Haveagobeau arrives in sound recent form, third last time out and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 135 lb from stall 10 after 33 days off, he looks a solid but unspectacular type, with our rating of 56 only sixth of ten.
Form last 6552143
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR56RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Jenson Benson is our selection on profile: he won last time out, was second two starts before that, and has run over today's trip and going. Off 35 days, he carries 135 lb from draw 3, and our figures rank him third of ten.
Form last 6465-21
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
66SR63RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Launceston arrives in decent nick, third last time out 23 days ago and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 134 lb from stall nine, he's rated 56 by us, fifth of ten, with a modest speed figure of 51 holding him back.
Form last 6974413
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
59SR56RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mimi's Magic has run over today's trip and going, and our top-rated runner at 67 sits well clear of her official mark of 55, though a second six starts back is the best of a winless recent spell. She's fresh after 34 days, but back-to-back ninth-placed runs are the concern.
Form last 6256899
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR67RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Itsonlyrockandroll arrives in a consistent vein, fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and she has run over today's trip, while our rating of 64 ranks her second of ten. The risk is a 151-day layoff, and she is yet to win in her last five starts.
Form last 675534
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR64RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Bobby Dassler is winless in his last six, with an eighth last time out, and two sevenths and another eighth in the mix, so he is hard to fancy at the foot of our ranks (10th of 10). He has run over this trip and on this going before and had a rest of 23 days, but 129 lb from stall five asks plenty.
Form last 6377808
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR50RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while a third the start before that adds to a solid recent profile; our rating of 58 ranks her fourth of ten. The main risk is a sixth last time out, so she needs to bounce back after 26 days off.
Form last 6309316
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR58RPR51OR1Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six, Monks Mead has been consistent enough, with a third three starts back and a fourth two starts back, though he slipped to sixth last time out and returns after 43 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 56 sits above his official 45, but he's yet to prove he can get his head in front.
Form last 6304346
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR56RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Twilight Guest is winless in his last six, with a fourth last time out his best finish in that run and nothing better than fourth in any of them, so he's hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, though, and our rating of 52 sits above his official 45.
Form last 6764464
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR52RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five, with a fourth four starts back and a fifth two starts back the best of a modest sequence, and she returns after 263 days off. She has run over today's trip and going, but ranked ninth of ten on our figures she is hard to fancy.
Form last 66475-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR52RPR42OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jenson Benson owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Shaun LycettAmy Tucker(7)
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Private Project
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Pat Phelan✓ Value Signal
Le Fleur Princess
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · Paddy Butler◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Twilight Guest (SR:56, 9/2) combines the two most compelling signals in this weak Class 6 field: a MarkMv:-14 indicates the handicapper has dropped this horse a significant 14lb since last win, giving it a clear weight-to-ability edge, and the market has moved in 16% since opening — money that knows something. Crucially, Course:W2P3 makes Twilight Guest a Brighton specialist, with two course wins and three places from prior visits — a record no other runner approaches. Jockey Chloe Lyons carries a strong 15% strike rate from 40 career rides, unusually high for an apprentice, and the light weight of 9-0 combined with the big mark drop is a potent combination. The GoingFit:- is a genuine concern but at 9/2 with this course pedigree and mark reduction, the case is compelling.
Each-way alternative: Jenson Benson.
Main danger: Jenson Benson — Jenson Benson (SR:66, 3/1) is the top-rated horse in the field by SR and holds Course:W1P1, and while the 12% market drift is unexplained and the headgear addition (p) suggests connections are trying something new, the raw SR advantage of 10 points over Twilight Guest means it cannot be dismissed as the most able horse on paper.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 764464 — six consecutive runs without a win, suggesting the 14lb mark drop reflects a horse that has genuinely lost its winning form rather than an exploitable handicap edge.
HG:p flags a going preference concern; Brighton today may not suit, and with GoingFit:- noted by the primary analyst, this is a real threat to running up to its course figures.
Jockey Chloe Lyons has only 40 career rides — a very small sample for the 15% strike rate claim; statistical noise on such a thin book makes this figure unreliable as a confidence signal.
Jenson Benson (3/1 market leader, SR:66, form 465-21 showing a recent win) is rated 10 points higher and is significantly shorter in the market, suggesting most informed money is against Twilight Gue…