laywheeler.com Handicap · 7f
Moderate Saturday Rating of 88, a 9-10 weight burden, and uninspiring 43-635 form limit confidence despite 10/1 odds appeal.
Mudbir's solid Saturday Rating of 102 is undermined by a heavy 9-8 weight and uninspiring recent form showing a last-place finish.
Hawksbill's poor form of 0-5060, high weight of 9-8, and 11/1 odds suggest the market holds little confidence at a Saturday Rating of 85.
Rated 83 with patchy form (8-4091) and carrying 9-7 at 9/1, Superposition shows enough potential to warrant mid-tier consideration.
A Saturday Rating of 71, poor form reading 58-878, and 20/1 odds signal a horse the market has firmly dismissed.
Carrying 9-3 with a Saturday Rating of 87, inconsistent form (00-025) and 15/2 odds signal a mid-tier chance.
Philanthropist's moderate Saturday Rating of 80, inconsistent form (46-713), and 11/1 odds suggest little market confidence despite a manageable 8-13 weight.
Aalto's 91 Saturday Rating and competitive 7/4 odds are undermined by inconsistent form (078-90) and a 8-13 weight burden.
A Saturday Rating of 87 with inconsistent form (262540) and 8-11 weight limits confidence despite fair 17/2 odds.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Darkness | 18/1 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 0 Silver Ghost | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Northern Express | 18/1 open 9.00 | — | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Mudbir | 7/2 open 3.75 | — | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Hawksbill | 9/1 open 9.50 | — | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Superposition | 12/1 open 8.00 | — | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Dark Tornado | 20/1 | — | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Nostrum | 7/1 open 9.50 | — | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Philanthropist | 11/1 open 11.00 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Aalto | 7/4 open 3.50 | — | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 11 I Still Have Faith | 9/1 open 15.00 | — | 17/2 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mudbir owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalAalto's 91 Saturday Rating and competitive 7/4 odds are undermined by inconsistent form (078-90) and a 8-13 weight burden.
Mudbir's solid Saturday Rating of 102 is undermined by a heavy 9-8 weight and uninspiring recent form showing a last-place finish.
Carrying 9-3 with a Saturday Rating of 87, inconsistent form (00-025) and 15/2 odds signal a mid-tier chance.
Hawksbill's poor form of 0-5060, high weight of 9-8, and 11/1 odds suggest the market holds little confidence at a Saturday Rating of 85.
A Saturday Rating of 87 with inconsistent form (262540) and 8-11 weight limits confidence despite fair 17/2 odds.
Philanthropist's moderate Saturday Rating of 80, inconsistent form (46-713), and 11/1 odds suggest little market confidence despite a manageable 8-13 weight.
Rated 83 with patchy form (8-4091) and carrying 9-7 at 9/1, Superposition shows enough potential to warrant mid-tier consideration.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 88, a 9-10 weight burden, and uninspiring 43-635 form limit confidence despite 10/1 odds appeal.
A Saturday Rating of 71, poor form reading 58-878, and 20/1 odds signal a horse the market has firmly dismissed.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mudbir (SR 102, 10/3) is the clear class leader in this field, rating 11 points above the next best Aalto (SR 91). His form string 5117-0 shows back-to-back wins before a likely below-par run last time, and at 4 years old with Gosden handling the prep, a bounce-back on good ground over 7f at Newmarket is entirely plausible. He carries 9-8 — only 9lb more than bottom weight — which is not a punishing burden given his SR superiority. The 10/3 price reflects market respect without the horse being prohibitively short, offering genuine value against a weak field. Each-way alternative: Philanthropist. Main danger: Aalto — Aalto (SR 91, 7/4) is the market's choice and carries a very light 8-13, giving him a 9lb weight pull on Mudbir — if his recent run of 078-90 masks an imminent return to form, Ian Williams has him well weighted to exploit it.