despite being second-favourite at 15/8.
A Saturday Rating of 54 and inconsistent form (223563) at 9-5 weight give Penny Mountain limited winning prospects at 13/2.
Wee Dresser rates poorly with a Saturday Rating of just 47, weak 7836 form, and 16/1 odds reflecting minimal market confidence.
Saturday Rating of 46, poor form figures of 765877, and 12/1 odds reflect a horse the market has firmly dismissed.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mount Ruapehu | 17/2 open 8.50 | — | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 Coral |
| 2 Mr Cool | 9/4 open 4.33 | — | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Sherlock | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Iris Dancer | 9/4 open 2.75 | — | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Penny Mountain | 8/1 open 7.50 | — | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 6 Wee Dresser | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Tarlac | 10/1 open 15.00 | — | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Iris Dancer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalA Saturday Rating of 63 and inconsistent form figures of 725673 offer little confidence despite fair 10/3 odds.
Carries top weight of 9-11 with inconsistent form (040612) and a modest Saturday Rating of 69, despite being second-favourite at 15/8.
Sherlock's mid-range Saturday Rating of 64 and inconsistent form (194246) justify a cautious 3/5 despite fair 4/1 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 54 and inconsistent form (223563) at 9-5 weight give Penny Mountain limited winning prospects at 13/2.
Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 58, inconsistent form of 312886, and 8/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects.
Saturday Rating of 46, poor form figures of 765877, and 12/1 odds reflect a horse the market has firmly dismissed.
Wee Dresser rates poorly with a Saturday Rating of just 47, weak 7836 form, and 16/1 odds reflecting minimal market confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Iris Dancer (SR 69, 15/8) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying 9-11 — a manageable weight given the SR advantage over every rival. The form string 040612 shows a most-recent second followed by a win two runs back, indicating a horse in active form and not declining. At 8 years old she is experienced over sprint trips, and the market has made her a confident favourite at 15/8 — the shortest price in the field — which aligns with the SR signal. The 2lb weight relief versus top-weights Mount Ruapehu and Mr Cool (both 10-2 with materially lower SRs of 58 and 63) represents a genuine lbs edge that compounds the rating advantage. Each-way alternative: Sherlock. Main danger: Sherlock — Sherlock (SR 64, 4/1) carries 9-13 — 2lb less than the joint topweights — and trainer K A Ryan is a consistent operator at sprint trips; the form figure of 4 two runs back and a recent 6 leaves room for improvement that a yard in form could unlock on Good to Firm ground.