Without a win in recent starts, Ice Cold Alex draws a wide stall and has a trainer who is finding winners difficult to come by; effective at 5-6f possibly needing a sound surface, but needs a sharper response than recent form suggests.
Form last 644-646
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 61, uninspiring 44-646 form, and 10/1 market odds combine to make Ice Cold Alex an unconvincing each-way proposition.
Well beaten back up at 6f at Leicester last time, Koffee And Kale drops back to 5f here where the track should suit much better; first-time visor fitted, a notable jockey booked, and effective at 5-6f on give and good to firm — there is a live case here if the trip change unlocks improvement.
Form last 631-327
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 62, weak 31-327 form, and 12/1 odds signal a horse the market has largely dismissed.
Fourth at York last time after failing to find top gear, Yellow Diamonds has won over 5f and acts well on this surface with cut; the chance is there if she improves on that run and this runner is a clear danger to our selection.
Form last 621-044
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 59 and patchy form (21-044) at 11/1 make Yellow Diamonds an unconvincing 9-7 burden with little market support.
Stayed off the pace at Thirsk last time and was beaten seven lengths without ever threatening; effective at 5-6f on various surfaces, but needs to find extra to get competitive and a significant step forward is required.
Form last 61-5927
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 64 and patchy form of 1-5927 limits confidence at 17/2.
Good second at York last time, beaten a neck off a mark 5lb lower than today's; a reliable sort, effective at 5-6f on good and fast going and wearing first-time headgear, I'm Dan Dare is a clear danger who could run a big race from a good draw.
Form last 6-02512
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid recent form (-02512) and competitive 5/2 odds justify the rating, but 9-7 weight and a Saturday Rating of 78 limit upside.
Caught interference early and came home strongest at Thirsk last time, going down by a neck off this same mark; effective at 6-7f on good to soft, good and AW and there is reason to think a clear run may yield a better result, yet to score in recent starts.
Form last 684893
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 67, uninspiring 84893 form, and 9-7 weight leave Record Day a 5/1 shot with limited winning claims.
Twice below form in recent starts here at Newcastle, beaten eight lengths last time; first-time blinkers on today and effective at 5-6f on good and AW, but the back-to-back poor efforts are a concern and a significant response is required.
Form last 6241-77
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR—RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-6 at 16/1 with a modest Saturday Rating of 57 and inconsistent form of 241-77 limits confidence.
Sixth at York last time in below-par form, beaten seven lengths, Under The Radar is without a win in recent starts; effective at 5f on good and the connections have had success in this type of race before, but improvement from the last run is needed to feature.
Form last 628-566
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Weak form reading 28-566, a modest Saturday Rating of 60, and 10/1 odds signal limited market confidence.
Without a win in recent starts, Slot was held up and had to wait for room at Wetherby last time when fourth; effective at 5-6f on good to soft and AW, and there is the possibility of a better run with a clean passage, though needs to do more than in recent outings.
Form last 623-544
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Slot's Saturday Rating of 60, 12/1 odds, and disappointing recent form figures of 23-544 offer little confidence at 9-4 weight.
Third last time, Love Alive is on a mark that looks workable and the trainer is in good nick; effective at 5-6f on good and AW with a wide draw to contend with, but on current form this looks a tough ask at the top weights.
Form last 6715963
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 51, 18/1 odds, and form reading 715963 confirm Love Alive holds no realistic winning claims.
Third last time off this same mark, The Tunguska Event has two wins in his last six starts and acts well at 5-6f on good to soft, good and AW; a first-time visor added and still looks competitive at this level, with our figures giving this the edge.
Form last 6741213
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid recent form (741213) and a competitive 13/2 market price justify three stars, but 9-4 weight limits the ceiling.
Sixth at Windsor last time, beaten five lengths, Bella Delizia has been below form but is effective at 5f on a sound surface and remains 4lb above the last winning mark; trainer is struggling for form and needs this runner to produce a significant step up in performance.
Form last 6641-06
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 42 with 33/1 odds and poor form of 641-06, Bella Delizia offers no credible market case.
Well beaten at Nottingham last time, Contorno returns to the AW surface which has suited in the past; stays a stiff 5f and acts on this type of track, but the deteriorating recent form is the clear barrier to a competitive showing.
Form last 6141598
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Contorno's inconsistent form (141598), a Saturday Rating of just 57, and 11/1 odds signal limited winning prospects here.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
The Tunguska Event owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1J & S QuinnJason Hart
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
I'm Dan Dare
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · M Walford✓ Value Signal
Love Alive
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Jessica Macey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
I'm Dan Dare leads the field with an SR of 78 — a clear 4-point gap over The Tunguska Event (SR 74) — and carries 9-7, which is level with several rivals but not burdensome given that ability advantage. The form string -02512 shows a progressive pattern culminating in a runner-up last time out, indicating the horse is approaching peak form. Market confidence is strong at 5/2, making it the clear favourite, and this reflects consistent improvement across recent starts. At 5f on Good to Soft, a horse showing this upward trajectory with the field's highest SR is the logical selection.
Each-way alternative: The Tunguska Event.
Main danger: The Tunguska Event — The Tunguska Event (SR 74, 13/2) has the second-highest SR in the field and a form string of 741213 — the rightmost figures show a 1-3 sequence indicating genuine consistency and a recent win — while carrying only 9-4, giving it a 3lb weight pull on I'm Dan Dare at 9-7.
ShortlistI'm Dan Dare, The Tunguska Event, Record Day
Each-way: The Tunguska EventDanger: The Tunguska Event