Fourth last time out, just ten days ago, and a fifth two starts back, so he's fit and consistent without being winless-proof, having run over today's trip and going before. A burden of 166 lb and a yard struggling at 1/27 hold him back, though our rating of 103 sits fifth of ten.
Form last 6P-2054
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR103RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Orkneys Jack has run over today's going and carries 166 lb, while our rating of 108 ranks him third of ten, with a win five starts back and a third four starts back showing he can get involved. The risk is a seventh last time out and a 51-day break.
Form last 6-13557
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
66SR108RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Survivors Sister has been below her best lately, with an eighth last time out and a ninth before that, though a third three starts back shows there is some ability. She has run on today's going and returns after 25 days, but she is winless in her last five and carries 166 lb.
Form last 6P7-398
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR96RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Juke Hill has finished fifth last time out, with a fourth two starts back, and he is winless in his last five, so he looks a midfield type. Fit after 12 days and having run over today's trip, he is held back by 164 lb off an official mark of 100.
Form last 6-84745
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR101RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rated 112 by us, second of ten and 12 lb clear of his official 100, Prince Palace has the ammunition to threaten, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The big risk is form: pulled up last time out, with a trainer going 1/29 lately.
Form last 69-057P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR112RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Oneforgonzo returns after 29 days with a win five starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 103 ranks him fourth of ten and makes him a live threat off an official 98. The main risk is that he's finished a sixth last time out, a fourth two starts back, and carries 162 lb.
Form last 6-15046
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR103RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Heroes Of Renown comes in on solid recent form, third last time out and second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner at 117 is a leading contender despite 135 days off and 159 lb, though he is yet to win in his last five.
Form last 6P6P2-3
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR117RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Pulled up last time out and only a winner two starts back in an otherwise patchy run of form, Swing Time is hard to fancy, and a quick return after six days under 155 lb doesn't help. He has run over today's trip and going, and our figures rank him last of ten.
Form last 68P-61P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR82RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mount Shenshan won last time out, but that was her only success in her last six starts, with a sixth and a fifth in the mix before it, and she turns out again just five days later under 149 lb. She has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank her eighth of ten.
Form last 6356061
★AI Rating★★★★☆
95SR89RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Winless in his last five, with two pulled-up efforts and a ninth in that spell, Ballagh Star is hard to fancy, though a fourth last time out and a quick six-day turnaround show he is in some order. He has run over today's trip and going, but 148 lb is a big ask, and our figures rank him ninth of ten.
Form last 6-0P9P4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR85RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hees Dynamite owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4E McNamaraDarragh O'Keeffe
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mount Shenshan
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
2/1 · Thomas Mullins✓ Value Signal
Orkneys Jack
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
18/1 · L Young◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Hees Dynamite (SR 96, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in this modest field and carries 11-12 alongside a Course:W1P2 record at Galway — a meaningful specialist advantage on what is a quirky, right-handed track. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are acceptable rather than ideal, but no rival can match the combination of SR leadership, proven course form, and a jockey in Darragh O'Keeffe who strikes at 13% over a large sample. The MarkMv:+2 is a minimal rise and not a deterrent. Mount Shenshan (7/4 market favourite, SR 95) is close on ability but carries DistFit:- at 2m6f, has a claiming jockey with only 104 career rides, and despite the 24% market move in, that distance flag is a concrete concern over this stamina-testing trip.
Each-way alternative: Oneforgonzo.
Main danger: Mount Shenshan — Mount Shenshan (SR 95, 7/4, Mkt:in24%, MarkMv:=) is on the same SR as Hees Dynamite, carries 10-9 — a full 17lb less than the selection — and has steamed in the market, though the DistFit:- over 2m6f remains the key risk to its chance.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads P-2054 — no win in the last five starts, with a pull-up included; a horse that hasn't won since before this sequence is under pressure to finally convert at 3/1.
Both DistFit and GoingFit flagged as '~' (acceptable, not ideal) simultaneously — at 2m6f on today's ground, this is a compounded fitness-to-conditions mismatch rather than a single minor caveat.
Carrying top weight of 11-12 in a handicap where rivals like Mount Shenshan (SR 95, same Mark movement) are on 10-9 — a 17lb pull to the market leader on an undulating, stamina-sapping Galway track i…
Age 8 with a 10-day turnaround and a trainer striking at only 10% — E McNamara's yard is not in high enough form to inspire confidence that a quick reappearance has sharpened rather than tired this h…
ShortlistHees Dynamite, Mount Shenshan, Oneforgonzo